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"caption": "Bitcoin is trading at a decisive point after recently setting new all-time highs, but momentum appears to be shifting. Despite briefly pushing past $120,000, BTC failed to sustain levels above its record, and the breakout above ATH remains unconfirmed. This lack of follow-through has fueled bearish speculation, with some analysts warning that the market could be facing increased downside risk in the short term. Related Reading: Memecoins Lose Ground In Market Share As Ethereum Absorbs Liquidity At the same time, on-chain data paints a more constructive picture for long-term stability. According to the latest insights, the Long-Term Holder (LTH) cohort—those holding Bitcoin between six months and two years—has significantly increased its supply. Since April, when BTC was trading at $83,000, their holdings have grown from 3.551 million BTC to 5.191 million BTC, a remarkable increase of 1.64 million BTC. This accumulation suggests strong conviction among seasoned investors, even as short-term volatility challenges the market. While traders focus on whether Bitcoin can reclaim $120,000 and establish a firm breakout, the ongoing buildup by long-term holders reinforces the broader bullish structure. The clash between short-term weakness and long-term strength will likely define Bitcoin’s next major move. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Signal Strength According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s latest test of the all-time high at $118,000 showed a very different behavior compared to past cycles. During this move, long-term holders (LTHs) who have been holding coins between six months and two years engaged in some profit-taking. Data reveals their seven-day average spending climbed to 20,000 BTC. However, this level is far below the typical distribution spikes of previous cycles, where spending often surged to between 40,000 and 70,000 BTC. This more moderate selling activity suggests that the conviction among long-term holders remains strong. Rather than aggressively taking profits, many are choosing to continue accumulating or simply holding their positions. Adler highlights that accumulation still outweighs distribution, reflecting confidence in the market’s future direction. Such behavior from experienced participants typically signals a healthier, more sustainable bull phase, where selling pressure is absorbed without disrupting the broader uptrend. Despite this encouraging backdrop, Bitcoin faces a crucial technical test. To confirm the strength of the latest move, BTC needs to decisively push above the $125,000 level. A breakout beyond this resistance would likely validate the resilience shown by long-term holders and open the path toward further price discovery. If bulls succeed, the combination of institutional demand, long-term accumulation, and reduced selling pressure could drive the next major rally. Conversely, failure to reclaim $125,000 in the near term might give bears room to test lower levels before the next leg up. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH SOPR-7d Signals Healthy Demand: Market Absorbs Selling Pressure Testing Support After ATH Rejection Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows price retreating after a sharp rejection near $123,200, just below the recent all-time high at $124,000. Following this failed breakout attempt, BTC has slipped back toward $117,300, where it is currently holding above the key confluence of the 100 and 200 moving averages. This zone between $116,900 and $117,600 is acting as immediate support. A decisive breakdown here could expose further downside toward $115,000. However, the moving averages continue to slope upward, reflecting an underlying bullish structure despite the short-term weakness. Related Reading: TRON Long-Term Holders See Massive Gains As TRX Pushes Toward Multi-Year Highs The repeated rejection at $123,000–$124,000 highlights the importance of this resistance. Bulls will need to reclaim this zone with conviction to confirm momentum and extend the uptrend toward higher levels. Until then, the market remains in a consolidation phase, with traders closely watching if support at the $117K region holds. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView",
"headline": "Bitcoin Data Shows Accumulation Prevails As LTH Selling Pressure Eases",
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"caption": "Amid the recent market pullback, Solana (SOL) is attempting to reclaim a crucial area to continue with its bullish rally. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency will likely break out to new highs if a key support level is held. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Remains Green Despite Market Pullback – Is It Ready For A 70% Run? Solana Back Below $200 Earlier this week, the market soared under the lead of the two largest cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,000, and Ethereum (ETH) hit a multi-year high of $4,788 in the early hours of Thursday. Nonetheless, higher-than-expected macroeconomic signals and the US’s decision not to purchase BTC for its Strategic Reserve sent the market into a nosedive, with most tokens bleeding throughout the day. Solana, which had just climbed to an eight-month high of $209, saw a 10% drop from the highs, retesting the recently reclaimed $190 support level. Price continues to dip after the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced it had pushed back its decision on multiple Spot SOL exchange-traded funds (ETFs). “The Commission finds that it is appropriate to designate a longer period within which to issue an order approving or disapproving the proposed rule change so that it has sufficient time to consider the proposed rule change, and the issues raised therein,” the regulatory agency stated. The SEC delayed the final deadline for the decision on Bitwise, 21Shares, VanEck, Grayscale, and Canary Capital Solana ETFs for two months, pushing it to October 16, 2025. Despite the delay, ETF expert James Seyffart suggested that the SEC’s decision is not a bad sign, adding that he expects standard spot SOL ETFs to be approved by mid-October “at the latest.” The altcoin dropped to the $188 area before bouncing. After the brief market recovery, SOL continued to retest the $180-$190 area, hovering between the $184-$186 support zone throughout Friday afternoon. Last Dip Before New Highs? Analyst Ali Martinez offered a positive outlook for the cryptocurrency, affirming that Solana might be offering “a final buy-the-dip chance” before a potential 100% rally from current levels. The analyst pointed to a six-month ascending triangle pattern on the altcoin’s chart, which targets the $360 area once it breaks out of the formation. Notably, SOL has retested the pattern’s resistance twice since the July breakout, with its latest rejection occurring on Thursday. Amid the recent performance, Martinez also noted that wallets holding over 10,000 SOL tokens hit a new ATH this week, with 5,224 wallets holding around $2 million worth of Solana each. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes ‘Final Boss’ Level, But Analyst Says Weekly Close Is Key For Price Discovery Run Meanwhile, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems asserted that the cryptocurrency is “trading in a perfect uptrend, already tested the resistance at $200 three times,” highlighting SOL’s four-month ascending channel. To the market watcher, Solana will likely break out and move to ATH levels soon if it holds above the $180 level, which has been a crucial support and resistance area for the altcoin this cycle. As of this writing, SOL is trading at $184.9, a 4.7% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Michael Saylor, chairman of the largest public Bitcoin treasury company, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), is embarking on what could be his most daring financial venture yet: the introduction of perpetual preferred stock as a new funding mechanism. This new approach seeks to move away from traditional methods like common stock sales and convertible bonds, which have already helped Strategy amass $75 billion in Bitcoin assets. Saylor’s Bitcoin Credit Model The perpetual preferred stock, branded “Stretch,” offers a unique financial structure—these securities do not mature and can even defer dividend payments, providing flexibility for the issuer while potentially unsettling investors. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces The Level That Decides Everything: Analyst The Stretch offering features variable-rate dividends and lacks voting rights, positioning it as neither conventional debt nor typical equity. Saylor believes this could provide the company with the necessary capital to continue acquiring Bitcoin. According to Bloomberg, over the next four years, he plans to retire billions in convertible notes, reduce common stock sales, and rely more heavily on preferred offerings as his primary funding source. This ambitious plan aims to establish a “BTC Credit Model,” where Bitcoin underpins a new stream of income. Saylor envisions the potential to raise “$100 billion… even $200 billion” if demand for these securities is strong. High-Yield Risks So far this year, Strategy has raised approximately $6 billion through four perpetual preferred offerings, with the latest $2.5 billion tranche being one of the largest capital raises in the crypto space this year. As Michael Youngworth from Bank of America noted, this retail-driven approach is unique in the corporate preferred market, which is typically dominated by investment-grade institutions. However, there are concerns about the sustainability of this model. The perpetual preferreds require ongoing, substantial dividend payments, which could be a challenge given that Bitcoin itself does not generate income. Saylor’s push for perpetual preferreds is also a strategic response to the limitations of the convertible market, which tends to exclude retail investors. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Could Explode 44,000% To Cross $1,000 Strategy’s CEO, Phong Le, has framed this shift as a way to create a more resilient capital structure, particularly in light of the challenges faced during the 2022 “crypto winter.” Despite the potential advantages, the high yields associated with perpetual preferreds—often between 8% and 10%—could become burdensome, especially in a market downturn, according to experts. Critics like short-seller Jim Chanos have labeled these instruments as “crazy” for institutions to buy, given their non-cumulative nature and the issuer’s discretion over dividend payments. When writing, Bitcoin trades at $117,260, retracing over 5% from the recently achieved $124,400 all-time high earlier in the week. Year-to-date, the market’s leading crypto is up 101%. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin miner Terawulf announced on Aug. 14 that it has entered into two ten-year high-performance computing colocation agreements with AI cloud platform Fluidstack. Financial and Corporate Backing Bitcoin miner Terawulf announced on Aug. 14 that it had entered two 10-year high-performance computing (HPC) colocation agreements with artificial intelligence (AI) cloud platform Fluidstack. As part of […]",
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"caption": "Bitcoin remains under the $120,000 price mark following a pullback triggered by remarks from the US Treasury that the federal government will not be purchasing the cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at approximately $118,612, representing a 4.1% decline from its record high above $124,000 reached earlier this week. The market seems to be currently assessing whether this consolidation phase will lead to renewed upward momentum or extend the correction. Recent blockchain data has brought attention to activity on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Related Reading: Bitcoin Act Is Still America’s Playbook, Clarifies Senator Lummis Bitcoin Exchange Inflows and Potential Impact According to CryptoOnchain, a contributor to the on-chain data provider platform CryptoQuant, the exchange has recorded one of the seven highest average Bitcoin inflows in recent months. This increase, measured by the Mean Inflow metric, reflects a greater volume of BTC being transferred into Binance wallets, potentially as preparation for selling, using as collateral for leveraged positions, or institutional portfolio adjustments. CryptoOnchain explained that persistent high inflows often indicate that more Bitcoin is moving from private wallets to exchange trading accounts. Without equivalent buying demand to offset this, the increase in supply can create short-term selling pressure. The positive netflow trend, where inflows surpass withdrawals, supports this interpretation, showing that Binance’s Bitcoin reserves are growing. Historically, similar patterns have preceded periods of price volatility, particularly if large holders decide to offload positions or hedge via derivatives markets. If inflows continue at their current pace without a parallel rise in demand, the analyst suggests the market could experience higher short-term downside risk. On the other hand, if these inflows are met with strong buying interest, they could provide liquidity for further price movement. The key factor remains whether the increase in exchange-held BTC is driven by selling intentions or strategic positioning ahead of market developments. Leverage Trends Point to Lower Speculative Risk A separate analysis from another CryptoQuant contributor, Arab Chain, examined Binance’s Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) for Bitcoin. The ratio, which measures open interest relative to exchange reserves, recently dropped from its early August peak above 0.27 to around 0.25, before showing a modest rebound. From May to late July, both Bitcoin’s price and the leverage ratio rose together, suggesting heightened participation from traders using larger positions. The recent drop in leverage, despite prices remaining near $119,000, indicates a reduction in speculative exposure, possibly from liquidated high-risk positions or profit-taking after rapid price gains. Arab Chain noted that a lower leverage ratio during a period of price stability can be a constructive sign, as it implies that market support is coming from actual liquidity rather than excessive speculation. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Cycle You Knew Is Dead, Says Capriole Founder Should the ELR remain between 0.24 and 0.25 while Bitcoin gradually moves above $120,000, it could signal a price advance driven more by spot demand than leveraged trading. However, a sudden rise in the leverage ratio above 0.27 during another test of the $120,000–$124,000 range would increase the risk of a sharp correction. This would mirror the conditions seen during previous liquidation events, where a combination of high leverage and rapid price movements triggered large sell-offs, the analyst noted. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "American Bitcoin, the recently established mining company backed by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, is actively seeking opportunities to acquire companies in Asia to bolster its Bitcoin (BTC) reserves. According to a report by the Financial Times, sources familiar with the matter indicated that the company aims to purchase a publicly listed firm in Japan, with potential interests in Hong Kong as well. American Bitcoin Aims To Mirror Strategy’s Success American Bitcoin is already in the process of developing its own strategic Bitcoin reserve, mulling President Donald Trump’s very own vision of creating a stockpile of the market’s leading crypto for the country. The Financial Times asserts that the company established in collaboration with Hut 8 is currently engaging with investors in the Asian region regarding potential acquisitions. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces The Level That Decides Everything: Analyst The company’s ambition is said to mirror the successful approach of Michael Saylor, the founder of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), which has the largest Bitcoin holdings of any public company, surpassing 600,000 BTC coins according to Bitcointreasuries.Net data. The firm’s goal coincides with that of other companies exploring the crypto treasury reserve approach. These companies focus on assets beyond Bitcoin, including Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and TRON, among others. These firms sell shares or debt to fund their purchases of digital assets, allowing investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrency prices without directly owning the tokens. This method has appealed to many traders, particularly in a newly favorable regulatory environment for digital assets in the US. Trump Family Strengthens Crypto Presence The company is preparing to go public in September via a reverse merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, which is already listed on Nasdaq under the ticker name GRYP. Eric Trump serves as the co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin, a rebranded entity that evolved from American Data Centers (ADC), previously a subsidiary of Dominari Holdings. American Bitcoin recently disclosed its goal of creating an efficient platform for Bitcoin accumulation, emphasizing active treasury management and long-term value creation for shareholders. The company noted that while it is exploring opportunities in specific regions, no binding commitments have yet been made. The Asian market, particularly Hong Kong, has been making significant efforts to become a hub for digital assets. Establishing treasury companies in these regions could generate new demand for cryptocurrencies, which aligns with American Bitcoin’s vision. Related Reading: BTC Slips Below $120K as Policy Shifts Rattle Markets: Is This a Setup for the Next Big Rally? In addition to American Bitcoin, the Trump family has diversified its crypto ventures. President Donald Trump recently reported earnings of $57 million from his involvement with World Liberty Financial, which announced plans to acquire $1.5 billion worth of its own WLFI tokens. Meanwhile, the Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) intends to raise funds for a “Bitcoin treasury,” highlighting the family’s ongoing commitment to the cryptocurrency space. As of this writing, American Bitcoin holds 1,941 BTC, currently valued at approximately $227 million. Bitcoin is currently trading at $117,270, having retraced 5% from its record high of $124,100 earlier this week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "American Bitcoin, the recently established mining company backed by Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, is actively seeking opportunities to acquire companies in Asia to bolster its Bitcoin (BTC) reserves. According to a report by the Financial Times, sources familiar with the matter indicated that the company aims to purchase a publicly listed firm in Japan, with potential interests in Hong Kong as well. American Bitcoin Aims To Mirror Strategy’s Success American Bitcoin is already in the process of developing its own strategic Bitcoin reserve, mulling President Donald Trump’s very own vision of creating a stockpile of the market’s leading crypto for the country. The Financial Times asserts that the company established in collaboration with Hut 8 is currently engaging with investors in the Asian region regarding potential acquisitions. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces The Level That Decides Everything: Analyst The company’s ambition is said to mirror the successful approach of Michael Saylor, the founder of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), which has the largest Bitcoin holdings of any public company, surpassing 600,000 BTC coins according to Bitcointreasuries.Net data. The firm’s goal coincides with that of other companies exploring the crypto treasury reserve approach. These companies focus on assets beyond Bitcoin, including Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and TRON, among others. These firms sell shares or debt to fund their purchases of digital assets, allowing investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrency prices without directly owning the tokens. This method has appealed to many traders, particularly in a newly favorable regulatory environment for digital assets in the US. Trump Family Strengthens Crypto Presence The company is preparing to go public in September via a reverse merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, which is already listed on Nasdaq under the ticker name GRYP. Eric Trump serves as the co-founder and chief strategy officer of American Bitcoin, a rebranded entity that evolved from American Data Centers (ADC), previously a subsidiary of Dominari Holdings. American Bitcoin recently disclosed its goal of creating an efficient platform for Bitcoin accumulation, emphasizing active treasury management and long-term value creation for shareholders. The company noted that while it is exploring opportunities in specific regions, no binding commitments have yet been made. The Asian market, particularly Hong Kong, has been making significant efforts to become a hub for digital assets. Establishing treasury companies in these regions could generate new demand for cryptocurrencies, which aligns with American Bitcoin’s vision. Related Reading: BTC Slips Below $120K as Policy Shifts Rattle Markets: Is This a Setup for the Next Big Rally? In addition to American Bitcoin, the Trump family has diversified its crypto ventures. President Donald Trump recently reported earnings of $57 million from his involvement with World Liberty Financial, which announced plans to acquire $1.5 billion worth of its own WLFI tokens. Meanwhile, the Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) intends to raise funds for a “Bitcoin treasury,” highlighting the family’s ongoing commitment to the cryptocurrency space. As of this writing, American Bitcoin holds 1,941 BTC, currently valued at approximately $227 million. Bitcoin is currently trading at $117,270, having retraced 5% from its record high of $124,100 earlier this week. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Data shows the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has witnessed a spike, a sign that American investors may be buying at post-dip prices. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Seen A Sharp Positive Spike In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This metric measures the difference between the Bitcoin price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The indicator tells us about how the buying or selling behavior differs between the userbases of the two platforms. The former is the main platform of the American investors (especially the large institutional entities), while the latter gets users from around the world. Related Reading: Dogecoin Bullish Signal: Whales Buy 2 Billion DOGE Here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past week: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap surged to notable positive levels on Wednesday, indicating that BTC was going for more on Coinbase than Binance. In other words, Coinbase users were participating in a higher amount of buying than Binance traders. What followed the accumulation from the US-based entities was a surge in BTC’s price to a new all-time high (ATH). The cryptocurrency saw a plunge on Thursday and has continued to trade at lows today, but interestingly, the Coinbase Premium Gap has only noticed a further uptick. This could be a sign that American institutional investors are looking at the dip as a buying opportunity. Since the start of 2024, this cohort has often taken the driving seat in the market, so it only remains to be seen whether this accumulation would also lead somewhere. Another sign that could point at dip-buying occurring in the sector is the trend in the USDC Exchange Inflow, as the analyst has discussed in another X post. The “Exchange Inflow” is an on-chain indicator that tracks, as its name suggests, the amount of a given asset that investors are depositing into wallets associated with centralized exchanges. In the current case, the cryptocurrency involved is the stablecoin USDC. Generally, holders transfer their coins to exchanges when they want to sell, so an uptick in the metric for coins like Bitcoin can be a bearish sign for their prices. For stablecoins, however, the same isn’t true, as their prices are by definition stable around $1. Instead, stablecoin inflows have an effect on the volatile assets: investors use them to buy BTC and others, thus providing a bullish boost to their value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Since the BTC price plunge, the USDC Exchange Inflow has amounted to a whopping $3.88 billion. “Investors are treating it as a buy-the-dip opportunity,” notes Maartunn. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $117,800, down 1% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Institutions Buying The Bitcoin Dip? Coinbase Premium Shoots Up",
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"caption": "According to reports, Canary Capital has taken a formal step toward an ETF tied to the TRUMP memecoin by registering an entity called the “Canary Trump Coin ETF” with the Delaware Division of Corporations on August 13. Related Reading: Chainlink Breaks 3-Month High Amid Record 2025 Enthusiasm That registration is an early, procedural move and does not mean the fund has been filed with or approved by the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Markets reacted quickly; TRUMP rebounded from about $9.35 to $9.55 after the news, marking just over 10% gains for the week at press time. Regulatory Route And Competing Filings Based on reports, the registration adds to a growing list of institutional bids to package memecoins. Companies such as Grayscale, Bitwise, and 21Shares have already pursued funds linked to Dogecoin, while Osprey Funds and REX Shares filed for TRUMP-related products earlier in the year on January 21. Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas has suggested Canary may be positioning for a filing under the 33 Act, which would differ from other teams that have used the 40 Act. That choice could change the form of filings and the timeline for review. Looks Canary is prepping to poss file for first Trump Coin ETF via the ’33 Act. They registered the name an entity as statutory trust (33 act). Tuttle has Trump (and Melania) coin ETFs filed but via ’40 Act.. h/t source: @Cointelegraph pic.twitter.com/crz2ZApHkE — Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) August 13, 2025 What Registration Means And Why It Matters An entity registration in Delaware is a common legal step before formal SEC submissions like S-1s or 19b-4s. It signals intent and lets market participants spot plans early. It does not mean the SEC has weighed in, and approval would still hinge on custody, market surveillance, and other protections regulators demand. The filing has given TRUMP token holders reason for optimism because a regulated vehicle could bring new liquidity, but it would not change the token’s fundamentals. Momentum And Market Moves Reports have disclosed that the TRUMP token saw a price uptick after the registration announcement. That reaction is typical: headlines attract retail attention, and memecoins are highly sensitive to news flow. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Still, TRUMP remains far below its January peak of $75 — about 60% below that high — and any fund launch would only channel speculation into a regulated wrapper, not create earnings or cash flows for the token itself. There are risks to watch. Memecoins are commonly treated as commodities by regulators, which helps the case for ETF structures, but concentration in a few wallets, unclear custody arrangements, and the potential for market manipulation are real concerns. Approval would likely require third-party custody, audits, and exchange surveillance plans that make the product less fragile than an unregulated token listing. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView",
"headline": "Trump Coin Jumps 10% On Canary Capital ETF Filing: Details",
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"caption": "TRON’s market momentum has eased after a recent rally that pushed its price above $0.365, with the asset now trading at $0.355, representing a 1.76% drop over the past 24 hours. This consolidation follows a steady climb in recent weeks that saw the network’s transaction activity and derivatives data draw increased analyst attention. According to CryptoQuant contributor Burak Kesmeci, the current TRX futures market remains in a neutral position, suggesting that the asset may still have room to advance before approaching a local top. Related Reading: TRON Long-Term Holders See Massive Gains As TRX Pushes Toward Multi-Year Highs Futures Market Indicators and Historical Context Kesmeci’s analysis centers on the TRON Futures Volume Bubble Map, a metric used to gauge periods of overheating in the futures market. Historically, this tool has flagged heightened risk when red-toned “bubbles” appear, marking moments of excessive speculative activity. The last notable instance occurred in early December 2024, when TRX rose from $0.26 to $0.45 before hitting a local peak. At present, Kesmeci notes that the indicator has not entered the high-risk zone, meaning TRX has not yet reached levels of speculative saturation. This, in theory, leaves space for further price increases if current market trends persist. Futures market analysis like this often helps traders differentiate between rallies supported by organic demand and those driven primarily by leveraged speculation. The neutral reading suggests that current TRX movements could be supported by genuine buying interest rather than excessive short-term leverage. A balanced outlook, however, would also consider that futures market conditions can shift quickly. If trading volume or open interest begins to rise sharply alongside price, the risk of a pullback could grow. For now, the neutral futures environment combined with moderate spot market activity provides a base for potential incremental gains. TRON On-Chain Data Reveals Exchange-Linked Transfer Spike In a separate observation, CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain highlighted unusual network activity on July 19, 2025, when more than 3.426 billion TRX, valued at roughly $1.11 billion, moved across the blockchain in a single day. A closer breakdown of these transactions indicates that this surge was not the result of organic user demand but was instead tied to operational movements between a small group of large wallets. The data shows that two back-and-forth transfers of 612 million TRX each between two addresses accounted for around 36% of that day’s total value, fitting the pattern of a hot-to-cold wallet rebalance often associated with exchanges. Additional chains of transfers, including fixed-denomination movements of between 3 million and 7.5 million TRX, also align with common exchange deposit and withdrawal processing. Related Reading: TRON Crosses 11.1 Billion Transactions as USDT Activity Powers Its Momentum While over 85% of the day’s total transfer volume was traced to this interconnected wallet cluster, both Arkham and Tronscan list no official ownership labels for the addresses. Nevertheless, the mirrored transaction flows and their structured nature strongly point toward centralized custody, likely by an exchange or large service provider. Compared with a similar event in June 2023, the July 19 spike occurred within a broader trend of increasing transactions per second (TPS) and total transaction volume in 2025. This suggests that while the event itself was operational, TRON’s underlying network activity continues to expand. CryptoOnchain cautions that such operational spikes should be distinguished from genuine adoption surges to avoid overestimating organic growth. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "According to reports, USELESS coin surged 52% in a single day after becoming the first memecoin from LetsBONKfun to land on Binance. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion The price climbed from $0.19 to $0.33 during the initial burst, data from Coingecko shows, and many traders sold into that move overnight. Social interest rose alongside the price: 30-day growth was 42%, which translated to nearly 9,700 new followers, data from Messari shows. Exchange Listings Fuel Hype Reports have disclosed that other platforms moved quickly. Kraken listed the token amid the buzz, and Coinbase added USELESS to its listing roadmap, making the token visible to US markets. That wider exposure appears to have attracted new buyers and attention. Some traders said that easing crypto rules and exchange access were helping memecoins get more eyes and more capital. Deposits for $USELESS are now open on https://t.co/AZwoBOh0gq! Trading on the USELESS/USDT pair will begin on Aug 14 at 7 a.m. EDT.@theuselesscoin is Solana’s unapologetically pointless memecoin, a parody of “serious” crypto that thrives on meme power and a growing community. — Binance.US 🇺🇸 (@BinanceUS) August 13, 2025 Buyers Pushed Early And Some Took Profits Orderbook snapshots showed heavy bids before the Binance announcement, and some market watchers flagged those buys as suspicious. USELESS social interest up. Source: Messari. Insider buying is a common concern around listings, and the timing here raised eyebrows. After the launch, price shot to $0.31 from $0.22, then cooled as profit-taking set in. By the second day, buy-side depth had thickened while taker buy/sell volume began to ease. Overall Activity Up 300% Trading activity spiked. Daily volume reached $420 million, which was more than 1.5x the token’s market cap according to trade tallies. In the run-up and immediate aftermath, overall activity rose by almost 300%. Recovery phase for Bonk’s pairs, led by hard-working communities that never stopped during the bear days.#USELESS target is $5B.$KORI, $MOMO, and #旺柴: each aiming for at least $300M. The Bonk community stands apart from other launchpad platforms, with projects here often… pic.twitter.com/dKwIMmbtJW — 🕵️GEM DETECTER🕵️ (@gem_detecter) August 14, 2025 On decentralized exchanges, netflows put USELESS at the top of the list among the top 10 coins by netflow, even ahead of Bonk [BONK]. Gem Detector data on X showed USELESS as the most held token among the platform’s top four memecoins, a sign that community interest was strong. Related Reading: Chainlink Breaks 3-Month High Amid Record 2025 Enthusiasm Technical indicators signaled higher volatility as Bollinger Bands widened. The midpoint of the bands sits near an earlier resistance at $0.27, which could act as the next support. Resistance around $0.33 looks to be a key pivot; a clear break above that might open a path toward $0.40. If $0.27 fails, the token could slip back to $0.22, the level where the surge began. Aggregated spot and bid delta hit its highest level since launch, even as taker buy volume tapered off. Featured image from X/@theuselesscoin, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is approaching a critical juncture as its textbook ascending triangle converges with a tight trading range. Consolidation near key support and resistance levels sets the stage for a potential breakout or breakdown, making the next moves crucial for market momentum. Ascending Triangle Signals Strength Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin is currently shaping a textbook ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart — a well-recognized bullish continuation setup. The analyst explained that price action is consolidating just under the horizontal resistance zone at $122,500, while a series of higher lows continues to form along the rising trendline, signaling strong underlying demand. Related Reading: Bull Case For Bitcoin At $300,000 Triggers After Reaching Critical Level The analyst emphasized that as long as BTC holds above the 9 EMA at $118,738 and respects the ascending triangle’s support line, the overall bias remains bullish. These levels are crucial in maintaining the pattern’s structure, and a break below them could shift sentiment in favor of the bears. The persistence of higher lows indicates that buyers are consistently stepping in, preventing significant pullbacks, as indicated on the chart. In conclusion, Alpha Crypto Signal stated that a clean break above the $122,500 resistance, backed by strong volume, could open the door for BTC to push toward a new all-time high. Such a move is likely to confirm the ascending triangle breakout and potentially trigger the next major bullish wave in the market. Bitcoin Stuck Between $112,592 And $123,334 In an X post, X_Crypto, after examining Bitcoin’s action in a 4-hour timeframe, revealed that the flagship asset is currently trading within a defined range between $112,592 and $123,334, as highlighted on the chart. Meanwhile, the price is hovering around $119,106, with local support at $117,445 and the nearest resistance set at $123,334. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Wobbles Below Resistance – Could a Fresh Drop Follow? The analyst noted that above the current range, $124,576 stands out as a key resistance zone. If this level is breached, the next upside target would be $127,272, which could serve as a profit-taking point in a bullish scenario. These levels will be critical in determining the strength of any upward continuation. On the downside, X_Crypto pointed out that a break below $117,445 could open the way for a drop toward $112,592 — the lower boundary of the range and a strong support zone where buyers are likely to step in. This area, the writer stressed, will be pivotal for defending the broader bullish structure. Lastly, indicators on the lower timeframes, as mentioned by X_Crypto, are showing local oversold conditions, hinting at a potential short-term bounce. However, the analyst cautioned that without sustained consolidation above $119,106, selling pressure could persist, limiting any meaningful upside momentum. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is approaching a critical juncture as its textbook ascending triangle converges with a tight trading range. Consolidation near key support and resistance levels sets the stage for a potential breakout or breakdown, making the next moves crucial for market momentum. Ascending Triangle Signals Strength Alpha Crypto Signal, in a recent post, highlighted that Bitcoin is currently shaping a textbook ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart — a well-recognized bullish continuation setup. The analyst explained that price action is consolidating just under the horizontal resistance zone at $122,500, while a series of higher lows continues to form along the rising trendline, signaling strong underlying demand. Related Reading: Bull Case For Bitcoin At $300,000 Triggers After Reaching Critical Level The analyst emphasized that as long as BTC holds above the 9 EMA at $118,738 and respects the ascending triangle’s support line, the overall bias remains bullish. These levels are crucial in maintaining the pattern’s structure, and a break below them could shift sentiment in favor of the bears. The persistence of higher lows indicates that buyers are consistently stepping in, preventing significant pullbacks, as indicated on the chart. In conclusion, Alpha Crypto Signal stated that a clean break above the $122,500 resistance, backed by strong volume, could open the door for BTC to push toward a new all-time high. Such a move is likely to confirm the ascending triangle breakout and potentially trigger the next major bullish wave in the market. Bitcoin Stuck Between $112,592 And $123,334 In an X post, X_Crypto, after examining Bitcoin’s action in a 4-hour timeframe, revealed that the flagship asset is currently trading within a defined range between $112,592 and $123,334, as highlighted on the chart. Meanwhile, the price is hovering around $119,106, with local support at $117,445 and the nearest resistance set at $123,334. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Wobbles Below Resistance – Could a Fresh Drop Follow? The analyst noted that above the current range, $124,576 stands out as a key resistance zone. If this level is breached, the next upside target would be $127,272, which could serve as a profit-taking point in a bullish scenario. These levels will be critical in determining the strength of any upward continuation. On the downside, X_Crypto pointed out that a break below $117,445 could open the way for a drop toward $112,592 — the lower boundary of the range and a strong support zone where buyers are likely to step in. This area, the writer stressed, will be pivotal for defending the broader bullish structure. Lastly, indicators on the lower timeframes, as mentioned by X_Crypto, are showing local oversold conditions, hinting at a potential short-term bounce. However, the analyst cautioned that without sustained consolidation above $119,106, selling pressure could persist, limiting any meaningful upside momentum. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin (BTC) staged a mild rebound from yesterday’s inflation-driven drop to $117,180, climbing back toward $119,000 at the time of writing. A declining leverage ratio suggests the top cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum could persist, keeping it in the running for a new all-time high (ATH) in the near term. Bitcoin Leverage Ratio Falls, Bulls Rejoice According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin’s leverage ratio across all cryptocurrency exchanges has sharply declined from its late-July and early-August peak of 0.27. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Turn To ‘Smart DCA’ As Market Trades Below On-Chain Fair Value Of $117,700 Notably, the ratio dropped to 0.25 in early August before a modest rebound. In contrast, the period from May to late July saw both the price and leverage ratio climb in tandem, signaling an influx of traders opening larger positions. In contrast, this time leverage has fallen without a comparable drop in price – a sign that risk has eased since the recent uptrend. Arab Chain notes that this may be the result of high-risk positions being liquidated or traders exiting the market amid volatility. With BTC holding around $119,000, the lower leverage ratio is a bullish sign, suggesting that the latest price gains are fueled more by genuine liquidity than speculative excess. A continued decline in leverage could further reduce the likelihood of a sharp correction. Conversely, a sudden spike in leverage alongside a price rally would raise the risk of a pullback. The analyst added: If leverage remains at moderate or low levels while the price remains stable, this could provide a stable base for a new uptrend. An estimated leverage ratio (ELR) holding between 0.24–0.25, accompanied by a gradual price break above 120K, could indicate a spot-supported upside and a possible extension toward the July highs, with moderate funding and slowly rising open interest. However, a quick jump in the leverage ratio above 0.27 before or during a test of $120,000–$124,000 could signal high liquidation risk and the potential for a sharp downward “shakeout.” On-Chain Data Points To Potential Selling Pressure While lower leverage is encouraging for Bitcoin bulls, on-chain data – particularly rising exchange reserves and whale transfers – hints at possible selling pressure ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes ATH With Falling Average Executed Order Size And Rising Retail Activity For instance, Binance’s BTC reserves have recently surged to 579,000, raising concerns of profit-taking after Bitcoin’s recent rally to a fresh ATH. Likewise, more BTC miners are moving their holdings to Binance, potentially preparing to sell. Adding to the caution, some analysts warn of a possible pullback to $110,000 to fill outstanding fair value gaps. At press time, BTC trades at $118,672, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com",
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"caption": "A leading market analyst is warning XRP holders that dreams of a $1,000 price tag are far from reality. The expert, Tony The Bull, says the numbers simply do not add up, and reaching that level would require an economy-shaking leap in value. According to him, the market cap at such a price would not only surpass major companies and industries but would also outsize entire nations’ economies. He calls this level “fantasy pricing” and stresses that it is not something the market will see in 2030. Why A $1,000 XRP Price Defies Economic Reality Tony The Bull explains that a $1,000 price for XRP would create a market cap so large it would completely change the global financial landscape. At that level, XRP would be worth four times the total market cap of gold. For context, gold is considered one of the most valuable and stable assets in the world, yet the cryptocurrency would have to multiply that value fourfold. Related Reading: Ethereum Still At Risk Of Being Overtaken By XRP? Analyst Walks Back Shocking Prediction A $1,000 XRP would make its market cap fifteen times larger than Apple, the most valuable publicly traded company on the planet. This kind of valuation, according to Tony, is beyond what the current or foreseeable market could support. On a global scale, it would equal half of the total world GDP. In other words, half of all economic activity on Earth would have to be matched by a single cryptocurrency, something that has never happened in history. The market expert also points out that this hypothetical market cap would also be half the value of the entire global stock market. That means XRP alone would have to rival half the value of every listed company combined. Tony stresses that these comparisons show the $1,000 target is not just ambitious, it’s far beyond realistic market conditions. Expert Labels XRP $1,000 Target As “Fantasy Pricing” Because of these staggering numbers, Tony does not hesitate to call the $1,000 prediction “fantasy pricing.” Looking at hard facts, the global economy, asset values, and cryptocurrency market structure simply do not align with such a price level for XRP. Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works He adds that it’s not a possibility in 2030, no matter how optimistic some investors may be. Even with strong market performance, growth, and adoption, the gap between reality and a $1,000 price is too wide to close in the near term. For holders who still cling to the hope of hitting that number, Tony delivers a blunt reality check. They might need to hold their investment for an entire generation, decades of waiting, and even then, there’s no guarantee such a level would ever be reached. Tony aims to ground the conversation in facts rather than hype. While optimism is common in the crypto world, he believes investors also need to be realistic about what’s possible and what isn’t. For XRP, the $1,000 dream is one that may remain just that, a dream. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "The global financial system is on the verge of a seismic shift. A prominent figure in the financial institution believes that tokenized assets could grow into a $100 trillion market in the coming years. As tokenization expands, Ethereum is positioned to become the foundation of a new, faster, and more accessible global financial system. Ethereum As The Settlement Layer For Global Finance In an X post, CryptoGucci shared a clip of SharpLink Gaming (SBET) Co-CEO Joseph Chalom outlining his bullish outlook for Ethereum, while forecasting a financial tectonic shift. According to Chalom’s statement, the tokenized assets will surge to a staggering $100 trillion in market cap, and Ethereum will be the financial backbone keeping it all moving. Related Reading: Are Ethereum Treasury Companies A Threat To Bitcoin? Michael Saylor Reveals His Stance Chalom also mentioned that the new asset class won’t be limited to niche crypto tokens. It will encompass everything from stablecoins to traditional funds, and real-world assets (RWAs), which will grow into $100 trillion market cap. The defining features of this revolution will be programmable, decentralized, and 24/7 global accessibility, all of which demand a neutral, trusted, and always available ecosystem. For Chalom, the answer is obvious, and that layer is Ethereum. The network’s unmatched developer ecosystem, battle-tested security, and thriving DeFi infrastructure make it the natural backbone for a programmable, multi-trillion-dollar global economy. Such a development will rejuvenate and drive the growth of ETH. According to the CEO, SharpLink’s mission is aligned with that vision. The company aims to drive adoption, build market awareness, and aggressively accumulate ETH for its shareholders, while positioning itself as one of the dominant ETH treasuries in existence. Overall, Chalom’s comments about Ethereum’s prospects underscore how the network is becoming the bedrock of a $100 trillion global transformation, and a future where every asset, every payment rail, every settlement flows through the ETH network. This isn’t just a shift in technology; it is the rewiring of the global financial system. Futures Market Shows ETH’s Increasing Market Maturity As Ethereum continues to expand its role in DeFi, staking, and tokenized assets, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Ethereum futures have smashed records, signaling institutional confidence. An analyst known as CryptoBusy has revealed on X that July was a historic month for ETH futures on CME, with trading volume hitting an all-time high of $118 billion, which is the largest ever recorded. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Gap Threatens Recovery, Why A Crash To $4,080 Is Possible While the CME futures exploded to new heights, ETH’s open interest also witnessed a notable increase. This highlights a shift in market behavior as institutions are chasing short-term gains and also positioning themselves for bigger, longer-term moves ahead, signaling growing confidence in ETH as a strategic asset. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector’s total value locked (TVL) has climbed to $154.248 billion, with liquid staking giant Lido and lending platform Aave maintaining dominant positions. Lido, Aave Take Top Spots as DeFi TVL Surpasses $150B Data from defillama.com shows TVL declined 3.23% over the past 24 hours, yet the figure remains well above the […]",
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"caption": "Despite still trading within the single-digit territory, the XRP price is reportedly getting ready for one of the most dramatic rallies in crypto history. Market expert ‘Crypto Sensei’ predicts that the cryptocurrency could soar by more than 44,000%, potentially breaking past the $1,000 mark. The analyst noted that strong capital inflows have ignited a powerful market capitalization multiplier effect, setting the stage for this projected surge. XRP Price Set For Monumental Surge To $1,437 XRP could be on the brink of a historic price breakout, according to a new market analysis by Crypto Sensei. In a recent video on X social media, the expert broke down how the cryptocurrency’s market dynamics and liquidity structure could pave the way for unprecedented gains, with potential prices soaring into the four-digit territory. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, But There’s Good News The video analysis is centered on a striking market capitalization multiplier effect for XRP. Crypto Sensei noted that over the last two days, the cryptocurrency has experienced a 1,250x market cap multiplier based on substantial capital inflows. Using conservative projections, the analyst calculated that an inflow of $3 billion could catapult XRP’s market capitalization to approximately $3.77 trillion, translating to a token price of around $540. On the higher end, an $8 billion inflow could push the market cap to about $10 trillion, with each XRP valued roughly at $1,437. Notably, Crypto Sensei explained that this projected surge in price stems from the fact that a significant portion of XRP’s circulating supply remains illiquid. Such conditions allow relatively moderate capital inflows to generate outsized impacts on the market cap and price. While the multiplier effect could finish over time as more liquidity enters the market, the analyst believes that the current state still leaves room for dramatic price movements. However, Crypto Sensei also cautioned that this volatility works both ways, either by driving prices up when inflows surge or triggering steep declines during outflows. If the expert’s projections are realized, the XRP price, which is presently trading at $3.12, could see gains of over 44,000%, marking its largest upward move since its dramatic surge to its $3.84 ATH in 2018. XRP Still In A Macro Bullish Cycle Crypto market analyst Egrag Crypto has reaffirmed a bullish long-term outlook for XRP, stating that the cryptocurrency remains firmly within a macro bullish cycle as long as its monthly close stays above $2. The latest analysis, supported by a detailed chart projection, identifies the current market structure as a textbook bull flag pattern. Related Reading: Analyst Says What Happened With Bitcoin Is About To Happen With XRP According to the chart, XRP has maintained its trajectory within a long-term ascending channel. Previous bullish cycles had concluded with sharp rallies following a period of consolidation in a similar flag structure. Notably, Egrag Crypto’s measured targets from this technical setup suggest significant potential gains ahead, with possible price targets stretching well beyond the $19 range and extending toward higher macro levels of $37 and $50. The $2 level is identified as a key macro support zone, serving as the threshold between continued bullish momentum and a possible trend invalidation. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Ethereum has run straight into its four-year ceiling, with price action pressing the $4,700 band that Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) repeatedly calls “the level that decides everything.” His latest broadcast frames ETH’s setup as binary: either a decisive break through this resistance — confirmed by a clean weekly close and a break of the down-trending weekly RSI line — or another rejection that extends a months-long pattern of weakening rallies. Ethereum Teeters at $4,700 — Breakout Oor Bloodbath? “The catch-up is over,” Kevin said, noting ETH has “finally caught up to basically where Bitcoin is at… it’s at its major resistance.” In his read, the $4,700 area is not a single tick but a supply zone defined by the prior cycle’s peak and reinforced by a “weekly downtrend on the RSI” that has capped every advance since early 2024. “Break resistance and the real bull will begin,” he added. Until that happens, he characterizes this band as the “line in the sand.” Momentum into the test was real. Kevin described money flow improving and “nice patterns forming on some altcoins” — including “textbook inverse head and shoulders” — before the follow-through failed and ETH stalled right at resistance. He pointed to the Asia session’s lack of continuation and, more forcefully, to a macro surprise that hit as the market was leaning long. Related Reading: Ethereum Still At Risk Of Being Overtaken By XRP? Analyst Walks Back Shocking Prediction That shock was the US Producer Price Index. “The PPI came in significantly hotter than expected,” Kevin said, emphasizing both the magnitude and where the pressure showed up: month-over-month +0.9% versus +0.2% expected, year-over-year 3.3% versus 2.5%, with core PPI +0.9% m/m versus +0.2% and 3.7% y/y versus 3.0%. In his view, this reflects tariff-driven costs being “brunted by the producer,” which is why the spike surfaced in PPI rather than CPI. The open question — and the risk to ETH at resistance — is whether those costs “trickle into the CPI” and, by extension, PCE. He underscored how quickly rate-cut probabilities whipsawed on the FedWatch tool intraday: September still heavily favored, October largely intact, and December “pricing out a third rate cut” before flipping back toward it as the day progressed. “This has been volatile this morning… let it settle out,” he cautioned, adding that next week’s Jackson Hole remarks from Chair Powell are the next major macro catalyst. Technically, Kevin’s checklist for Ethereum does not change with one data print. He stresses two confirmations: take out the horizontal supply around $4,700 with authority and “break the weekly downtrend on the RSI” to nullify the bearish divergence that has persisted since Q1 2024. “Resistance is resistance until it’s not,” he said. Fail there, and ETH risks another corrective leg as late longs are forced out at the worst possible spot. Succeed, and “the entire conversation changes,” opening a path to what he calls a “real bull” in ETH and, by knock-on effect, in the broader alt market. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Gap Threatens Recovery, Why A Crash To $4,080 Is Possible He ties ETH’s fate to broader market structure without diluting the focus. Total2 — his ETH-plus-alts proxy — “came up to 1.69 trillion” against a well-telegraphed breakout trigger at “1.72 trillion,” while tapping its own weekly RSI downtrend. The inability to push that last few dozen billions alongside the PPI shock explains the abrupt reversal across ETH and alts. Kevin also flagged stablecoin dynamics and seasonal liquidity as background variables, noting USDT dominance remains elevated and that September “usually” isn’t a great month as traditional funds return from summer, manage taxes, and prepare for Q4 risk. Operationally, he argues that the right trade location was behind us, not at resistance. “There’s no reason to be buying up in these crazy levels,” he said, advising patience for anyone positioned from lower. His framework is simple and strict: watch the weekly ETH chart, the $4,700 band, and the RSI trendline. If macro “stays steady,” he expects the break; if it deteriorates, he’ll reassess. Either way, the pivot won’t come from lower-timeframe noise but from ETH finally resolving its four-year wall. “Focus on these charts and nothing else,” Kevin concluded. For Ethereum, that means one test, one level, and one signal: clear $4,700 and retire the divergence — or wait. At press time, ETH traded at $4,619. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin’s record-breaking rally hit a pause this week as shifting U.S. policy signals triggered a sharp pullback. After surging to an all-time high of $124,457 on August 13, BTC plunged as low as $117,477 on Friday morning before stabilizing around $119,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Act Is Still America’s Playbook, Clarifies Senator Lummis The 5% drop followed U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments ruling out additional government Bitcoin purchases for strategic reserves, sparking $1 billion in leveraged liquidations. Despite the correction, on-chain data suggests the market may be setting up for another leg higher. Exchange netflows have dipped to levels historically seen before major bull runs in 2017 and 2021, signaling reduced selling pressure from long-term holders. Short-Term Bitcoin (BTC) Holders Show Strength Amid Volatility One of the most striking trends has been the resilience of short-term holders (STHs), defined as addresses holding Bitcoin (BTC) for 155 days or less. Instead of selling into the rally, STHs have shifted toward accumulation, as reflected in the rebound of the STH Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) above the neutral line. This indicates that coins moved by STHs are being sold at a profit, yet without triggering large-scale profit-taking. Market analysts view this conviction as a stabilizing force that could help absorb selling pressure and support higher prices in the coming weeks. BTC's price breaks below $120,000 on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Derivatives Market Points to Aggressive Buying The derivatives market has also flashed bullish signals. Over the past 24 hours, BTC recorded $24.28 million in short liquidations versus $17.16 million in long liquidations, alongside a 65% surge in trading volume to $149.47 billion. Options volume soared 128% to $9.43 billion, while the taker buy/sell ratio hit a monthly high of 1.16, a sign that buyers are aggressively absorbing supply. Positive funding rates further indicate traders’ willingness to pay premiums to hold long positions, suggesting confidence without excessive leverage risk. The NVT Golden Cross, a valuation-to-transaction metric, has dropped sharply, a pattern that has historically preceded strong rallies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back Below $120K After New ATH as Whale Ratio Hits Risk Levels With resistance at $122,190 and support near $115,892, market watchers say a breakout above the former could trigger a retest of $124,457. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from",
"headline": "BTC Slips Below $120K as Policy Shifts Rattle Markets: Is This a Setup for the Next Big Rally?",
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"caption": "The memecoin market has stumbled during the latest altcoin correction, with many tokens losing both market share and prominence in the broader crypto narrative. Once the center of retail-driven hype, memecoins are now struggling to keep pace as capital flows shift toward more established altcoins and fundamentally strong projects. The momentum that propelled these speculative assets during the late stages of last year’s minor rally has largely dissipated, leaving most trading well below their recent highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility Hits 2-Year Low As 30-Day Range Tightens While a handful of select memecoins continue to deliver notable gains, they remain the exception rather than the rule. The current altcoin rally has favored sectors with deeper liquidity and stronger institutional interest, pushing memecoins further into the background. This shift suggests that traders are becoming more selective, avoiding high-volatility tokens without strong catalysts. Top analyst Darkfost notes that memecoins are clearly lagging compared to the broader altcoin market, both in performance and in investor attention. Without a resurgence of hype-driven buying, these tokens may continue to underperform in the near term. For now, the memecoin market faces an uphill battle to reclaim its former momentum, as attention and capital concentrate on assets showing stronger technical and fundamental strength. Memecoins Struggle as Liquidity Flows Toward Ethereum According to Darkfost, the memecoin market is facing a challenging phase as Ethereum continues to absorb a significant share of overall altcoin liquidity. This shift has steadily reduced memecoins’ dominance relative to other altcoins, signaling a clear change in market preference. Darkfost notes that while a handful of memecoins are still delivering gains, their performance is largely anecdotal and not indicative of a broader trend. The analyst emphasizes that this is “clearly not memecoin season” and warns traders against overexposing themselves to the sector in the current market environment. Without the hype cycles and speculative inflows that typically fuel sharp rallies in this asset class, price action has remained subdued for most tokens. In contrast, capital has increasingly flowed toward Ethereum and other fundamentally strong projects that are showing momentum. Darkfost advises that caution should be the guiding principle for investors considering memecoin positions at this time. With Ethereum approaching new highs and pulling liquidity from the broader altcoin market, the conditions for a strong memecoin recovery remain limited. Looking ahead, the coming weeks will be decisive. If Ethereum breaks into uncharted territory and altcoins rally toward their range highs, some spillover effect could reignite interest in memecoins. However, without a significant shift in sentiment and liquidity distribution, the sector may continue to lag, leaving traders better positioned by focusing on assets with stronger technical and fundamental setups. Related Reading: TRON Long-Term Holders See Massive Gains As TRX Pushes Toward Multi-Year Highs Memecoin Market Cap Analysis The total memecoin market cap currently stands at approximately $70.74 billion, showing a modest +2.64% gain in the last session. Despite the recent uptick, the chart reflects a period of heightened volatility following a sharp rally in July that peaked near the $80 billion mark. Since then, the market has struggled to sustain momentum, with repeated rejections at higher levels and a gradual shift toward consolidation. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently near $66.57 billion, is acting as a dynamic support level, with recent pullbacks finding buying interest around this zone. This suggests that while bullish sentiment has weakened, buyers are still stepping in to defend key support areas. Trading volume has also increased in recent sessions, indicating that market participants are actively positioning despite the broader slowdown. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Power Index Hits Neutral Zone After Months Of Bullish Readings – Details However, the inability to break convincingly above $75 billion signals that sellers are still in control of the upper range. For a stronger recovery, memecoin market cap would need to reclaim and hold above the $75–$76 billion area. Conversely, a breakdown below the 50-day SMA could open the door to a deeper correction, potentially testing the $64–$65 billion range. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "The Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have crashed significantly in the last 24 hours. This follows developments on the macro end, which have sparked a bearish sentiment among investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs. Why Bitcoin and Ethereum Prices Are Crashing CoinMarketCap data shows that the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are crashing, down over 3% and 2%, respectively, in the last 24 hours. This crash is partly thanks to U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s statement about the proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. In a Fox Business Interview, he said that the country won’t be buying Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hits $124,400 ATH, Ethereum Next In Line, What’s Driving It? However, Bessent added that they have no plans to sell the Bitcoin they currently hold, which he claimed is worth between $15 and $20 billion. Instead of buying, the U.S. government plans to use only confiscated assets and opt against selling them. Investors viewed Bessent’s statement as bearish, considering that Donald Trump’s executive order establishing the strategic reserve said the U.S. would consider ways to buy more Bitcoin. Furthermore, Bessent’s statement had also suggested that the U.S. Congress wasn’t going to follow through with Senator Cynthia’s BITCOIN Act. This bill proposes that the country will buy 1 million BTC over five years. The market has been pricing in the possibility of this happening, given its bullish implications for the Bitcoin price and the Ethereum price by extension. However, a positive for the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices is the fact that Bessent’s statement about the current value of the U.S. BTC holdings shows that they haven’t sold their coins. There were earlier reports that the U.S. had sold a significant portion of its Bitcoin holdings after the U.S. Marshals said they held only 28,988.356 BTC in response to an FOIA request. Arkham data shows that the U.S. holds 198,022 BTC, worth around $23 billion. U.S. PPI Data Contributes To Crash The U.S. PPI data that was released yesterday also contributed to the Bitcoin and Ethereum price crash. Data from the Labor Department showed that PPI inflation rose to 3.3% year-on-year (YoY) in July, which was way above expectations of 2.5%. Meanwhile, the monthly PPI came in at 0.9%, also way above the expected 0.2%. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Ethereum Price Is Rallying Toward New All-Time Highs Bitcoin and Ethereum had witnessed a sharp drop following the release of the data. The PPI data is bearish for crypto prices because it could make the Fed reconsider cutting rates at the September FOMC meeting. Before the PPI release, CME Fedwatch data had shown that there was a 99% chance that the Fed would make a 25 basis point cut in September. However, these odds have dropped to around 93%. Although this suggests that the Fed will still cut rates, rising inflation in the U.S. isn’t good for Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, since it could restrain how much investors can invest in these risk assets. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "While most cryptocurrencies saw steep declines amid a $1.05 billion liquidation wave, Cardano (ADA) stood out as the only top-50 asset in the green. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks Above Key Level Against Bitcoin, Sparking Bullish Cycle Talk Despite an 11% dip after topping $1.00 for the first time since March, ADA quickly recovered, hovering between $0.89 and $0.91 and signaling strong buyer support on dips. The resilience came even as Bitcoin retreated from its $124,128 all-time high to the $118K–$119K zone and broader macroeconomic pressures weighed on risk assets. Analysts believe ADA’s ability to maintain momentum despite market turbulence strengthens its bullish case. Cardano (ADA)’s Technical Breakout Points to 70% Upside Market analyst Ali Martinez notes that ADA has finally broken out of a descending channel that’s been in place since its December 2024 peak at $1.32. This move mirrors price action from the 2020–2021 cycle, when ADA consolidated in a similar pattern before rallying to an all-time high of $3.09. With the breakout confirmed above $0.84, Martinez projects a potential 70% run toward $1.50. Other analysts, like Crypto Yhodda, point to the repeating pattern from the last cycle, suggesting ADA could next target $1.80 before attempting a breakout toward new multi-dollar highs. Key support now lies between $0.80 and $1.00, with a sustained close above $1.02 likely confirming the next leg upward. Should bullish momentum hold, upside targets include $1.20, $1.50, and potentially $3.10 in a multi-month rally. ADA's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview On-Chain and Institutional Signals Boost Confidence ADA’s fundamentals are also backing the bullish case. On-chain activity has surged to 2.6 million daily transactions, with low fees of $0.12 enabling mass adoption, especially in emerging markets. The ADAV2 upgrade, featuring zero-knowledge smart contracts, decentralized governance, and Hydra scaling up to 1 million TPS, is attracting enterprise interest. Institutional adoption is accelerating as well. Grayscale has increased ADA’s allocation in its Smart Contract Platform Ex-Ethereum Fund to 20%, and the SEC is reviewing a dedicated ADA ETF. A favorable decision could unlock billions in inflows, mirroring Ethereum’s post-ETF rally. Bottom Line With technical breakout patterns aligning with on-chain strength and growing institutional interest, Cardano’s 2025 rally may be far from over. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Cycle You Knew Is Dead, Says Capriole Founder If current support zones hold, ADA could be poised for a 70% surge, challenging key resistance levels and potentially redefining its place among top altcoins. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview",
"headline": "Cardano Defies Market Pullback: Could On-Chain Momentum Signal a 70% Run Ahead?",
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"caption": "Just 13 days remain before the TOKEN6900 ($T6900) presale closes, and for anyone who has witnessed SPX6900’s meteoric 59,000,000% run from its launch to its current price of $1.56, the clock is ticking. Branded as $SPX’s unhinged sequel, complete with one extra token in supply for “objective superiority,” $T6900 sticks to pure meme chaos without pretending to offer utility. With the presale priced at $0.006975 and $2M+ already raised, demand is building fast, with the next stage of price hike fast approaching. The question now is simple: can TOKEN6900 ($T6900) match, or even surpass, its infamous cousin’s chart? SPX6900’s Legacy – Why it Matters for $T6900 SPX6900 launched as a tongue-in-cheek parody of the S&P 500, offering zero utility and unapologetically running on pure meme-fueled liquidity. What started at rock-bottom prices at launch ended up exploding to an all-time high of $2.28 on July 28, 2025. This locked in a 130,000% gain from its somewhat dismal performance in February 2024. Tokens like $SPX, $DOGE, and $PEPE have shown that with the right cultural spark, a coin’s narrative alone can drive massive price action. For TOKEN6900, that’s the benchmark, and the legends it’s trying to outdo. TOKEN6900’s Twist – One Extra Token & the “69” Factor TOKEN6900’s claim to being “objectively superior” comes from a single, absurd detail – its total supply is exactly one token greater than SPX6900’s. In true meme coin fashion, the quirks don’t stop there: just 6.9K tokens (0.0007%) are allocated to developers (locked for five years), while a strangely precise 24.9999% goes to “dolphins.” The number 69 runs deep in its DNA, echoing Elon Musk’s long-running fixation on pricing a Tesla Model S at $69,420, to joking that his birthday falls exactly 69 days after April 20, in response to an X post noting that Tesla closed 2023 with a 4.20% market share. $T6900 taps into that numerology for viral, culture-driven marketing. It’s satire, yes. But in the land of the best meme coins, a joke that spreads is often the most valuable utility of all. Sub-Cent Entry and Countdown to TOKEN6900 Presale Close At $0.006975, TOKEN6900 ($T6900) sits in the same sub-cent territory where SPX6900 began its parabolic run. The presale aims for a $5M hard cap, with stage-based price hikes adding urgency. Buyers can also stake their tokens for a 33% APY while waiting for the token to launch and hit exchanges. There are just 13 days left on the timer. The sale could close earlier if the $5M hard cap is reached, however, especially considering recent whale buys. That includes a single $16.3K purchase in July. Visit the official Token6900 ($T6900) presale website today. Final Thoughts Before the Presale Clock Runs Out SPX6900’s rise showed how quickly a well-timed meme coin narrative can snowball into massive returns. And TOKEN6900 ($T6900) is positioning itself as the next chapter in that story. The combination of sub-cent pricing, a clear cultural hook, and a fixed presale window appears to be appealing to those chasing the next crypto to explode. However, this is not financial advice. Meme coins are volatile by nature, so please always do your own research before buying anything.",
"headline": "13 Days Left: Could TOKEN6900 Repeat SPX6900’s 59,000,000% Gain?",
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"caption": "Just 13 days remain before the TOKEN6900 ($T6900) presale closes, and for anyone who has witnessed SPX6900’s meteoric 59,000,000% run from its launch to its current price of $1.56, the clock is ticking. Branded as $SPX’s unhinged sequel, complete with one extra token in supply for “objective superiority,” $T6900 sticks to pure meme chaos without pretending to offer utility. With the presale priced at $0.006975 and $2M+ already raised, demand is building fast, with the next stage of price hike fast approaching. The question now is simple: can TOKEN6900 ($T6900) match, or even surpass, its infamous cousin’s chart? SPX6900’s Legacy – Why it Matters for $T6900 SPX6900 launched as a tongue-in-cheek parody of the S&P 500, offering zero utility and unapologetically running on pure meme-fueled liquidity. What started at rock-bottom prices at launch ended up exploding to an all-time high of $2.28 on July 28, 2025. This locked in a 130,000% gain from its somewhat dismal performance in February 2024. Tokens like $SPX, $DOGE, and $PEPE have shown that with the right cultural spark, a coin’s narrative alone can drive massive price action. For TOKEN6900, that’s the benchmark, and the legends it’s trying to outdo. TOKEN6900’s Twist – One Extra Token & the “69” Factor TOKEN6900’s claim to being “objectively superior” comes from a single, absurd detail – its total supply is exactly one token greater than SPX6900’s. In true meme coin fashion, the quirks don’t stop there: just 6.9K tokens (0.0007%) are allocated to developers (locked for five years), while a strangely precise 24.9999% goes to “dolphins.” The number 69 runs deep in its DNA, echoing Elon Musk’s long-running fixation on pricing a Tesla Model S at $69,420, to joking that his birthday falls exactly 69 days after April 20, in response to an X post noting that Tesla closed 2023 with a 4.20% market share. $T6900 taps into that numerology for viral, culture-driven marketing. It’s satire, yes. But in the land of the best meme coins, a joke that spreads is often the most valuable utility of all. Sub-Cent Entry and Countdown to TOKEN6900 Presale Close At $0.006975, TOKEN6900 ($T6900) sits in the same sub-cent territory where SPX6900 began its parabolic run. The presale aims for a $5M hard cap, with stage-based price hikes adding urgency. Buyers can also stake their tokens for a 33% APY while waiting for the token to launch and hit exchanges. There are just 13 days left on the timer. The sale could close earlier if the $5M hard cap is reached, however, especially considering recent whale buys. That includes a single $16.3K purchase in July. Visit the official Token6900 ($T6900) presale website today. Final Thoughts Before the Presale Clock Runs Out SPX6900’s rise showed how quickly a well-timed meme coin narrative can snowball into massive returns. And TOKEN6900 ($T6900) is positioning itself as the next chapter in that story. The combination of sub-cent pricing, a clear cultural hook, and a fixed presale window appears to be appealing to those chasing the next crypto to explode. However, this is not financial advice. Meme coins are volatile by nature, so please always do your own research before buying anything.",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal moment, facing heavy resistance after setting a new all-time high around $124,000 yesterday. The milestone sparked excitement among bulls, but also renewed caution among analysts who warn that slowing momentum could signal a potential market cycle top. Some see the recent hesitation as a sign that buyers may be losing steam at these elevated levels. Related Reading: TRON Long-Term Holders See Massive Gains As TRX Pushes Toward Multi-Year Highs Despite the growing bearish speculation, on-chain data from CryptoQuant offers a more optimistic perspective. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR-7d) has climbed to 1.04 with Bitcoin trading near $119,000. This reading means that, on average, short-term holders are selling their coins at a profit — yet the market is successfully absorbing this selling pressure without triggering a sharp correction. Historically, maintaining SOPR above the 1.00–1.02 range, with pullbacks to unity quickly bought up, has supported continued uptrends. While the current amplitude is still below the overheated peaks of past cycles, the data suggests that profit-taking remains moderate. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether BTC can overcome its current resistance zone or if it will face a deeper retracement before attempting another push higher. Moderate Selling Pressure Hits Bitcoin According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR-7d) remains in a healthy range, with amplitude still moderate and well below the peaks of 1.06–1.09 seen in previous bullish waves. This indicates that selling pressure from short-term holders is not extreme, even as BTC trades near its all-time highs. Adler notes that the bullish scenario hinges on maintaining the SOPR-7d above 1.00–1.02, as values above unity mean that short-term holders are, on average, selling at a profit — and the market is absorbing that supply without triggering a larger sell-off. Ideally, brief pullbacks toward 1.00 should be met with strong buying interest, as quick rebounds from unity historically confirm robust demand. However, the analyst cautions that if SOPR dips below 1.0 and stays there, it would signal weakening demand. This shift would increase the probability of a deeper market correction, as it implies that coins are being sold at a loss and buyers are not stepping in aggressively enough to absorb them. The coming days will be pivotal for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Many analysts see BTC pushing decisively above $125,000 as the next major breakout level. Others, however, remain cautious, expecting the market to face a sharp retracement before resuming its upward trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility Hits 2-Year Low As 30-Day Range Tightens Bitcoin Tests Resistance After Sharp Rejection from New Highs Bitcoin’s daily chart shows the cryptocurrency recently tested a new all-time high near $124,000 before facing swift rejection, pulling back to current levels around $118,777. This drop marks a failure to sustain momentum above the crucial $123,217 resistance zone, highlighted in yellow on the chart. Despite the rejection, BTC remains well-supported above the 50-day moving average (blue), currently near $115,194. This level has consistently acted as a dynamic support during the 2025 uptrend. The 100-day MA (green) at $110,456 and the 200-day MA (red) at $100,144 remain far below, underscoring the strength of the broader bullish structure. Related Reading: Ethereum 30-Day Netflow Average Deepens Negative: Buyers Dominate Market The consolidation below resistance reflects a market pausing to digest recent gains. For bulls, reclaiming $123,217 and closing above $124,000 would signal renewed momentum and could open the path toward $125,000 and beyond. A break below the 50-day MA could trigger a deeper pullback, with the 100-day MA as the next support. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "BlackRock’s cryptocurrency portfolio has surpassed the $100 billion mark, as Bitcoin and Ethereum push to new all-time highs. The world’s largest asset manager now holds nearly $104 billion in digital assets, and this achievement came as Bitcoin briefly broke above $124,000 on August 14, 2025, to set a new price record before consolidating between $118,000 and $121,000. Ethereum also surged to nearly $4,790, just shy of its 2021 peak of $4,878. BlackRock’s Expanding Digital Asset Portfolio Bitcoin and Ethereum have been on a price roll in recent weeks, and a large part of this momentum can be attributed to steady institutional inflows into Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs based in the US. At the forefront of this surge is BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, which continues to dominate in terms of assets under management (AUM) and growth in cryptocurrency exposure, particularly in Ethereum in the past two months. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts ‘Near Term’ Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices, There’s Still Room To Run Interestingly, data from Arkham Intelligence shows that BlackRock has crossed the $100 billion mark in terms of total crypto holdings. This interesting milestone is based on a combination of inflows into its ETFs, which has increased its accumulation strategy, and the recent uptick in the price of cryptocurrencies across the board. Data from Arkham Intelligence shows BlackRock’s total holdings recently hit a peak value of $107 billion when Bitcoin reached a record price of $124,128 yesterday, and Ethereum reached a multi-year price peak of $4,775. At the time of writing, the investment management company is holding 744,240 BTC worth $88.43 billion and 3.2 million ETH, worth approximately $14.78 billion. Putting The Growth Into Perspective At the beginning of 2025, BlackRock’s cryptocurrency portfolio was valued at roughly $54 billion, with the overwhelming majority of that exposure concentrated in Bitcoin. However, the first quarter of the year brought a period of weakness, as Arkham Intelligence data shows the portfolio’s value slid to a low of about $46 billion in early April. From that point on, momentum shifted sharply in the opposite direction. The firm’s total holdings have since climbed by about 124% from April 7 up until the time of writing. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Analysts Just Revised Its $7,500 Ethereum Target, Here’s The New Prediction Bitcoin still accounts for more than 85% of BlackRock’s crypto allocation, but the most remarkable growth story in the past eight months has come from Ethereum. In both volume and market value, ETH holdings have expanded at a far more aggressive pace than Bitcoin, surging by over 309% in dollar terms since the start of the year. At the start of 2025, BlackRock’s Bitcoin reserves stood at approximately 552,000 BTC. Current data indicates that Bitcoin holdings have grown by about 34% over the course of the year. Ethereum’s expansion within BlackRock’s portfolio has been even more notable, as the firm began the year with roughly 1.1 million ETH and has more than doubled its position in just eight months, with the current volume representing a 190% increase. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "BlackRock’s Crypto Holdings Balloon As Bitcoin, Ethereum Reach For New ATHs — Here Are The Numbers",
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"caption": "BlackRock’s cryptocurrency portfolio has surpassed the $100 billion mark, as Bitcoin and Ethereum push to new all-time highs. The world’s largest asset manager now holds nearly $104 billion in digital assets, and this achievement came as Bitcoin briefly broke above $124,000 on August 14, 2025, to set a new price record before consolidating between $118,000 and $121,000. Ethereum also surged to nearly $4,790, just shy of its 2021 peak of $4,878. BlackRock’s Expanding Digital Asset Portfolio Bitcoin and Ethereum have been on a price roll in recent weeks, and a large part of this momentum can be attributed to steady institutional inflows into Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs based in the US. At the forefront of this surge is BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, which continues to dominate in terms of assets under management (AUM) and growth in cryptocurrency exposure, particularly in Ethereum in the past two months. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts ‘Near Term’ Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices, There’s Still Room To Run Interestingly, data from Arkham Intelligence shows that BlackRock has crossed the $100 billion mark in terms of total crypto holdings. This interesting milestone is based on a combination of inflows into its ETFs, which has increased its accumulation strategy, and the recent uptick in the price of cryptocurrencies across the board. Data from Arkham Intelligence shows BlackRock’s total holdings recently hit a peak value of $107 billion when Bitcoin reached a record price of $124,128 yesterday, and Ethereum reached a multi-year price peak of $4,775. At the time of writing, the investment management company is holding 744,240 BTC worth $88.43 billion and 3.2 million ETH, worth approximately $14.78 billion. Putting The Growth Into Perspective At the beginning of 2025, BlackRock’s cryptocurrency portfolio was valued at roughly $54 billion, with the overwhelming majority of that exposure concentrated in Bitcoin. However, the first quarter of the year brought a period of weakness, as Arkham Intelligence data shows the portfolio’s value slid to a low of about $46 billion in early April. From that point on, momentum shifted sharply in the opposite direction. The firm’s total holdings have since climbed by about 124% from April 7 up until the time of writing. Related Reading: Standard Chartered Analysts Just Revised Its $7,500 Ethereum Target, Here’s The New Prediction Bitcoin still accounts for more than 85% of BlackRock’s crypto allocation, but the most remarkable growth story in the past eight months has come from Ethereum. In both volume and market value, ETH holdings have expanded at a far more aggressive pace than Bitcoin, surging by over 309% in dollar terms since the start of the year. At the start of 2025, BlackRock’s Bitcoin reserves stood at approximately 552,000 BTC. Current data indicates that Bitcoin holdings have grown by about 34% over the course of the year. Ethereum’s expansion within BlackRock’s portfolio has been even more notable, as the firm began the year with roughly 1.1 million ETH and has more than doubled its position in just eight months, with the current volume representing a 190% increase. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. Taiwan’s “silicon shield” could be weakening Taiwanese politics increasingly revolves around one crucial question: Will China invade? China’s ruling party has wanted to seize Taiwan for more than half a century. But in…",
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"caption": "Capriole founder Charles Edwards argues that Bitcoin’s famous four-year boom-and-bust pattern has effectively ended—not because markets have matured into a placid equilibrium, but because the engine that once forced 80–90% drawdowns has been dismantled by Bitcoin’s own monetary design. The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead In his Update #66 newsletter published on August 15, 2025, Edwards writes that since the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual supply growth has fallen to roughly 0.8%, “less than half of Gold’s 1.5–3%,” adding that this shift “made Bitcoin the hardest asset known to man, with look-ahead certainty.” With miners’ new-issuance supply now a rounding error compared with aggregate demand, the dramatic, miner-driven busts of prior cycles look increasingly like artifacts of an earlier era. “In short – the primary driving force behind Bitcoin cycle 80-90% drawdowns historically is dead.” Edwards does not deny that cycles exist. He reframes their causes. Reflexive investor behavior, macro liquidity, on-chain valuation extremes, and derivatives-market “euphoria” can still combine to produce sizable drawdowns. But if the halving calendar no longer dictates those inflection points, investors must recalibrate the signals they monitor and the timelines on which they expect risk to crystalize. Related Reading: Q4 Will Decide If The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead: Analyst On reflexivity, he cautions that belief in the four-year script can itself become a price driver. If “enough Bitcoiners believe in the 4 year cycle… they will structure their investing activities around it,” he notes, invoking George Soros’s notion that market narratives feed back into fundamentals. That self-fulfilling element can still trigger “sizeable drawdowns,” even if miners are no longer the marginal price-setters. Macro liquidity, in Edwards’s framework, remains decisive. He tracks a “Net Liquidity” gauge—the year-over-year growth in global broad money minus the cost of debt (proxied by US 10-year Treasury yields)—to distinguish genuinely expansive regimes from nominal money growth that is offset by higher rates. Historically, “All of Bitcoin’s historic bear markets have occurred while this metric was declining… with the depths… while this metric was less than zero,” he writes, whereas “All of Bitcoin’s major bull runs have occurred in positive Net Liquidity environments.” As of mid-August, he characterizes conditions as constructive: “We are currently in a positive liquidity environment and the Fed is now forecast to cut rates 3 times in the remainder of 2025.” On-Chain Data Is Still Supportive If liquidity sets the tide, euphoria marks the froth. Edwards points to established on-chain gauges—MVRV, NVT, Energy Value—that have historically flashed red at cycle peaks. Those indicators, he says, are not yet there: “In 2025 we still see no signs of onchain Euphoria. Bitcoin today is appreciating in a steady, relatively sustainable way versus historic cycles.” A chart of MVRV Z-Score “shows we are nowhere near the price euphoria of historic Bitcoin tops.” By contrast, his derivatives composite—the “Heater,” which aggregates positioning and leverage across perps, futures, and options—has been hot enough to warrant short-term caution. “The heat is on… Of all the metrics we will look at here, this one is telling us that the market locally has overheated near all time highs this week.” In his telling, elevated Heater readings can cap near-term upside unless they persist for months alongside rising open interest—conditions more consistent with a major top. One metric, however, eclipses the rest in 2025–26: institutional absorption of new supply. “Today, 150+ public companies and ETFs are buying over 500% of Bitcoin’s daily supply creation from mining,” Edwards writes. “When demand outruns supply like this, Bitcoin has historically surged over the coming months. Every time this has happened in Bitcoin’s history (5 occurrences), price has shot up by 135% on average.” He emphasizes that the current, extended period of high multiples on this measure is “good news for Bitcoin,” while conceding the obvious caveat: no one can know how long such conditions will last. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Because institutional demand can flip to supply, Edwards details a “treasury company early warning system.” He highlights four watch-items that his team tracks “24/7 for cycle risk management and positioning purposes”: a Treasury Buy-Sell Ratio that, if falling, “suggests growing selling by the 150+ companies”; a Treasury CVD whose flattening or lurch into a “red zone” is “risk off”; the percentage of Coinbase volume that is net buying; and a Treasury Company Seller Count that, on spikes, has historically preceded pressure. Layered on top is balance-sheet fragility. The more treasuries lever up to accumulate Bitcoin, the more a drawdown can cascade through forced deleveraging. “Total Debt relative to Enterprise value are key to track,” he says, adding that Capriole will publish a fresh tranche of treasury-risk metrics “next week.” Quantum Computers Vs. Bitcoin Edwards then makes an argument many Bitcoin investors will find uncomfortable: quantum computing is both an attractive return opportunity and Bitcoin’s most concrete long-term tail risk. Capriole, he says, expects “the asset class will outperform Bitcoin by circa 50% p.a. over the next 5–10 years,” citing today’s small market capitalizations against a “$2T+” addressable market. At the same time, “in the long-term (without change) QC is existential to Bitcoin,” with a worst-case window of “3–6 years” to break the cryptography that secures wallets and transactions. He notes that China “is spending 5X more on QC than the US” and recently “presented a QC machine a million times more powerful than Google’s,” arguing that the pace of breakthroughs, “with… innovations occurring every quarter,” suggests “this technology will mature sooner than many think. Just like ChatGPT.” The operational challenge, even if the risk is not imminent, is the migration path. Edwards sketches back-of-the-envelope constraints: roughly 25 million Bitcoin addresses hold more than $100; on “a good day,” the network handles about 10 transactions per second. If everyone tried to rotate to quantum-resistant keys at once—and many would prudently send test transactions—it would take “3–6 months” just to push the transactions through, before even counting the time to achieve consensus on, and deploy, a preferred upgrade. “Optimistically we are looking at a 12 month lead time to move the Bitcoin network to a Quantum proof system,” he writes. He flags work by Jameson Lopp as a starting point and urges the community to “encourage action on the QC Bitcoin Improvement Proposals (BIPS).” Capriole itself holds quantum-computing exposure both for return potential and as “a portfolio hedge should a worst case scenario eventuate.” His conclusion is clear without being complacent. “The Bitcoin miner driven cycle is largely dead.” If institutional demand holds, “there is a strong chance of a right translated cycle,” with “a significant period of price expansion still ahead of us.” But vigilance is essential. The two variables to prioritize this halving epoch, in his view, are “Net Liquidity and Institutional Buying,” while the “biggest risk to this cycle” is paradoxically the cohort that has powered it: the Bitcoin treasury companies whose balance-sheet choices can compound both upside and downside. Quantum computing, he stresses, “isn’t a risk to Bitcoin this Halving cycle,” but absent action “it certainly will be in the next one.” The prescription is not to fear cycles, but to retire the outdated ones and prepare—technically and operationally—for the cycles that remain. At press time, BTC traded at $119,121. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Capriole founder Charles Edwards argues that Bitcoin’s famous four-year boom-and-bust pattern has effectively ended—not because markets have matured into a placid equilibrium, but because the engine that once forced 80–90% drawdowns has been dismantled by Bitcoin’s own monetary design. The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead In his Update #66 newsletter published on August 15, 2025, Edwards writes that since the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual supply growth has fallen to roughly 0.8%, “less than half of Gold’s 1.5–3%,” adding that this shift “made Bitcoin the hardest asset known to man, with look-ahead certainty.” With miners’ new-issuance supply now a rounding error compared with aggregate demand, the dramatic, miner-driven busts of prior cycles look increasingly like artifacts of an earlier era. “In short – the primary driving force behind Bitcoin cycle 80-90% drawdowns historically is dead.” Edwards does not deny that cycles exist. He reframes their causes. Reflexive investor behavior, macro liquidity, on-chain valuation extremes, and derivatives-market “euphoria” can still combine to produce sizable drawdowns. But if the halving calendar no longer dictates those inflection points, investors must recalibrate the signals they monitor and the timelines on which they expect risk to crystalize. Related Reading: Q4 Will Decide If The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead: Analyst On reflexivity, he cautions that belief in the four-year script can itself become a price driver. If “enough Bitcoiners believe in the 4 year cycle… they will structure their investing activities around it,” he notes, invoking George Soros’s notion that market narratives feed back into fundamentals. That self-fulfilling element can still trigger “sizeable drawdowns,” even if miners are no longer the marginal price-setters. Macro liquidity, in Edwards’s framework, remains decisive. He tracks a “Net Liquidity” gauge—the year-over-year growth in global broad money minus the cost of debt (proxied by US 10-year Treasury yields)—to distinguish genuinely expansive regimes from nominal money growth that is offset by higher rates. Historically, “All of Bitcoin’s historic bear markets have occurred while this metric was declining… with the depths… while this metric was less than zero,” he writes, whereas “All of Bitcoin’s major bull runs have occurred in positive Net Liquidity environments.” As of mid-August, he characterizes conditions as constructive: “We are currently in a positive liquidity environment and the Fed is now forecast to cut rates 3 times in the remainder of 2025.” On-Chain Data Is Still Supportive If liquidity sets the tide, euphoria marks the froth. Edwards points to established on-chain gauges—MVRV, NVT, Energy Value—that have historically flashed red at cycle peaks. Those indicators, he says, are not yet there: “In 2025 we still see no signs of onchain Euphoria. Bitcoin today is appreciating in a steady, relatively sustainable way versus historic cycles.” A chart of MVRV Z-Score “shows we are nowhere near the price euphoria of historic Bitcoin tops.” By contrast, his derivatives composite—the “Heater,” which aggregates positioning and leverage across perps, futures, and options—has been hot enough to warrant short-term caution. “The heat is on… Of all the metrics we will look at here, this one is telling us that the market locally has overheated near all time highs this week.” In his telling, elevated Heater readings can cap near-term upside unless they persist for months alongside rising open interest—conditions more consistent with a major top. One metric, however, eclipses the rest in 2025–26: institutional absorption of new supply. “Today, 150+ public companies and ETFs are buying over 500% of Bitcoin’s daily supply creation from mining,” Edwards writes. “When demand outruns supply like this, Bitcoin has historically surged over the coming months. Every time this has happened in Bitcoin’s history (5 occurrences), price has shot up by 135% on average.” He emphasizes that the current, extended period of high multiples on this measure is “good news for Bitcoin,” while conceding the obvious caveat: no one can know how long such conditions will last. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Because institutional demand can flip to supply, Edwards details a “treasury company early warning system.” He highlights four watch-items that his team tracks “24/7 for cycle risk management and positioning purposes”: a Treasury Buy-Sell Ratio that, if falling, “suggests growing selling by the 150+ companies”; a Treasury CVD whose flattening or lurch into a “red zone” is “risk off”; the percentage of Coinbase volume that is net buying; and a Treasury Company Seller Count that, on spikes, has historically preceded pressure. Layered on top is balance-sheet fragility. The more treasuries lever up to accumulate Bitcoin, the more a drawdown can cascade through forced deleveraging. “Total Debt relative to Enterprise value are key to track,” he says, adding that Capriole will publish a fresh tranche of treasury-risk metrics “next week.” Quantum Computers Vs. Bitcoin Edwards then makes an argument many Bitcoin investors will find uncomfortable: quantum computing is both an attractive return opportunity and Bitcoin’s most concrete long-term tail risk. Capriole, he says, expects “the asset class will outperform Bitcoin by circa 50% p.a. over the next 5–10 years,” citing today’s small market capitalizations against a “$2T+” addressable market. At the same time, “in the long-term (without change) QC is existential to Bitcoin,” with a worst-case window of “3–6 years” to break the cryptography that secures wallets and transactions. He notes that China “is spending 5X more on QC than the US” and recently “presented a QC machine a million times more powerful than Google’s,” arguing that the pace of breakthroughs, “with… innovations occurring every quarter,” suggests “this technology will mature sooner than many think. Just like ChatGPT.” The operational challenge, even if the risk is not imminent, is the migration path. Edwards sketches back-of-the-envelope constraints: roughly 25 million Bitcoin addresses hold more than $100; on “a good day,” the network handles about 10 transactions per second. If everyone tried to rotate to quantum-resistant keys at once—and many would prudently send test transactions—it would take “3–6 months” just to push the transactions through, before even counting the time to achieve consensus on, and deploy, a preferred upgrade. “Optimistically we are looking at a 12 month lead time to move the Bitcoin network to a Quantum proof system,” he writes. He flags work by Jameson Lopp as a starting point and urges the community to “encourage action on the QC Bitcoin Improvement Proposals (BIPS).” Capriole itself holds quantum-computing exposure both for return potential and as “a portfolio hedge should a worst case scenario eventuate.” His conclusion is clear without being complacent. “The Bitcoin miner driven cycle is largely dead.” If institutional demand holds, “there is a strong chance of a right translated cycle,” with “a significant period of price expansion still ahead of us.” But vigilance is essential. The two variables to prioritize this halving epoch, in his view, are “Net Liquidity and Institutional Buying,” while the “biggest risk to this cycle” is paradoxically the cohort that has powered it: the Bitcoin treasury companies whose balance-sheet choices can compound both upside and downside. Quantum computing, he stresses, “isn’t a risk to Bitcoin this Halving cycle,” but absent action “it certainly will be in the next one.” The prescription is not to fear cycles, but to retire the outdated ones and prepare—technically and operationally—for the cycles that remain. At press time, BTC traded at $119,121. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "U.S. stock exchanges have been welcoming a steady stream of publicly traded companies ever since names like Canaan and Coinbase stepped onto the Wall Street scene a few years ago. This week, Bullish made its Wall Street debut with an initial public offering (IPO) that’s already delivered a 101.7% gain in value. Bullish IPO Soars […]",
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"caption": "Ethereum rallied on Monday and pushed toward highs it hasn’t seen since late 2021, reaching $4,780 during the session. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Traders and funds appear to be reallocating capital into ETH, and several on-chain and market indicators are lining up in its favor. According to CryptoQuant, the ETH/BTC price ratio has crossed above its 365-day moving average, a technical move that has often marked the start of stronger runs for Ethereum versus Bitcoin. ETF Demand Pours In According to fund flow reports, US spot Ethereum ETFs pulled about $1 billion in a single trading day, with BlackRock’s ETHA taking in $640 million and Fidelity’s FETH adding $277 million. ETH is breaking out vs BTC. The ETH/BTC price ratio just crossed above its 365-day moving average. A level that’s historically marked the start of bullish ETH cycles. pic.twitter.com/qyLDDK9Xhc — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) August 14, 2025 ETF holdings now total roughly $26 billion, and cumulative inflows this cycle are close to $11 billion. That kind of money is meaningful because it reflects tracked institutional and retail demand entering ETFs rather than the untracked corners of crypto markets. Spot And Futures Show The Same Bias Market data also points to growing interest in ETH in both spot and derivatives markets. Reports show open interest in Ethereum derivatives rising faster than Bitcoin’s, and perpetual futures positioning has picked up. On the spot side, CryptoQuant’s volume ratio put ETH’s trading activity at 1.66 relative to BTC last week — the highest level since June 2017 — and over the last four weeks ETH spot volume ran about $24 billion versus Bitcoin’s $14 billion. Some on-chain indicators are flashing caution. Daily ETH inflows into exchanges have climbed and now top those of Bitcoin, suggesting that holders may be moving coins back to exchanges to sell into higher prices. Historically, rising exchange inflows near key technical resistance can precede short-term pullbacks, and analysts are watching those flows closely as a potential sign of profit-taking. Related Reading: Chainlink Breaks 3-Month High Amid Record 2025 Enthusiasm Why The Ratio Matters The ETH/BTC ratio is getting extra attention because it measures relative strength between the two largest crypto assets. Crossing above long-run moving averages like the 365-day line can attract momentum traders and funds that follow technical signals. Still, past breakouts have sometimes reversed quickly, so traders are balancing bullish bets with protective measures like trimming positions or using stop orders. Flow data will be decisive in the coming days. If $1 billion ETF inflow days repeat and open interest keeps rising, momentum could continue. If exchange inflows accelerate and ETF demand cools, price action could stall. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Isabel Longhi, Director of Public Policy and Regulatory Affairs for Latin America at Ripple, remarked on the region’s relevance to the crypto industry. She explained that Ripple wants to be part of the regulatory changes and also noted how CBDC projects have slowed down in Latam. Ripple Director Isabel Longhi Stresses Latin America Leads the […]",
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"caption": "A morning soundbite from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent briefly rattled Bitcoin and crypto markets on Thursday before a late-day clarification restored the policy baseline: the United States won’t be sellers, and “budget-neutral” options to grow the country’s bitcoin stockpile remain on the table. Senator Cynthia Lummis swiftly framed the endpoint. “America needs the BITCOIN Act,” she wrote, calling the legislation the operative blueprint for expanding a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve without tapping taxpayers. In a Fox Business hit that ricocheted across X, Bessent said the government is “not going to be buying” additional bitcoin and added, “We’re going to stop selling that,” referencing a reserve he valued between $15 billion and $20 billion. Markets faded into the statement; by mid-day, bitcoin was off roughly 3.7%. The point that stuck—“we’re not going to be buying”—was clipped and shared widely, but it was only half the story. Related Reading: Q4 Will Decide If The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead: Analyst Hours later, Bessent posted a clarifying note. “Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order,” he wrote. “In addition, Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more Bitcoin to expand the reserve, and to execute on the President’s promise to make the United States the ‘Bitcoin superpower of the world.’” The course correction aligned his comments with the administration’s March directive and the policy discussion that has matured since. Bitcoin Act Is Still The Way Forward Lummis, chair of the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Digital Assets, seized the moment to underline the fiscal constraint. “Secretary Scott Bessent is right: a budget-neutral path to building SBR is the way. We cannot save our country from $37T debt by purchasing more bitcoin, but we can revalue gold reserves to today’s prices & transfer the increase in value to build SBR. America needs the BITCOIN Act.” In a separate reply to Bessent, she added: “I have a ₿ill for that.” Her posts also flagged ongoing work “with Scott Bessent & Howard Lutnick to identify budget-neutral ways to continue growing our bitcoin reserve & outpacing adversaries in the race.” The legal and administrative scaffolding for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was set five months ago. On March 6, President Trump signed an executive order creating the SBR and a separate US Digital Asset Stockpile, directing agencies to capitalize the reserve with Bitcoin “finally forfeited” to the government and to develop budget-neutral strategies for further acquisition. Related Reading: Binance Bitcoin Reserves Surge To 579,000 BTC – Signal Of Profit-Taking Or Bullish Liquidity? Lummis’s “BITCOIN Act” would take that framework from executive policy to statute and goes considerably further. The latest text lays out a five-year purchase program authorizing up to 200,000 BTC per year—1,000,000 BTC in total—paired with a 20-year minimum holding period and a quarterly, public cryptographic proof-of-reserves regime. Where Bessent’s remarks intersect—and diverge—with that legislative ambition is gold. In March, he downplayed a formal revaluation of US gold as a credible budget lever, even as the broader policy conversation around the asset side of the federal balance sheet intensified. On Thursday, Bessent told Fox Business that a gold revaluation is “unlikely.” Lummis, by contrast, is explicitly proposing to mark gold to market in order to seed the SBR without new borrowing—an idea that has migrated from think-piece fodder to bill text but still faces macro, legal, and central-bank-independence scrutiny. The bottom line is that Thursday did not mark a policy reversal so much as a restatement of sequencing. The executive branch will build the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve first with finally forfeited coins and, per Bessent’s clarification, is actively evaluating budget-neutral ways to expand it. At press time, BTC traded at $118,751. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "A morning soundbite from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent briefly rattled Bitcoin and crypto markets on Thursday before a late-day clarification restored the policy baseline: the United States won’t be sellers, and “budget-neutral” options to grow the country’s bitcoin stockpile remain on the table. Senator Cynthia Lummis swiftly framed the endpoint. “America needs the BITCOIN Act,” she wrote, calling the legislation the operative blueprint for expanding a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve without tapping taxpayers. In a Fox Business hit that ricocheted across X, Bessent said the government is “not going to be buying” additional bitcoin and added, “We’re going to stop selling that,” referencing a reserve he valued between $15 billion and $20 billion. Markets faded into the statement; by mid-day, bitcoin was off roughly 3.7%. The point that stuck—“we’re not going to be buying”—was clipped and shared widely, but it was only half the story. Related Reading: Q4 Will Decide If The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead: Analyst Hours later, Bessent posted a clarifying note. “Bitcoin that has been finally forfeited to the federal government will be the foundation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve that President Trump established in his March Executive Order,” he wrote. “In addition, Treasury is committed to exploring budget-neutral pathways to acquire more Bitcoin to expand the reserve, and to execute on the President’s promise to make the United States the ‘Bitcoin superpower of the world.’” The course correction aligned his comments with the administration’s March directive and the policy discussion that has matured since. Bitcoin Act Is Still The Way Forward Lummis, chair of the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Digital Assets, seized the moment to underline the fiscal constraint. “Secretary Scott Bessent is right: a budget-neutral path to building SBR is the way. We cannot save our country from $37T debt by purchasing more bitcoin, but we can revalue gold reserves to today’s prices & transfer the increase in value to build SBR. America needs the BITCOIN Act.” In a separate reply to Bessent, she added: “I have a ₿ill for that.” Her posts also flagged ongoing work “with Scott Bessent & Howard Lutnick to identify budget-neutral ways to continue growing our bitcoin reserve & outpacing adversaries in the race.” The legal and administrative scaffolding for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was set five months ago. On March 6, President Trump signed an executive order creating the SBR and a separate US Digital Asset Stockpile, directing agencies to capitalize the reserve with Bitcoin “finally forfeited” to the government and to develop budget-neutral strategies for further acquisition. Related Reading: Binance Bitcoin Reserves Surge To 579,000 BTC – Signal Of Profit-Taking Or Bullish Liquidity? Lummis’s “BITCOIN Act” would take that framework from executive policy to statute and goes considerably further. The latest text lays out a five-year purchase program authorizing up to 200,000 BTC per year—1,000,000 BTC in total—paired with a 20-year minimum holding period and a quarterly, public cryptographic proof-of-reserves regime. Where Bessent’s remarks intersect—and diverge—with that legislative ambition is gold. In March, he downplayed a formal revaluation of US gold as a credible budget lever, even as the broader policy conversation around the asset side of the federal balance sheet intensified. On Thursday, Bessent told Fox Business that a gold revaluation is “unlikely.” Lummis, by contrast, is explicitly proposing to mark gold to market in order to seed the SBR without new borrowing—an idea that has migrated from think-piece fodder to bill text but still faces macro, legal, and central-bank-independence scrutiny. The bottom line is that Thursday did not mark a policy reversal so much as a restatement of sequencing. The executive branch will build the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve first with finally forfeited coins and, per Bessent’s clarification, is actively evaluating budget-neutral ways to expand it. At press time, BTC traded at $118,751. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Bitcoin Act Is Still America’s Playbook, Clarifies Senator Lummis",
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"caption": "After hitting a new multi-month high, Cardano (ADA) has retraced alongside the rest of the market. Some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency is ready to reclaim crucial resistance levels and hit new highs in the coming months. Related Reading: Ethereum Eyes ‘Final Boss’ Level, But Analyst Says Weekly Close Is Key For Price Discovery Run Cardano Holds Crucial Support Despite Pullback On Thursday, Cardano experienced an 11% drop after surpassing the $1.00 barrier for the first time since March. ADA’s retracement was fueled by the crypto market’s pullback, which saw massive liquidations throughout the day. According to CoinGlass data, the crypto market saw over $1.05 billion in liquidations over the last 24 hours, driven by higher-than-expected macroeconomic signals. Notably, the PPI number revealed an annual headline inflation of 3.3%, way higher than the 2.5% forecast. Additionally, the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that the US government will not be purchasing additional Bitcoin for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR), established by President Trump in March 2025. Instead, the US will stop selling its BTC holdings and continue to build up the reserve’s stash through confiscated assets. As a result, Bitcoin, which hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $124,128 on Wednesday night, retraced to the $117,000-$118,000 support zone, while the rest of the market turned red. Nonetheless, Cardano has gone against the current, becoming the only cryptocurrency in the top 50 list to remain in green despite the broader market pullback, with a 3.5% increase in the daily timeframe. In the last 24 hours, ADA has broken out of its local range, hitting a five-month high of $1.02 on Thursday morning. Amid the market drop, ADA held above its breakout level, hovering between the $0.89-$0.91 range over the past few hours, and it’s attempting to break out of its current levels. ADA To Repeat Last Cycle’s Playbook? Analyst Ali Martinez noted that ADA has been trading within a descending channel since the Q4 2024 rally, which saw the cryptocurrency hit its multi-year high of $1.32 in December. During this period, Cardano has attempted to break out of the descending resistance twice, finally passing this barrier after surging above the $0.84 mark. To the analyst, a confirmed breakout from this level targets a 70% run to $1.50. Previously, Martinez suggested that ADA is showing the same price structure as the last cycle, but it’s more gradual. Other analysts have also noted that the altcoin appears to be repeating its 2020-2021 playbook. Crypto Yhodda highlighted that after hitting its 2018 high, Cardano saw an ABC corrective wave before consolidating within an ascending broadening wedge formation for two years. The cryptocurrency consolidated near the range-high after rejection from the pattern’s resistance in 2020, and before breaking out to its 2021 ATH of $3.09. This cycle, the altcoin has repeated the same movements, accumulating within the same pattern since 2022. Since being rejected from the ascending resistance in late 2024, ADA has been trading between the mid and high zones of this pattern. Related Reading: SUI Set Up For Another Leg? Analyst Forecasts $10 Target For Potential Breakout To the analyst, Cardano is ready to climb again to the formation’s resistance, around the $1.80 area, and break out to new highs. As of this writing, ADA is trading at $0.90, a 20% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Cardano (ADA) Remains Green Despite Market Pullback – Is It Ready For A 70% Run?",
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"caption": "TRON (TRX) has maintained upward momentum alongside broader cryptocurrency market gains over recent weeks. The token recorded a nearly 6% rise in the past week, briefly reaching $0.369 before easing to $0.3589 at the time of writing. While price action remains within a tight range, network fundamentals suggest continued high usage, particularly driven by stablecoin transfers. Related Reading: TRON Trading Volume Tops $1B: Could $1 Be the Next Milestone? TRON Stablecoin Demand and Market Liquidity Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlights that TRON has now processed more than 11.1 billion transactions in its lifetime, reflecting sustained growth since the start of the year. In 2024, the network closed with about 9.3 billion total transactions, meaning roughly 1.8 billion have been added so far in 2025. Current activity averages between 7–9 million transactions daily, with peaks near 10 million, well above the levels recorded in early 2024. Much of this activity is attributed to USDT/TRC-20 transfers, favored for their low fees and rapid confirmation times, positioning TRON as a widely used infrastructure for payments and fund transfers between wallets and exchanges. According to CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, the growth in TRON’s transaction volume is more than just a technical statistic; it directly influences market liquidity. “The current momentum in transaction volumes enhances liquidity and facilitates the movement of funds into derivatives trading, supporting bullish scenarios when sentiment is positive,” the analyst noted. From early May to mid-August, the network processed approximately 860 million transactions, highlighting a consistent flow of capital across TRON’s ecosystem. This steady throughput has created conditions for efficient capital rotation between spot and derivatives markets, particularly on larger exchanges. The ability to handle high activity without significant fee increases also indicates broad and organic demand, rather than short-lived speculative surges. TRON’s role as a major settlement layer for stablecoin transfers means it continues to act as a backbone for exchange and cross-border activity in the crypto market. Technical Indicators and Potential Price Scenarios Complementing the on-chain data, CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest pointed to TRON’s recent price behavior relative to technical patterns. At its current price of around $0.36, TRX has moved above the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a phase of stronger momentum. While this could indicate the potential for further gains if buying pressure persists, the analyst cautioned that overextension often raises the risk of near-term pullbacks. If market momentum stalls, a retracement could present entry opportunities for long-term positions. On the other hand, if transaction activity and USDT flows remain strong while market sentiment holds, TRX could sustain its current trend. Related Reading: TRON Sees Over 8 Million USDT Transactions in One Week, What’s Fueling This? Historical data from other large-cap tokens suggests that a combination of high network utility, stablecoin integration, and sustained liquidity often supports prolonged uptrends, though the balance between retail activity and large-holder behavior will remain a determining factor. As TRON continues to process millions of transactions daily and maintain deep integration with stablecoin flows, its role in crypto market infrastructure appears secure. However, price performance in the short term will likely depend on how this usage aligns with broader market sentiment and technical support levels. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "The stablecoin and tokenization sectors are experiencing a significant resurgence, fueled by pro-crypto regulations introduced by the Trump administration. As a result, experts believe that decentralized oracle network, Chainlink (LINK), is poised to reap substantial benefits from these progressive developments. Is Chainlink Crypto’s Overlooked Gem? Market expert Miles Deutscher recently highlighted that LINK may be the most promising large-cap investment opportunity this cycle, despite the possibility that many investors could overlook it. Related Reading: Dogecoin Shorts In Trouble? This Retest Could Ignite Multi-Level Rally In a social media post on X (formerly Twitter), the expert asserted that Chainlink is uniquely positioned to benefit from the “institutionalization of cryptocurrency” and the explosive growth of stablecoins, tokenization, and real-world assets (RWAs). Notably, the total value locked (TVL) in RWAs has surged thirteenfold in just two years, climbing from approximately $1 billion to over $13 billion as institutions increasingly recognize the limitations of the traditional SWIFT payment system. In response, major financial players like asset manager and crypto exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuer, BlackRock, are advocating for tokenization, while companies such as Stripe and Circle (CRCL) are now exploring the development of their own blockchain solutions. In this environment, Chainlink serves as a crucial “universal translator.” According to Deutscher, each tokenized stock, bond, or piece of real estate requires an oracle to accurately reflect its value on-chain, and Chainlink dominates this space, controlling 84% of the oracle market. The Feedback Loop Driving LINK’s Success The Chainlink network generates revenue through two primary channels: on-chain fees for services used across various blockchain networks, and partnerships with large corporations that pay for Chainlink’s solutions. This revenue model supports its operations and facilitates buybacks of LINK tokens, further enhancing the network’s sustainability. Related Reading: XRP Price At $36: 7-Year Bottom Breakout Could Trigger Repeat Of 2014-2017 Moreover, Chainlink’s protocol automatically converts all revenues—whether in Ethereum (ETH) or Circle’s USDC stablecoin—from corporate partnerships into LINK tokens on the open market, depositing them into a strategic treasury. This mechanism not only strengthens the network’s financial foundation but also creates a persistent supply sink as users stake LINK to secure the network, earning a sustainable yield of approximately 4.32%. Deutscher emphasizes that this dynamic creates a powerful feedback loop: increased adoption leads to higher revenues, which in turn results in more LINK purchased and locked, enhancing network security and utility. In his analysis, Deutscher also drew comparisons between LINK and XRP, arguing that LINK has gained more traction within institutional circles than XRP, making it a more logical investment given its current valuation. For context, the total value secured by Chainlink stands at an impressive $84.65 billion, dwarfing XRP’s decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked of approximately $85 million. Despite this disparity, XRP’s market cap is roughly twelve times larger than LINK’s, which Deutscher believes highlights LINK’s potential value at current levels. From a pricing perspective, Chainlink has recently broken above the $20 weekly resistance level, currently trading at $22.This is likened to Ethereum’s pivotal $4,000 level, indicating a potential upward trajectory for LINK in the coming months. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a buying spree recently, a sign that could be bullish for the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Whales Have Accumulated During The Past Week In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Dogecoin whales. The metric shared by the analyst is the “Supply Distribution” from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, which tells us about the total amount of DOGE supply that a particular wallet group is holding right now. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Addresses or investors are put into these cohorts based on the number of tokens that they are carrying in their balance. All wallets with 5 coins, for example, are placed into the 1 to 10 coins range. In the context of the current topic, the whales are the investors of interest. These entities are typically defined as holding between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE. At the current exchange rate, the former converts to $22.4 million and the latter to $224 million. Clearly, the only holders who would qualify for the group would be the big-money traders. As such, the holdings of these investors can be worth keeping an eye on, as if nothing else, shifts in the cohort can provide information about the sentiment among the network’s influential beings. Now, here is a chart that shows the the trend in the Dogecoin Supply Distribution for the whales over the last month and a half: As displayed in the above graph, the 100 million to 1 billion Dogecoin range has seen its Supply Distribution go through a rise recently, indicating that members of the group have been participating in net accumulation. In total, the whales have added 2 billion DOGE (worth $448 million) to their holdings over the past week. This is a notable amount and suggests that the large investors are expecting the cryptocurrency to go up from here. It only remains to be seen, however, whether this accumulation would pay off for them. Alongside the buying, the cohort has also ramped up transaction activity, as Martinez has pointed out in another X post. The indicator shown in the chart is the “Whale Transaction Count,” which measures the total number of transfers occurring on the Dogecoin blockchain that involve a sum greater than $1 million. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Don’t Expect Volatility: Contrarian Signal Brewing? From the graph, it’s apparent that the metric has just seen a huge spike, a sign that big-money holders are on the move. DOGE Price Dogecoin has suffered a blow of 8% during the past day that has brought its price to $0.22 Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Solana started a fresh increase above the $185 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $190 and might aim for more gains above the $200 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $185 and $192 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $190 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $202 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $198 resistance zone. Solana Price Aims For Fresh Increase Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $185 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $192 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $200 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $202 barrier. A high was formed at $210 and the price recently corrected gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $174 swing low to the $210 high. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $202 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. However, the bulls were active near the $188 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $174 swing low to the $210 high. Solana is now trading above $190 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $198 level. The next major resistance is near the $200 level. The main resistance could be $202. A successful close above the $202 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $210. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $200 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $192 zone. The first major support is near the $188 level. A break below the $188 level might send the price toward the $180 support zone. If there is a close below the $180 support, the price could decline toward the $175 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $192 and $188. Major Resistance Levels – $200 and $210.",
"headline": "Solana (SOL) Defends Critical Support Zone, Preparing for Next Major Increase?",
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"caption": "On-chain data shows the Dogecoin whales have gone on a buying spree recently, a sign that could be bullish for the memecoin’s price. Dogecoin Whales Have Accumulated During The Past Week In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about the latest trend in the holdings of the Dogecoin whales. The metric shared by the analyst is the “Supply Distribution” from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, which tells us about the total amount of DOGE supply that a particular wallet group is holding right now. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next? Addresses or investors are put into these cohorts based on the number of tokens that they are carrying in their balance. All wallets with 5 coins, for example, are placed into the 1 to 10 coins range. In the context of the current topic, the whales are the investors of interest. These entities are typically defined as holding between 100 million and 1 billion DOGE. At the current exchange rate, the former converts to $22.4 million and the latter to $224 million. Clearly, the only holders who would qualify for the group would be the big-money traders. As such, the holdings of these investors can be worth keeping an eye on, as if nothing else, shifts in the cohort can provide information about the sentiment among the network’s influential beings. Now, here is a chart that shows the the trend in the Dogecoin Supply Distribution for the whales over the last month and a half: As displayed in the above graph, the 100 million to 1 billion Dogecoin range has seen its Supply Distribution go through a rise recently, indicating that members of the group have been participating in net accumulation. In total, the whales have added 2 billion DOGE (worth $448 million) to their holdings over the past week. This is a notable amount and suggests that the large investors are expecting the cryptocurrency to go up from here. It only remains to be seen, however, whether this accumulation would pay off for them. Alongside the buying, the cohort has also ramped up transaction activity, as Martinez has pointed out in another X post. The indicator shown in the chart is the “Whale Transaction Count,” which measures the total number of transfers occurring on the Dogecoin blockchain that involve a sum greater than $1 million. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Don’t Expect Volatility: Contrarian Signal Brewing? From the graph, it’s apparent that the metric has just seen a huge spike, a sign that big-money holders are on the move. DOGE Price Dogecoin has suffered a blow of 8% during the past day that has brought its price to $0.22 Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Solana started a fresh increase above the $185 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $190 and might aim for more gains above the $200 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $185 and $192 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $190 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $202 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $198 resistance zone. Solana Price Aims For Fresh Increase Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $185 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $192 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $200 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the $202 barrier. A high was formed at $210 and the price recently corrected gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $174 swing low to the $210 high. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $202 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. However, the bulls were active near the $188 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $174 swing low to the $210 high. Solana is now trading above $190 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $198 level. The next major resistance is near the $200 level. The main resistance could be $202. A successful close above the $202 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $210. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level. Another Decline In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $200 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $192 zone. The first major support is near the $188 level. A break below the $188 level might send the price toward the $180 support zone. If there is a close below the $180 support, the price could decline toward the $175 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $192 and $188. Major Resistance Levels – $200 and $210.",
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"caption": "The firm is fresh off a massively successful initial public offering in June and is riding the coattails of a pro-crypto Congress. Stablecoin Giant Circle Rakes in $658M in Revenue Circle (NYSE: CRCL), the world’s second largest stablecoin issuer, is having a stellar year so far, exceeding revenue expectations in its debut quarterly earnings report […]",
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"caption": "XRP price is down over 6% from the $3.350 resistance zone. The price is holding the $3.020 support and might aim to start a fresh increase. XRP price is attempting a fresh increase from the $3.020 zone. The price is now trading below $3.20 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3.280 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could regain bullish momentum if it clears the $3.150 zone. XRP Price Dips To Support XRP price attempted more gains above the $3.30 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price tested the $3.35 level and failed to extend gains. A high was formed at $3.35 and the price started a downside correction. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $3.280 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The pair dipped below the $3.250 and $3.150 support levels. Finally, it tested the $3.020 support zone. A low was formed at $3.031 and the price is now recovering toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3.350 swing high to the $3.031 low. The price is now trading below $3.120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.10 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.150 level. A clear move above the $3.150 resistance might send the price toward the $3.20 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.250 resistance or even $3.2650 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.30. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $3.150 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3.050 level. The next major support is near the $3.020 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $3.020 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $3.00 support. The next major support sits near the $2.880 zone, below which there could be a larger decline. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $3.050 and $3.020. Major Resistance Levels – $3.150 and $3.20.",
"headline": "XRP Price Slides to Support, Is a Fresh Increase Coming Soon?",
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"caption": "Bitcoin briefly set a new all-time high above $124,000 earlier today before experiencing a sharp retracement that brought the asset back below the $120,000 level. As of press time, BTC is trading at $118,336, representing a weekly loss of 1.9% and a 4.5% decline from its peak. The price shift comes amid notable on-chain developments that have caught the attention of market analysts. According to CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain, the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio across all exchanges has risen above 0.50, a level historically associated with higher short-term volatility. This ratio measures the proportion of BTC inflows to exchanges originating from large holders, often signaling potential market-moving activity. Despite this, aggregated data across all exchanges shows negative net flows, meaning more BTC is leaving exchanges than entering, which typically aligns with accumulation phases. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Don’t Expect Volatility: Contrarian Signal Brewing? Bitcoin Binance Activity Diverges From Broader Market Trends While overall exchange flows suggest accumulation, Binance has seen a contrasting pattern. Data from CryptoOnchain shows Binance recorded its largest single-day positive net flow in the past 12 months, indicating a concentration of BTC inflows to the platform. Such divergences, when high whale ratios coincide with significant inflows to one exchange, have historically preceded both sharp sell-offs and leveraged short squeezes, depending on whether the inflows are directed toward spot selling or derivatives trading. This activity has been accompanied by a surge in Binance’s BTC spot trading volume, which reached $7 billion in a single day, according to a separate analysis by Amr Taha of CryptoQuant. The spike in volume may reflect a shift in trader positioning, potentially influenced by institutional trades or broader macroeconomic factors. Additionally, short-term holder (STH) inflows to Binance have crossed the 0.4 threshold on the Spent Output Age Bands metric, a level often associated with retail-driven sell activity. Historically, retail participants have tended to sell into strength during bullish market phases, providing liquidity for more sophisticated traders. Whale Behavior Points to Lower Immediate Selling Pressure In contrast to heightened retail activity, the inflows from large holders, categorized as whales (1,000–10,000 BTC) and humpbacks, remain relatively low. Current whale inflows stand at 1,170 BTC, significantly below the 14,610 BTC recorded on July 19, which coincided with a notable price drop. The absence of similar large-scale selling now suggests a reduction in immediate downside risk, though market conditions remain dependent on other factors such as derivatives positioning and macroeconomic developments. The interaction between whale behavior, retail participation, and exchange-specific flows highlights the current complexity of Bitcoin’s market structure. While the broader trend of net outflows from exchanges supports a longer-term bullish outlook, the elevated whale ratio and concentrated inflows to Binance increase the likelihood of short-term volatility. Analysts recommend close monitoring of Binance’s order book, open interest, and funding rates over the coming sessions to better understand potential price direction. With Bitcoin hovering just below the $120,000 mark, the next few trading days will be critical in determining whether the market stabilizes or sees further corrective moves. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView",
"headline": "Bitcoin Pulls Back Below $120K After New ATH as Whale Ratio Hits Risk Levels",
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"caption": "According to market reports, Chainlink hit a three-month high at $23.80 this week as community sentiment for 2025 reached its strongest point so far. Trading activity was up, with about $2 billion in volume reported in the last 24 hours. The move came alongside broader crypto gains, but LINK’s own narratives — from real-world assets to cross-chain tools — are getting a lot of attention. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Community Momentum And Market Moves Reports have highlighted a spike in bullish talk from Chainlink’s community, often called “marines,” and on-chain activity that traders are watching closely. Based on Etherscan data, one token contract reportedly bought back roughly 40,000 LINK units in an hour via Uniswap V3, which traders said added fuel to the rally. Sentiment trackers show a notable upswing, and trading charts reflect a string of green days that pushed prices into the mid-twenties. Chainlink’s Role In RWA And Policy Debates Based on reports, Chainlink now secures over $62 billion in total value that relies on its oracle feeds, a figure that was put at about 60% of the oracle market. The project is reported to provide data for 450 projects across 21 chains. LINK’s exposure to real-world assets also gets attention: reports place Chainlink-linked RWAs at nearly $16 billion out of a $57 billion RWA space. The project was mentioned in recent White House digital asset frameworks as an example of oracle usage, which added another layer to the story driving interest. Price Signals And Technical Readouts According to short-term forecasts cited by some providers, LINK could rise by 7% to reach $25 by September 13, 2025. Market indicators shown in those reports mark current sentiment as Bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index at 75 (Greed). Related Reading: Solana Strategy: Nasdaq Firm Taps Arthur Hayes For Advisory Role LINK recorded 19/30 green days over the past month, with price volatility at about 10% for the same period. Active daily transactions on Chainlink’s token have climbed during this rally, even though the baseline number of holders remains relatively low. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Ethereum price started a downside correction from the $4,780 zone. ETH is again rising from $4,480 and might attempt a steady increase. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $4,520 and $4,550 levels. The price is trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it remains supported above the $4,500 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Dips Remains Attractive Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $4,600 support zone, beating Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,650 and $4,700 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above the $4,720 resistance zone. Finally, the price tested the $4,780 resistance zone. A high was formed at $4,782 and the price recently corrected gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,170 swing low to the $4,782 high. However, the bulls were active near the $4,480 support. They protected the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,170 swing low to the $4,782 high. The price is again rising and showing positive signs. Ethereum price is now trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,640 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,680 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,720 level. A clear move above the $4,720 resistance might send the price toward the $4,780 resistance. An upside break above the $4,780 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,880 resistance zone or even $5,000 in the near term. Another Pullback In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,700 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,550 level. The first major support sits near the $4,500 zone. A clear move below the $4,500 support might push the price toward the $4,400 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,315 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,500 Major Resistance Level – $4,700",
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"caption": "According to market reports, Chainlink hit a three-month high at $23.80 this week as community sentiment for 2025 reached its strongest point so far. Trading activity was up, with about $2 billion in volume reported in the last 24 hours. The move came alongside broader crypto gains, but LINK’s own narratives — from real-world assets to cross-chain tools — are getting a lot of attention. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Community Momentum And Market Moves Reports have highlighted a spike in bullish talk from Chainlink’s community, often called “marines,” and on-chain activity that traders are watching closely. Based on Etherscan data, one token contract reportedly bought back roughly 40,000 LINK units in an hour via Uniswap V3, which traders said added fuel to the rally. Sentiment trackers show a notable upswing, and trading charts reflect a string of green days that pushed prices into the mid-twenties. Chainlink’s Role In RWA And Policy Debates Based on reports, Chainlink now secures over $62 billion in total value that relies on its oracle feeds, a figure that was put at about 60% of the oracle market. The project is reported to provide data for 450 projects across 21 chains. LINK’s exposure to real-world assets also gets attention: reports place Chainlink-linked RWAs at nearly $16 billion out of a $57 billion RWA space. The project was mentioned in recent White House digital asset frameworks as an example of oracle usage, which added another layer to the story driving interest. Price Signals And Technical Readouts According to short-term forecasts cited by some providers, LINK could rise by 7% to reach $25 by September 13, 2025. Market indicators shown in those reports mark current sentiment as Bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index at 75 (Greed). Related Reading: Solana Strategy: Nasdaq Firm Taps Arthur Hayes For Advisory Role LINK recorded 19/30 green days over the past month, with price volatility at about 10% for the same period. Active daily transactions on Chainlink’s token have climbed during this rally, even though the baseline number of holders remains relatively low. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Ethereum price started a downside correction from the $4,780 zone. ETH is again rising from $4,480 and might attempt a steady increase. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $4,520 and $4,550 levels. The price is trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it remains supported above the $4,500 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Dips Remains Attractive Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $4,600 support zone, beating Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,650 and $4,700 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above the $4,720 resistance zone. Finally, the price tested the $4,780 resistance zone. A high was formed at $4,782 and the price recently corrected gains below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,170 swing low to the $4,782 high. However, the bulls were active near the $4,480 support. They protected the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,170 swing low to the $4,782 high. The price is again rising and showing positive signs. Ethereum price is now trading above $4,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,500 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,640 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,680 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,720 level. A clear move above the $4,720 resistance might send the price toward the $4,780 resistance. An upside break above the $4,780 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,880 resistance zone or even $5,000 in the near term. Another Pullback In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,700 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,550 level. The first major support sits near the $4,500 zone. A clear move below the $4,500 support might push the price toward the $4,400 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,315 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $4,500 Major Resistance Level – $4,700",
"headline": "Ethereum Price Corrects Lower, Could It Trigger Another Buying Spree?",
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"caption": "Bitcoin price is trimming gains from the $124,000 zone. BTC is now consolidating below $120,000 and might aim for a recovery wave. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $124,000 zone. The price is trading below $122,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $120,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $120,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price traded to a new all-time high near $124,000 before the bears appeared. BTC started a correction and traded below the $122,000 support zone. There was a move below the $121,200 support zone and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $120,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair tested the $117,250 zone. It is now consolidating losses and has recovered some losses to test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the move from the $124,420 swing high to the $117,250 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $120,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $119,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $120,000 level. The next resistance could be $120,500. A close above the $120,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $121,650 resistance level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the move from the $124,420 swing high to the $117,250 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $122,200 level. The main target could be $123,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $120,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $118,000 level. The first major support is near the $117,250 level. The next support is now near the $116,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $115,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $113,500, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $117,250, followed by $116,500. Major Resistance Levels – $120,000 and $120,500.",
"headline": "Bitcoin Price Slides 4% After Strong Rally – Correction or Pause?",
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"caption": "Bitcoin price is trimming gains from the $124,000 zone. BTC is now consolidating below $120,000 and might aim for a recovery wave. Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $124,000 zone. The price is trading below $122,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $120,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $120,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Dips Sharply Bitcoin price traded to a new all-time high near $124,000 before the bears appeared. BTC started a correction and traded below the $122,000 support zone. There was a move below the $121,200 support zone and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at $120,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair tested the $117,250 zone. It is now consolidating losses and has recovered some losses to test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the move from the $124,420 swing high to the $117,250 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $120,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $119,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $120,000 level. The next resistance could be $120,500. A close above the $120,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $121,650 resistance level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the move from the $124,420 swing high to the $117,250 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $122,200 level. The main target could be $123,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $120,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $118,000 level. The first major support is near the $117,250 level. The next support is now near the $116,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $115,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $113,500, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $117,250, followed by $116,500. Major Resistance Levels – $120,000 and $120,500.",
"headline": "Bitcoin Price Slides 4% After Strong Rally – Correction or Pause?",
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"caption": "Bitcoin’s fresh record above $124,000 on Thursday set the stage for a stark test of one of oldest heuristics, according to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya. In a video published today, August 14, Consorti argued that the fourth quarter will reveal whether the market’s long-observed four-year halving cycle still governs price behavior—or whether the asset has entered a new regime shaped by deep, patient pools of traditional finance capital. “Bitcoin just hit a brand new all-time high of more than $123,700,” he said at the top of the segment. “It’s since corrected slightly…but we’re still pushing higher.” That print aligns with Wednesday’s tape across major dashboards: Bitcoin price topped above $124,4000 today as macro traders leaned into a prospective Fed easing path and risk sentiment firmed. Q4 Could Bury The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle For Good Consorti framed the breakout against a month-long tug-of-war around $118,000–$120,000, describing how “longs and shorts have been fighting back and forth for market control,” with bulls “slowly but surely” grinding out the upper hand. He tied the setup to the seasonal transition out of the “summer doldrums,” and to a policy backdrop he expects to turn supportive: “As Wall Street returns from vacation… the Fed is positioned for its first maintenance rate cut in a year as the US economy rebounds.” Futures markets have increasingly priced a September cut, a shift that has underpinned risk assets broadly alongside dollar softness. The heart of Consorti’s thesis is that this expansion is structurally different. “This is also Bitcoin’s longest bull market ever… at 21 months compared to 13 months,” he said, using that duration to pose the key dilemma: “That begs the question, is the 4-year cycle dead? Well, at the very least, the 4-year cycle will be tested in Q4 of this year.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works He pointed viewers to analysis from on-chain researcher James Check (Checkmate) at CheckOnChain. “If we see a massive run-up and blow-off top at 4-year end, the theory remains intact… but if not, Bitcoin’s behavior through market cycles has probably changed forever.” Check, for his part, has recently written that “if there was ever a time for the 4yr Bitcoin halving cycle to break, this market environment is likely it,” underscoring how veteran on-chain analysts are also bracing for a pattern shift. What’s changed, in Consorti’s view, is the buyer base. “Traditional finance capital pools have entered the picture, and they play by different rules.” He highlighted spot Bitcoin ETFs as the prime conduit: “These are purchased by retirees, pension funds, and endowments… These are allocators with no near-term intention of selling. They plan to hold it for years, even decades, and only gradually shave down positions over time.” To illustrate, he cited Harvard University’s endowment: “Their endowment purchased 1.9 million shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust, valued at $116.7 million in Q2.” That position—disclosed in a recent 13F—impressively demonstrates the institutional adoption of BlackRock’s IBIT. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Consorti extended the long-horizon argument to treasury adopters: “These are firms holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets with no plan to sell. Ever… the serious players… are permanent fixtures in the market.” The implication, he said, is a visible evolution in market structure and tempo: “Instead of the violent booms and busts of earlier cycles, we’re seeing something new, which is a consistent uptrend punctuated by periods of consolidation, then rapid expansion, then consolidation again.” As supply becomes increasingly lodged with long-duration holders and the asset’s capital base thickens, “volatility naturally compresses, but upside doesn’t vanish. It just plays out in longer arcs, with bigger dollar moves and a slower tempo.” He added that this maturation is already noticeable as Bitcoin grows “beyond its current $2.4 trillion market cap,” even as he acknowledged that the fourth quarter will be the crucible for the cycle debate. “In Q4, that dynamic could be on full display,” Consorti concluded. A “mix of easing financial conditions, renewed institutional inflows post-summer, and persistent structural demand from ETFs, corporates, and high net worth allocators could set the stage for another leg higher and a banner Q4.” But his sign-off was deliberately non-deterministic: “Only after the fourth quarter of this year will we truly know whether or not the four-year cycle is truly dead and buried… We’ll just have to wait and see.” At press time, BTC traded at $119,068. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin’s fresh record above $124,000 on Thursday set the stage for a stark test of one of oldest heuristics, according to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya. In a video published today, August 14, Consorti argued that the fourth quarter will reveal whether the market’s long-observed four-year halving cycle still governs price behavior—or whether the asset has entered a new regime shaped by deep, patient pools of traditional finance capital. “Bitcoin just hit a brand new all-time high of more than $123,700,” he said at the top of the segment. “It’s since corrected slightly…but we’re still pushing higher.” That print aligns with Wednesday’s tape across major dashboards: Bitcoin price topped above $124,4000 today as macro traders leaned into a prospective Fed easing path and risk sentiment firmed. Q4 Could Bury The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle For Good Consorti framed the breakout against a month-long tug-of-war around $118,000–$120,000, describing how “longs and shorts have been fighting back and forth for market control,” with bulls “slowly but surely” grinding out the upper hand. He tied the setup to the seasonal transition out of the “summer doldrums,” and to a policy backdrop he expects to turn supportive: “As Wall Street returns from vacation… the Fed is positioned for its first maintenance rate cut in a year as the US economy rebounds.” Futures markets have increasingly priced a September cut, a shift that has underpinned risk assets broadly alongside dollar softness. The heart of Consorti’s thesis is that this expansion is structurally different. “This is also Bitcoin’s longest bull market ever… at 21 months compared to 13 months,” he said, using that duration to pose the key dilemma: “That begs the question, is the 4-year cycle dead? Well, at the very least, the 4-year cycle will be tested in Q4 of this year.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works He pointed viewers to analysis from on-chain researcher James Check (Checkmate) at CheckOnChain. “If we see a massive run-up and blow-off top at 4-year end, the theory remains intact… but if not, Bitcoin’s behavior through market cycles has probably changed forever.” Check, for his part, has recently written that “if there was ever a time for the 4yr Bitcoin halving cycle to break, this market environment is likely it,” underscoring how veteran on-chain analysts are also bracing for a pattern shift. What’s changed, in Consorti’s view, is the buyer base. “Traditional finance capital pools have entered the picture, and they play by different rules.” He highlighted spot Bitcoin ETFs as the prime conduit: “These are purchased by retirees, pension funds, and endowments… These are allocators with no near-term intention of selling. They plan to hold it for years, even decades, and only gradually shave down positions over time.” To illustrate, he cited Harvard University’s endowment: “Their endowment purchased 1.9 million shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust, valued at $116.7 million in Q2.” That position—disclosed in a recent 13F—impressively demonstrates the institutional adoption of BlackRock’s IBIT. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Consorti extended the long-horizon argument to treasury adopters: “These are firms holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets with no plan to sell. Ever… the serious players… are permanent fixtures in the market.” The implication, he said, is a visible evolution in market structure and tempo: “Instead of the violent booms and busts of earlier cycles, we’re seeing something new, which is a consistent uptrend punctuated by periods of consolidation, then rapid expansion, then consolidation again.” As supply becomes increasingly lodged with long-duration holders and the asset’s capital base thickens, “volatility naturally compresses, but upside doesn’t vanish. It just plays out in longer arcs, with bigger dollar moves and a slower tempo.” He added that this maturation is already noticeable as Bitcoin grows “beyond its current $2.4 trillion market cap,” even as he acknowledged that the fourth quarter will be the crucible for the cycle debate. “In Q4, that dynamic could be on full display,” Consorti concluded. A “mix of easing financial conditions, renewed institutional inflows post-summer, and persistent structural demand from ETFs, corporates, and high net worth allocators could set the stage for another leg higher and a banner Q4.” But his sign-off was deliberately non-deterministic: “Only after the fourth quarter of this year will we truly know whether or not the four-year cycle is truly dead and buried… We’ll just have to wait and see.” At press time, BTC traded at $119,068. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "The Bitcoin Realized Price has surged above the asset’s 200-week moving average (MA). Here’s what could happen next, according to history. Bitcoin Realized Price Has Overtaken 200-WMA For First Time This Cycle As pointed out by analyst James Van Straten in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA have seen a crossover. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, in short, keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Don’t Expect Volatility: Contrarian Signal Brewing? When the value of this metric is higher than the spot price, it means the holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under BTC’s value suggests the average investor is underwater. The 200-week MA, the other metric shared by the analyst, is a technical analysis (TA) pricing model that averages BTC’s closing price over the last 200 weeks. Since 200 weeks roughly equal four years, this indicator is used to gauge BTC’s trend shifts over a classic four-year cycle. Now, here is the chart shared by Van Straten that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA over the past decade: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Price has gone up over the past year, a natural result of BTC’s spot price following an uptrend. As investors trade at the higher prices, they reprice the cost basis of their coins higher as well, thus raising the market average. After the latest increase in the indicator, its value has surged above the 200-week MA. The last time that the former was higher than the latter was in the previous cycle. Back then, the crossover occurred in 2020, and the orientation was maintained until 2022. Interestingly, the timing of the crossover coincided with the start of that cycle’s bull run. In the 2017 cycle, no crossover preceded the bull run as the Realized Price never dipped under the 200-week MA, but a retest did occur, which sent the metric flying up alongside the spot price. “When the uptrend begins, so does the bull market,” notes the analyst. It now remains to be seen whether something similar as in the past would occur, with the Bitcoin Realized Price seeing a sustained surge above the 200-week MA. Related Reading: Ethereum Retail Mood Still Bearish: Perfect Setup For ATH Break? Speaking of bullish signals, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has revealed that institutional buying represented 75% of Coinbase volume recently. Edwards has noticed an interesting pattern related to this metric. “All readings above 75% have seen higher prices one week later,” explains the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin set a new all-time high above $124,000 on Wednesday, but the coin has plunged since then as its price is back at $118,300. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, charts from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Bitcoin Realized Price Flips 200-WMA: What Happens Next?",
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"caption": "EFF is Co-Counsel in Case Detailing Harms Caused by Export of U.S. Cybersurveillance Technology and Training to Repressive RegimesPORTLAND, OR – Saudi human rights activist Loujain Alhathloul’s groundbreaking lawsuit concerning spying software that enabled her imprisonment and torture can advance, a federal judge ruled in an opinion unsealed Tuesday. \nU.S. District Judge Karin J. Immergut of the District of Oregon ruled that Alhathloul’s lawsuit against DarkMatter Group and three of its former executives can proceed on its claims under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act – the first time that a human rights case like this has gone so far under this law. The judge dismissed other claims made under the Alien Tort Statute. \nAlhathloul is represented in the case by the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF), the Center for Justice and Accountability, Foley Hoag, and Tonkon Torp LLP. \n\"This important ruling is the first to let a lawsuit filed by the victim of a foreign government’s human rights abuses, enabled by U.S. spyware used to hack the victim’s devices, proceed in our federal courts,” said EFF Civil Liberties Director David Greene. “This case is particularly important at a time when transnational human rights abuses are making daily headlines, and we are eager to proceed with proving our case.” \n“Transparency in such times and circumstances is a cornerstone that enacts integrity and drives accountability as it offers the necessary information to understand our reality and act upon it. The latter presents a roadmap to a safer world,” Alhathloul said. “Today’s judge’s order has become a public court document only to reinforce those rooted concepts of transparency that will one day lead to accountability.” \nAlhathloul, 36, a nominee for the 2019 and 2020 Nobel Peace Prize, has been a powerful advocate for women’s rights in Saudi Arabia for more than a decade. She was at the forefront of the public campaign advocating for women’s right to drive in Saudi Arabia and has been a vocal critic of the country’s male guardianship system. \nThe lawsuit alleges that defendants DarkMatter Group, Marc Baier, Ryan Adams, and Daniel Gericke were hired by the UAE to target Alhathloul and other perceived dissidents as part of the UAE’s broader cooperation with Saudi Arabia. According to the lawsuit, the defendants used U.S. cybersurveillance technology, along with their U.S. intelligence training, to install spyware on Alhathloul’s iPhone and extract data from it, including while she was in the United States and communicating with U.S. contacts. After the hack, Alhathloul was arbitrarily detained by the UAE security services and forcibly rendered to Saudi Arabia, where she was imprisoned and tortured. She is no longer in prison, but she is currently subject to an illegal travel ban and unable to leave Saudi Arabia. \nThe case was filed in December 2021; Judge Immergut dismissed it in March 2023 with leave to amend, and the amended complaint was filed in May 2023. \n“This Court concludes that Plaintiff has shown that her claims arise out of Defendants’ forum-related contacts,” Judge Immergut wrote in her opinion. “Defendants’ forum-related contacts include (1) their alleged tortious exfiltration of data from Plaintiff’s iPhone while she was in the U.S. and (2) their acquisition, use, and enhancement of U.S.-created exploits from U.S. companies to create the Karma hacking tool used to accomplish their tortious conduct. Plaintiff’s CFAA claims arise out of these U.S. contacts.” \nFor the judge’s opinion: https://www.eff.org/document/alhathloul-v-darkmatter-opinion-and-order-motion-dismiss\nFor more about the case: https://www.eff.org/cases/alhathloul-v-darkmatter-group \n\nContact: \n\n \n \n DavidGreeneCivil Liberties Directordavidg@eff.org",
"headline": "Torture Victim’s Landmark Hacking Lawsuit Against Spyware Maker Can Proceed, Judge Rules",
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"caption": "If you believe the hype, artificial intelligence will soon take all our jobs, or solve all our problems, or destroy all boundaries between reality and lies, or help us live forever, or take over the world and exterminate humanity. That’s a pretty wide spectrum, and leaves a lot of people very confused about what exactly AI can and can’t do. In this episode, we’ll help you sort that out: For example, we’ll talk about why even superintelligent AI cannot simply replace humans for most of what we do, nor can it perfect or ruin our world unless we let it.\n\n \n\n \n %3Ciframe%20height%3D%2252px%22%20width%3D%22100%25%22%20frameborder%3D%22no%22%20scrolling%3D%22no%22%20seamless%3D%22%22%20src%3D%22https%3A%2F%2Fplayer.simplecast.com%2F49181a0e-f8b4-4b2a-ae07-f087ecea2ddd%3Fdark%3Dtrue%26amp%3Bcolor%3D000000%22%20allow%3D%22autoplay%22%3E%3C%2Fiframe%3E\n \n \n Privacy info.\n This embed will serve content from simplecast.com\n \n\n \n(You can also find this episode on the Internet Archive and on YouTube.) \n Arvind Narayanan studies the societal impact of digital technologies with a focus on how AI does and doesn’t work, and what it can and can’t do. He believes that if we set aside all the hype, and set the right guardrails around AI’s training and use, it has the potential to be a profoundly empowering and liberating technology. Narayanan joins EFF’s Cindy Cohn and Jason Kelley to discuss how we get to a world in which AI can improve aspects of our lives from education to transportation—if we make some system improvements first—and how AI will likely work in ways that we barely notice but that help us grow and thrive. \nIn this episode you’ll learn about:\n\nWhat it means to be a “techno-optimist” (and NOT the venture capitalist kind)\nWhy we can’t rely on predictive algorithms to make decisions in criminal justice, hiring, lending, and other crucial aspects of people’s lives\nHow large-scale, long-term, controlled studies are needed to determine whether a specific AI application actually lives up to its accuracy promises\nWhy “cheapfakes” tend to be more (or just as) effective than deepfakes in shoring up political support\nHow AI is and isn’t akin to the Industrial Revolution, the advent of electricity, and the development of the assembly line \n\nArvind Narayanan is professor of computer science and director of the Center for Information Technology Policy at Princeton University. Along with Sayash Kapoor, he publishes the AI Snake Oil newsletter, followed by tens of thousands of researchers, policy makers, journalists, and AI enthusiasts; they also have authored “AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference” (2024, Princeton University Press). He has studied algorithmic amplification on social media as a visiting senior researcher at Columbia University's Knight First Amendment Institute; co-authored an online a textbook on fairness and machine learning; and led Princeton's Web Transparency and Accountability Project, uncovering how companies collect and use our personal information. \nResources:\n\nThe WIRED AI Elections Project\nAxios: “Behind the Curtain: A white-collar bloodbath” (May 28, 2025)\nBloomberg: “Klarna Slows AI-Driven Job Cuts With Call for Real People” (May 8, 2025)\nArs Technica: “Air Canada must honor refund policy invented by airline’s chatbot” (Feb. 16, 2024) \n\nWhat do you think of “How to Fix the Internet?” Share your feedback here.\nTranscript\nARVIND NARAYANAN: The people who believe that super intelligence is coming very quickly tend to think of most tasks that we wanna do in the real world as being analogous to chess, where it was the case that initially chessbots were not very good.t some points, they reached human parity. And then very quickly after that, simply by improving the hardware and then later on by improving the algorithms, including by using machine learning, they're vastly, vastly superhuman.We don't think most tasks are like that. This is true when you talk about tasks that are integrated into the real world, you know, require common sense, require a kind of understanding of a fuzzy task description. It's not even clear when you've done well and when you've not done well. We think that human performance is not limited by our biology. It's limited by our state of knowledge of the world, for instance. So the reason we're not better doctors is not because we're not computing fast enough, it's just that medical research has only given us so much knowledge about how the human body works and you know, how drugs work and so forth.And the other is you've just hit the ceiling of performance. The reason people are not necessarily better writers is that it's not even clear what it means to be a better writer. It's not as if there's gonna be a magic piece of text, you know, that's gonna, like persuade you of something that you never wanted to believe, for instance, right?We don't think that sort of thing is even possible. And so those are two reasons why in the vast majority of tasks, we think AI is not going to become better or at least much better than human professionals.\nCINDY COHN: That's Arvind Narayanan explaining why AIs cannot simply replace humans for most of what we do. I'm Cindy Cohn, the executive director of the Electronic Frontier Foundation.\nJASON KELLEY: And I'm Jason Kelley, EFF’s Activism Director. This is our podcast series, How to Fix the Internet.\nCINDY COHN: On this show, we try to get away from the dystopian tech doomsayers – and offer space to envision a more hopeful and positive digital future that we can all work towards.\nJASON KELLEY: And our guest is one of the most level-headed and reassuring voices in tech.\nCINDY COHN: Arvind Narayanan is a professor of computer science at Princeton and the director of the Center for Information Technology Policy. He’s also the co-author of a terrific newsletter called AI Snake Oil – which has also become a book – where he and his colleague Sayash Kapoor debunk the hype around AI and offer a clear-eyed view of both its risks and its benefits.He is also a self-described “techno-optimist”, but he means that in a very particular way – so we started off with what that term means to him.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: I think there are multiple kinds of techno-optimism. There's the Mark Andreessen kind where, you know, let the tech companies do what they wanna do and everything will work out. I'm not that kind of techno-optimist. My kind of techno-optimism is all about the belief that we actually need folks to think about what could go wrong and get ahead of that so that we can then realize what our positive future is. So for me, you know, AI can be a profoundly empowering and liberating technology. In fact, going back to my own childhood, this is a story that I tell sometimes, I was growing up in India and, frankly, the education system kind of sucked. My geography teacher thought India was in the Southern Hemisphere. That's a true story.\nCINDY COHN: Oh my God. Whoops.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: And, you know, there weren't any great libraries nearby. And so a lot of what I knew, and I not only had to teach myself, but it was hard to access reliable, good sources of information. We had had a lot of books of course, but I remember when my parents saved up for a whole year and bought me a computer that had a CD-Rom encyclopedia on it.That was a completely life-changing moment for me. Right. So that was the first time I could get close to this idea of having all information at our fingertips. That was even before I kind of had internet access even. So that was a very powerful moment. And I saw that as a lesson in information technology having the ability to level the playing field across different countries. And that was part of why I decided to get into computer science. Of course I later realized that my worldview was a little bit oversimplified. Tech is not automatically a force for good. It takes a lot of effort and agency to ensure that it will be that way. And so that led to my research interest in the societal aspects of technology as opposed to more of the tech itself.Anyway, all of that is a long-winded way of saying I see a lot of that same potential in AI that existed in the way that internet access, if done right, has the potential and, and has been bringing, a kind of liberatory potential to so many in the world who might not have the same kinds of access that we do here in the western world with our institutions and so forth.\nCINDY COHN: So let's drill down a second on this because I really love this image. You know, I was a little girl growing up in Iowa and seeing the internet made me feel the same way. Like I could have access to all the same information that people who were in the big cities and had the fancy schools could have access to.So, you know, from I think all around the world, there's this experience and depending on how old you are, it may be that you discovered Wikipedia as opposed to a CD Rom of an encyclopedia, but it's that same moment and, I think that that is the promise that we have to hang on to. So what would an educational world look like? You know, if you're a student or a teacher, if we are getting AI right?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Yeah, for sure. So let me start with my own experience. I kind of actually use AI a lot in the way that I learn new topics. This is something I was surprised to find myself doing given the well-known limitations of these chatbots and accuracy, but it turned out that there are relatively easy ways to work around those limitations.Uh, one kind of example of uh, if a user adaptation to it is to always be in a critical mode where you know that out of 10 things that AI is telling you, one is probably going to be wrong. And so being in that skeptical frame of mind, actually in my view, enhances learning. And that's the right frame of mind to be in anytime you're learning anything, I think so that's one kind of adaptation. But there are also technology adaptations, right? Just the simplest example: If you ask AI to be in Socratic mode, for instance, in a conversation, uh, a chat bot will take on a much more appropriate role for helping the user learn as opposed to one where students might ask for answers to homework questions and, you know, end up taking shortcuts and it actually limits their critical thinking and their ability to learn and grow, right? So that's one simple example to make the point that a lot of this is not about AI itself, but how we use AI. More broadly in terms of a vision for how integrating this into the education system could look like, I do think there is a lot of promise in personalization. Again, this has been a target of a lot of overselling that AI can be a personalized tutor to every individual. And I think there was a science fiction story that was intended as a warning sign, but a lot of people in the AI industry have taken as a, as a manual or a vision for what this should look like. But even in my experiences with my own kids, right, they're five and three, even little things like, you know, I was, uh, talking to my daughter about fractions the other day, and I wanted to help her visualize fractions. And I asked Claude to make a little game that would help do that. And within, you know, it was 30 seconds or a minute or whatever, it made a little game where it would generate a random fraction, like three over five, and then ask the child to move a slider. And then it will divide the line segment into five parts, highlight three, show how close the child did to the correct answer, and, you know, give feedback and that sort of thing, and you can kind of instantly create that, right? So this convinces me that there is in fact a lot of potential in AI and personalization if a particular child is struggling with a particular thing, a teacher can create an app on the spot and have the child play with it for 10 minutes and then throw it away, never have to use it again. But that can actually be meaningfully helpful.\nJASON KELLEY: This kind of AI and education conversation is really close to my heart because I have a good friend who runs a school, and as soon as AI sort of burst onto the scene he was so excited for exactly the reasons you're talking about. But at the same time, a lot of schools immediately put in place sort of like, you know, Chat GPT bans and things like that.And we've talked a little bit on EFF’s Deep Links blog about how, you know, that's probably an overstep in terms of like, people need to know how to use this, whether they're students or not. They need to understand what the capabilities are so they can have this sort of uses of it that are adapting to them rather than just sort of like immediately trying to do their homework.So do you think schools, you know, given the way you see it, are well positioned to get to the point you're describing? I mean, how, like, that seems like a pretty far future where a lot of teachers know how AI works or school systems understand it. Like how do we actually do the thing you're describing because most teachers are overwhelmed as it is.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Exactly. That's the root of the problem. I think there needs to be, you know, structural changes. There needs to be more funding. And I think there also needs to be more of an awareness so that there's less of this kind of adversarial approach. Uh, I think about, you know, the levers for change where I can play a little part. I can't change the school funding situation, but just as one simple example, I think the way that researchers are looking at this maybe right, right now today is not the most helpful and can be reframed in a way that is much more actionable to teachers and others. So there's a lot of studies that look at what is the impact of AI in the classroom that, to me, are the equivalent of, is eating food good for you? It’s addressing the question of the wrong level of abstraction.\nJASON KELLEY: Yeah.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: You can't answer the question at that high level because you haven't specified any of the details that actually matter. Whether food is good and entirely depends on what food it is, and if you're, if the way you studied that was to go into the grocery store and sample the first 15 items that you saw, you're measuring properties of your arbitrary sample instead of the underlying phenomena that you wanna study.And so I think researchers have to drill down much deeper into what does AI for education actually look like, right? If you ask the question at the level of are chatbots helping or hurting students, you're gonna end up with nonsensical answers. So I think the research can change and then other structural changes need to happen.\nCINDY COHN: I heard you on a podcast talk about AI as, and saying kind of a similar point, which is that, you know, what, if we were deciding whether vehicles were good or bad, right? Nobody would, um, everyone could understand that that's way too broad a characterization for a general purpose kind of device to come to any reasonable conclusion. So you have to look at the difference between, you know, a truck, a car, a taxi, other, you know, all the, or, you know, various other kinds of vehicles in order to do that. And I think you do a good job of that in your book, at least in kind of starting to give us some categories, and the one that we're most focused on at EFF is the difference between predictive technologies, and other kinds of AI. Because I think like you, we have identified these kind of predictive technologies as being kind of the most dangerous ones we see right now in actual use. Am I right about that?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: That's our view in the book, yes, in terms of the kinds of AI that has the biggest consequences in people's lives, and also where the consequences are very often quite harmful. So this is AI in the criminal justice system, for instance, used to predict who might fail to show up to court or who might commit a crime and then kind of prejudge them on that basis, right? And deny them their freedom on the basis of something they're predicted to do in the future, which in turn is based on the behavior of other similar defendants in the past, right? So there are two questions here, a technical question and a moral one.The technical question is, how accurate can you get? And it turns out when we review the evidence, not very accurate. There's a long section in our book at the end of which we conclude that one legitimate way to look at it is that all that these systems are predicting is the more prior arrests you have, the more likely you are to be arrested in the future.So that's the technical aspect, and that's because, you know, it's just not known who is going to commit a crime. Yes, some crimes are premeditated, but a lot of the others are spur of the moment or depend on things, random things that might happen in the future.It's something we all recognize intuitively, but when the words AI or machine learning are used, some of these decision makers seem to somehow suspend common sense and somehow believe in the future as actually accurately predictable.\nCINDY COHN: The other piece that I've seen you talk about and others talk about is that the only data you have is what the cops actually do, and that doesn't tell you about crime it tells you about what the cops do. So my friends at the human rights data analysis group called it predicting the police rather than predicting policing.And we know there's a big difference between the crime that the cops respond to and the general crime. So it's gonna look like the people who commit crimes are the people who always commit crimes when it's just the subset that the police are able to focus on, and we know there's a lot of bias baked into that as well.So it's not just inside the data, it's outside the data that you have to think about in terms of these prediction algorithms and what they're capturing and what they're not. Is that fair?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: That's totally, yeah, that's exactly right. And more broadly, you know, beyond the criminal justice system, these predictive algorithms are also used in hiring, for instance, and, and you know, it's not the same morally problematic kind of use where you're denying someone their freedom. But a lot of the same pitfalls apply.I think one way in which we try to capture this in the book is that AI snake oil, or broken AI, as we sometimes call it, is appealing to broken institutions. So the reason that AI is so appealing to hiring managers is that yes, it is true that something is broken with the way we hire today. Companies are getting hundreds of applications, maybe a thousand for each open position. They're not able to manually go through all of them. So they want to try to automate the process. But that's not actually addressing what is broken about the system, and when they're doing that, the applicants are also using AI to increase the number of positions they can apply to. And so it's only escalating the arms race, right?I think the reason this is broken is that we fundamentally don't have good ways of knowing who's going to be a good fit for which position, and so by pretending that we can predict it with AI, we're just elevating this elaborate random number generator into this moral arbiter. And there can be moral consequences of this as well.Like, obviously, you know, someone who deserved a job might be denied that job, but it actually gets amplified when you think about some of these AI recruitment vendors providing their algorithm to 10 different companies. And so every company that someone applies to is judging someone in the same way.So in our view, the only way to get away from this is to make necessary. Organizational reforms to these broken processes. Just as one example, in software, for instance, many companies will offer people, students especially, internships, and use that to have a more in-depth assessment of a candidate. I'm not saying that necessarily works for every industry or every level of seniority, but we have to actually go deeper and emphasize the human element instead of trying to be more superficial and automated with AI.\nJASON KELLEY: One of the themes that you bring up in the newsletter and the book is AI evaluation. Let's say you have one of these companies with the hiring tool: why is it so hard to evaluate the sort of like, effectiveness of these AI models or the data behind them? I know that it can be, you know, difficult if you don't have access to it, but even if you do, how do we figure out the shortcomings that these tools actually have?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: There are a few big limitations here. Let's say we put aside the data access question, the company itself wants to figure out how accurate these decisions are.\nJASON KELLEY: Hopefully!\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Yeah. Um, yeah, exactly. They often don't wanna know, but even if you do wanna know that in terms of the technical aspect of evaluating this, it's really the same problem as the medical system has in figuring out whether a drug works or not.And we know how hard that is. That actually requires a randomized, controlled trial. It actually requires experimenting on people, which in turn introduces its own ethical quandaries. So you need oversight for the ethics of it, but then you have to recruit hundreds, sometimes thousands of people, follow them for a period of several years. And figure out whether the treatment group for which you either, you know, gave the drug, or in the hiring case you implemented, your algorithm has a different outcome on average from the control group for whom you either gave a placebo or in the hiring case you used, the traditional hiring procedure.Right. So that's actually what it takes. And, you know, there's just no incentive in most companies to do this because obviously they don't value knowledge for their own sake. And the ROI is just not worth it. The effort that they're gonna put into this kind of evaluation is not going to, uh, allow them to capture the value out of it.It brings knowledge to the public, to society at large. So what do we do here? Right? So usually in cases like this, the government is supposed to step in and use public funding to do this kind of research. But I think we're pretty far from having a cultural understanding that this is the sort of thing that's necessary.And just like the medical community has gotten used to doing this, we need to do this whenever we care about the outcomes, right? Whether it's in criminal justice, hiring, wherever it is. So I think that'll take a while, and our book tries to be a very small first step towards changing public perception that this is not something you can somehow automate using AI. These are actually experiments on people. They're gonna be very hard to do.\nJASON KELLEY: Let's take a quick moment to thank our sponsor. “How to Fix the Internet” is supported by The Alfred P. Sloan Foundation’s Program in Public Understanding of Science and Technology. Enriching people’s lives through a keener appreciation of our increasingly technological world and portraying the complex humanity of scientists, engineers, and mathematicians.We also want to thank EFF members and donors. You are the reason we exist. EFF has been fighting for digital rights for 35 years, and that fight is bigger than ever, so please, if you like what we do, go to eff.org/pod to donate. Also, we’d love for you to join us at this year’s EFF awards, where we celebrate the people working towards the better digital future that we all care so much about. Those are coming up on September 12th in San Francisco. You can find more information about that at eff.org/awards.We also wanted to share that our friend Cory Doctorow has a new podcast – have a listen to this.[WHO BROKE THE INTERNET TRAILER]And now back to our conversation with Arvind Narayanan.\nCINDY COHN: So let's go to the other end of AI world. The people who, you know, are, I think they call it AI safety, where they're really focused on the, you know, robots are gonna kill us. All kind of concerns. 'cause that's a, that's a piece of this story as well. And I'd love to hear your take on, you know, kind of the, the, the doom loop, um, version of ai.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Sure. Yeah. So there's uh, a whole chapter in the book where we talk about concerns around catastrophic risk from future more powerful AI systems, and we have also elaborated a lot of those in a new paper we released called AI as Normal Technology. If folks are interested in looking that up and look, I mean, I'm glad that folks are studying AI safety and the kinds of unusual, let's say, kinds of risks that might arise in the future that are not necessarily direct extrapolations of the risks that we have currently. But where we object to these arguments is the claim that we have enough knowledge and evidence of those risks being so urgent and serious that we have to put serious policy measures in place now, uh, you know, such as, uh, curbing open weights AI, for instance, because you never know who's gonna download these systems and what they're gonna do with them.So we have a few reasons why we think those kinds of really strong arguments are going too far. One reason is that the kinds of interventions that we will need, if we want to control this at the level of the technology, as opposed to the use and deployment of the technology, those kind of non-proliferation measures as we call them, are, in our view, almost guaranteed not to work.And to even try to enforce that you're kind of inexorably led to the idea of building a world authoritarian government that can monitor all, you know, AI development everywhere and make sure that the companies, the few companies that are gonna be licensed to do this, are doing it in a way that builds in all of the safety measures, the alignment measures, as this community calls them, that we want out of these AI models.Because models that took, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars to build just a few years ago can now be built using a cluster of enthusiasts’ machines in a basement, right? And if we imagine that these safety risks are tied to the capability level of these models, which is an assumption that a lot of people have in order to call for these strong policy measures, then the predictions that came out of that line of thinking, in my view, have already repeatedly been falsified.So when GPT two was built, right, this was back in 2019, OpenAI claimed that that was so dangerous in terms of misinformation being out there, that it was going to have potentially deleterious impacts on democracy, that they couldn't release it on an open weights basis.That's a model that my students now build just to, you know, in an afternoon just to learn the process of building models, right? So that's how cheap that has gotten six years later, and vastly more powerful models than GPT two have now been made available openly. And when you look at the impact on AI generated misinformation, we did a study. We looked at the Wired database of the use of AI in election related activities worldwide. And those fears associated with AI generated misinformation have simply not come true because it turns out that the purpose of election misinformation is not to convince someone of the other tribe, if you will, who is skeptical, but just to give fodder for your own tribe so that they will, you know, continue to support whatever it is you're pushing for. And for that purpose, it doesn't have to be that convincing or that deceptive, it just has to be cheap fakes as it's called. It's the kind of thing that anyone can do, you know, in 10 minutes with Photoshop. Even with the availability of sophisticated AI image generators. A lot of the AI misinformation we're seeing are these kinds of cheap fakes that don't even require that kind of sophistication to produce, right?So a lot of these supposed harms really have the wrong theory in mind of how powerful technology will lead to potentially harmful societal impacts. Another great one is in cybersecurity, which, you know, as you know, I worked in for many years before I started working in AI. And if the concern is that AI is gonna find software vulnerabilities and exploit them and exploit critical infrastructure, whatever, better than humans can. I mean, we crossed that threshold a decade or two ago. Automated methods like fuzzing have long been used to find new cyber vulnerabilities, but it turns out that it has actually helped defenders over attackers. Because software companies can and do, and this is, you know, really almost the first line of defense. Use these automated vulnerability discovery methods to find vulnerabilities and fix those vulnerabilities in their own software before even putting it out there where attackers can a chance to, uh, to find those vulnerabilities.So to summarize all of that, a lot of the fears are based on a kind of incorrect theory of the interaction between technology and society. Uh, we have other ways to defend in, in fact, in a lot of ways, AI itself is, is the defense against some of these AI enabled threats we're talking about? And thirdly, the defenses that involve trying to control AI are not going to work. And they are, in our view, pretty dangerous for democracy.\nCINDY COHN: Can you talk a little bit about the AI as normal technology? Because I think this is a world that we're headed into that you've been thinking about a little more. 'cause we're, you know, we're not going back.Anybody who hangs out with people who write computer code, knows that using these systems to write computer code is like normal now. Um, and it would be hard to go back even if you wanted to go back. Um, so tell me a little bit about, you know, this, this version of, of AI as normal technology. 'cause I think it, it feels like the future now, but actually I think depending, you know, what do they say, the future is here, it's just not evenly distributed. Like it is not evenly distributed yet. So what, what does it look like?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Yeah, so a big part of the paper takes seriously the prospect of cognitive automation using AI, that AI will at some point be able to do, you know, with some level of accuracy and reliability, most of the cognitive tasks that are valuable in today's economy at least, and asks, how quickly will this happen? What are the effects going to be? So a lot of people who think this will happen, think that it's gonna happen this decade and a lot of this, you know, uh, brings a lot of fear to people and a lot of very short term thinking. But our paper looks at it in a very different way. So first of all, we think that even if this kind of cognitive automation is achieved, to use an analogy to the industrial revolution, where a lot of physical tasks became automated. It didn't mean that human labor was superfluous, because we don't take powerful physical machines like cranes or whatever and allow them to operate unsupervised, right?So with those physical tasks that became automated, the meaning of what labor is, is now all about the supervision of those physical machines that are vastly more physically powerful than humans. So we think, and this is just an analogy, but we have a lot of reasoning in the paper for why we think this will be the case. What jobs might mean in a future with cognitive automation is primarily around the supervision of AI systems.And so for us, that's a, that's a very positive view. We think that for the most part, that will still be fulfilling jobs in certain sectors. There might be catastrophic impacts, but it's not that across the board you're gonna have drop-in replacements for human workers that are gonna make human jobs obsolete. We don't really see that happening, and we also don't see this happening in the space of a few years. We talk a lot about what are the various sources of inertia that are built into the adoption of any new technology, especially general purpose technology like electricity. We talk about, again, another historic analogy where factories took several decades to figure out how to replace their steam boilers in a useful way with electricity, not because it was technically hard, but because it required organizational innovations, like changing the whole layout of factories around the concept of the assembly line. So we think through what some of those changes might have to be when it comes to the use of AI. And we, you know, we say that we have a, a few decades to, to make this transition and that, even when we do make the transition, it's not going to be as scary as a lot of people seem to think.\nCINDY COHN: So let's say we're living in the future, the Arvind future where we've gotten all these AI questions, right. What does it look like for, you know, the average person or somebody doing a job?\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Sure. A few big things. I wanna use the internet as an analogy here. Uh, 20, 30 years ago, we used to kind of log onto the internet, do a task, and then log off. But now. The internet is simply the medium through which all knowledge work happens, right? So we think that if we get this right in the future, AI is gonna be the medium through which knowledge work happens. It's kind of there in the background and automatically doing stuff that we need done without us necessarily having to go to an AI application and ask it something and then bring the result back to something else. There is this famous definition of AI that AI is whatever hasn't been done yet. So what that means is that when a technology is new and it's not working that well and its effects are double-edged, that's when we're more likely to call it AI.But eventually it starts working reliably and it kind of fades into the background and we take it for granted as part of our digital or physical environment. And we think that that's gonna happen with generative AI to a large degree. It's just gonna be invisibly making all knowledge work a lot better, and human work will be primarily about exercising judgment over the AI work that's happening pervasively, as opposed to humans being the ones doing, you know, the nuts and bolts of the thinking in any particular occupation. I think another one is, uh, I hope that we will have. gotten better at recognizing the things that are intrinsically human and putting more human effort into them, that we will have freed up more human time and effort for those things that matter. So some folks, for instance, are saying, oh, let's automate government and replace it with a chat bot. Uh, you know, we point out that that's missing the point of democracy, which is to, you know, it's if a chat bot is making decisions, it might be more efficient in some sense, but it's not in any way reflecting the will of the people. So whatever people's concerns are with government being inefficient, automation is not going to be the answer. We can think about structural reforms and we certainly should, you know, maybe it will, uh, free up more human time to do the things that are intrinsically human and really matter, such as how do we govern ourselves and so forth.Um. And, um, maybe if I can have one last thought around what does this positive vision of the future look like? Uh, I, I would go back to the very thing we started from, which is AI and education. I do think there's orders of magnitude, more human potential to open up and AI is not a magic bullet here.You know, technology on, on the whole is only one small part of it, but I think as we more generally become wealthier and we have. You know, lots of different reforms. Uh, hopefully one of those reforms is going to be schools and education systems, uh, being much better funded, being able to operate much more effectively, and, you know, e every child one day, being able to perform, uh, as well as the highest achieving children today.And there's, there's just an enormous range. And so being able to improve human potential, to me is the most exciting thing.\nCINDY COHN: Thank you so much, Arvind.\nARVIND NARAYANAN: Thank you Jason and Cindy. This has been really, really fun.\nCINDY COHN: I really appreciate Arvind's hopeful and correct idea that actually what most of us do all day isn't really reducible to something a machine can replace. That, you know, real life just isn't like a game of chess or, you know, uh, the, the test you have to pass to be a lawyer or, or things like that. And that there's a huge gap between, you know, the actual job and the thing that the AI can replicate.\nJASON KELLEY: Yeah, and he's really thinking a lot about how the debates around AI in general are framed at this really high level, which seems incorrect, right? I mean, it's sort of like asking if food is good for you, are vehicles good for you, but he's much more nuanced, you know? AI is good in some cases, not good in others. And his big takeaway for me was that, you know, people need to be skeptical about how they use it. They need to be skeptical about the information it gives them, and they need to sort of learn what methods they can use to make AI work with you and for you and, and how to make it work for the application you're using it for.It's not something you can just apply, you know, wholesale across anything which, which makes perfect sense, right? I mean, no one I think thinks that, but I think industries are plugging AI into everything or calling it AI anyway. And he's very critical of that, which I think is, is good and, and most people are too, but it's happening anyway. So it's good to hear someone who's really thinking about it this way point out why that's incorrect.\nCINDY COHN: I think that's right. I like the idea of normalizing AI and thinking about it as a general purpose tool that might be good for some things and, and it's bad for others, honestly, the same way computers are, computers are good for some things and bad for others. So, you know, we talk about vehicles and food in the conversation, but actually think you could talk about it for, you know, computing more broadly. I also liked his response to the doomers, you know, pointing out that a lot of the harms that people are claiming will end the world, kind of have the wrong theory in mind about how a powerful technology will lead to bad societal impact. You know, he's not saying that it won't, but he's pointing out that, you know, in cybersecurity for example, you know, some of the AI methods which had been around for a while, he talked about fuzzing, but there are others, you know, that those techniques, while they were, you know, bad for old cybersecurity, actually have spurred greater protections in cybersecurity. And the lesson is when we learn all the time in, in security, especially like the cat and mouse game is just gonna continue.And anybody who thinks they've checkmated, either on the good side or the bad side, is probably wrong. And that I think is an important insight so that, you know, we don't get too excited about the possibilities of AI, but we also don't go all the way to the, the doomers side.\nJASON KELLEY: Yeah. You know, the normal technology thing was really helpful for me, right? It's something that, like you said with computers, it's a tool that, that has applications in some cases and not others, and people thinking, you know, I don't know if anyone thought when the internet was developed that this was going to end the world or save it. I guess people thought some people might have thought either/or, but you know, neither is true. Right? And you know, it's been many years now and we're still learning how to make the internet useful, and I think it'll be a long time before we've necessarily figure out how AI can be useful. But there's a lot of lessons we can take away from the growth of the internet about how to apply AI.You know, my dishwasher, I don't think needs to have wifi. I don't think it needs to have AI either. I'll probably end up buying one that has to have those things because that's the way the market goes. But it seems like these are things we can learn from the way we've sort of, uh, figured out where the applications are for these different general purpose technologies in the past is just something we can continue to figure out for AI.\nCINDY COHN: Yeah, and honestly it points to competition and user control, right? I mean, the reason I think a lot of people are feeling stuck with AI is because we don't have an open market for systems where you can decide, I don't want AI in my dishwasher, or I don't want surveillance in my television.And that's a market problem. And one of these things that he said a lot is that, you know, “just add AI” doesn't solve problems with broken institutions. And I think it circles back to the fact that we don't have a functional market, we don't have real consumer choice right now. And so that's why some of the fears about AI, it's not just consumers, I mean worker choice, other things as well, it's the problems in those systems in the way power works in those systems. If you just center this on the tech, you're kind of missing the bigger picture and also the things that we might need to do to address it. I wanted to circle back to what you said about the internet because of course it reminds me of Barlow's declaration on the independence of cyberspace, which you know, has been interpreted by a lot of people, as saying that the internet would magically make everything better and, you know, Barlow told me directly, like, you know, what he said was that by projecting a positive version of the online world and speaking as if it was inevitable, he was trying to bring it about, right? And I think this might be another area where we do need to bring about a better future, um, and we need to posit a better future, but we also have to be clear-eyed about the, the risks and, you know, whether we're headed in the right direction or not, despite what we, what we hope for.\nJASON KELLEY: And that's our episode for today. Thanks so much for joining us. If you have feedback or suggestions, we'd love to hear from you. Visit ff.org/podcast and click on listen or feedback. And while you're there, you can become a member and donate, maybe even pick up some of the merch and just see what's happening in digital rights this week and every week.Our theme music is by Nat Keefe of Beat Mower with Reed Mathis, and How to Fix the Internet is supported by the Alfred Peace Loan Foundation's program and public understanding of science and technology. We'll see you next time. I'm Jason Kelley.\nCINDY COHN: And I'm Cindy Cohn.\nMUSIC CREDITS: This podcast is licensed Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 international, and includes the following music licensed Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported by its creators: Drops of H2O, The Filtered Water Treatment by Jay Lang. Additional music, theme remixes and sound design by Gaetan Harris.",
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"caption": "Bitcoin (BTC) surged to a new all-time high of $124,400 on early Thursday, fueled by strong institutional demand, bullish technicals, and favorable U.S. policy shifts. The move pushed the overall crypto market cap to a record $4.18 trillion. Related Reading: Ripple CTO Comments On Rising XRP Ledger Competition From Fintechs The rally followed a decisive breakout above key technical levels, including the 7-day SMA at $118,892 and the 200-day EMA at $101,566. The MACD histogram widened to its most bullish reading since July 2025, while the RSI14 at 68.5 suggests there’s still room before hitting overbought conditions. Fibonacci projections now place BTC’s next major resistance near $126,870. However, after briefly surpassing $124K, Bitcoin retraced to around $121,800, prompting traders to ask whether this is simply consolidation before the next surge. Institutional Demand and Policy Support Driving Momentum Corporate and institutional accumulation remains a major driver. SpaceX continues to hold 8,285 BTC worth over $1 billion, while Thumzup Media recently announced a $50 million crypto treasury. These moves mirror Metaplanet’s purchase of 2,205 BTC earlier this week. Political tailwinds are also in play. U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration has rolled back banking restrictions on crypto firms and signed legislation opening retirement accounts to digital asset investments. The GENIUS Act, introducing the country’s first federal stablecoin framework, has further boosted market confidence. ETF inflows have accelerated, with U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs pulling in over $1 billion in net weekly inflows. Total ETF holdings now stand at $154 billion, signaling deep institutional interest. BTC's price records some losses after a major spike on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Bitcoin (BTC) Pundits Eye $150K If Momentum Holds Despite a notable July sell-off by long-term holders, the largest since 2021, market analysts see the pullback as a healthy pause. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus Crypto Platform, views $120K as a new “sturdy floor” and $126K as the breakout point that could open the path toward $150,000. “With strong macro tailwinds, robust ETF demand, and rising corporate adoption, every dip may be viewed as a buying opportunity rather than a reversal signal,” noted Himanshu Maradiya, Chairman of CIFDAQ. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Gap Threatens Recovery, Why A Crash To $4,080 Is Possible If bullish sentiment persists, Bitcoin could soon challenge higher psychological levels, making this latest pullback less a warning sign and more a pit stop before the next leg up. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview",
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"caption": "Bitcoin (BTC) created a fresh all-time high (ATH) yesterday, touching $124,474 on Binance before stabilizing around $118,000 at the time of writing. Meanwhile, BTC reserves on Binance have surged significantly, raising concerns about a potential price correction. Bitcoin Reserves Spike On Binance: Time To Worry? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Binance’s Bitcoin reserves have seen a sharp increase in recent months. The exchange holds the largest BTC reserves, supported by its high liquidity and the largest trading volume in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes ATH With Falling Average Executed Order Size And Rising Retail Activity From the end of July until today, Binance-based BTC reserves have reversed a previous downtrend, climbing to 579,000 BTC. Arab Chain shared the following chart illustrating how BTC reserves – after a period of scarcity – have reversed course and now signal a short-term warning. Notably, BTC reserves on Binance had previously declined by approximately 50,000 to 60,000 BTC, a 9% to 10% drop from the 2024 peak to the July 2025 low. Recently, reserves recovered slightly, rising by 25,000 to 30,000 BTC, an increase of 5% to 6%. Despite this recovery, BTC reserves remain well below the peaks of late 2024, indicating that structural scarcity has not yet fully dissipated. Arab Chain highlighted two potential reasons for the recent spike in reserves. First, profit-taking or short-term supply could increase when traders – including whales and market makers – deposit BTC on exchanges. They may do this to sell part of their holdings or to use the digital asset as collateral in derivatives markets. Second, a liquidity boost for BTC can occur when growing demand leads to the replenishment of liquidity pools. Market makers may also rebalance their portfolios to help smooth price spreads. The analyst concluded: In practice, if daily or weekly reserve increases persist alongside high positive funding rates and rising open interest, the likelihood of a short-term correction grows. However, if reserves stabilize or decline quickly, this would suggest renewed scarcity and a continuation of the uptrend. BTC Rally Losing Momentum? BTC pulled back from its recent ATH, trading slightly above $118,000 at the time of writing, signaling a short-term price correction. Some analysts warn that this might indicate the flagship cryptocurrency is losing momentum. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz In addition to rising exchange reserves, the Binance whale-to-exchange flow metric also points to increased selling pressure. The spike in Binance miner distributions reinforces this signal. That said, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Axel Adler notes that BTC’s current market structure makes a severe price correction unlikely. At press time, BTC trades at $118,464, down 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com",
"headline": "Binance Bitcoin Reserves Surge To 579,000 BTC – Signal Of Profit-Taking Or Bullish Liquidity?",
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"caption": "Tron (TRX) has delivered one of its strongest performances to date, capping off a year marked by steady price appreciation and a landmark achievement — going public in the United States. The Initial Public Offering (IPO) represents a historic milestone for the blockchain network, signaling both its maturity and growing acceptance in traditional financial markets. For investors, Tron’s public listing in the US adds a layer of legitimacy and opens new pathways for institutional participation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Power Index Hits Neutral Zone After Months Of Bullish Readings – Details Beyond its debut on the public markets, Tron’s on-chain performance and price trajectory have been equally impressive. According to data from CryptoQuant, the TRX rally has rewarded 1-year holders with gains exceeding +150%, reinforcing a sustained bullish market structure. Long-term holders have reaped the greatest rewards, benefiting from Tron’s consistent uptrend and resilience during broader market volatility. The network’s fundamentals remain strong, with robust transaction volumes, growing DeFi activity, and a leadership position in stablecoin settlements. These factors, combined with positive market sentiment and the credibility boost from its IPO, have created an environment in which TRX continues to attract both retail and institutional interest. Tron Rally Strengthens Across All Timeframes Tron is maintaining a powerful upward trend, recently breaking into new yearly highs and showing strength across multiple timeframes. Market data analyzed by on-chain expert Crypto Onchain highlights that momentum is not only intact but accelerating, a sign that buyer interest is growing rather than fading. Since late Q2 2025, TRX’s price action has been marked by a steady climb, with recent sessions showing sharper moves to the upside as renewed buying pressure enters the market. One of the most striking aspects of this rally is the performance of long-term holders. Investors who have held TRX for at least a year are currently sitting on gains exceeding +150% since the 2024 lows. This consistent profitability reinforces the value of patience and conviction, especially in a market known for volatility. It also provides a strong psychological foundation for further upside, as profitable long-term holders are less likely to sell prematurely. Mid-term metrics also tell a bullish story. Six-month and three-month returns have shifted from losses earlier in the year to solid gains, with their upward slopes reflecting a meaningful recovery in sentiment. This turnaround suggests that not only are long-term investors confident, but medium-term participants are also regaining faith in TRX’s trajectory. Short-term momentum remains slightly more volatile, but weekly returns are generally positive, with pullbacks quickly bought up — a hallmark of a healthy bull market. Unlike the sharp and unsustainable surge seen in January 2025, the current rally is broader, more stable, and supported across all holding periods. With strong foundations at every timeframe and +150% gains for 1-year holders serving as proof of long-term reward, TRX could be poised to challenge multi-year highs in the months ahead. Related Reading: Ethereum 30-Day Netflow Average Deepens Negative: Buyers Dominate Market TRX Weekly Analysis: Bullish Structure Points to Higher Levels TRX has been on a strong uptrend, with the weekly chart showing consistent bullish momentum since early 2024. The price is currently trading around $0.3677, marking an impressive +8.69% gain in the latest weekly candle. This level is just below the psychological $0.40 resistance, which could act as the next major test for bulls. The moving averages paint a clear picture of sustained strength. The 50-week SMA (blue) is far above the 100-week (green) and 200-week (red) SMAs, showing a well-established bullish structure. All three SMAs are rising, confirming the long-term trend’s health and signaling that any pullbacks might be met with strong buying interest. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized P&L Ratio Signals Sustainable Rally: Reversal Risk Remains Low If TRX can maintain momentum and hold above $0.35, a move toward $0.40 and potentially $0.45 could be on the table. However, if sellers step in at current levels, a retest of the breakout zone could occur before the next leg higher. Overall, the structure remains decisively bullish. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView",
"headline": "TRON Long-Term Holders See Massive Gains As TRX Pushes Toward Multi-Year Highs",
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"caption": "Cardano (ADA) has surged past the $1 mark for the first time in months, gaining over 20% in the past 24 hours. The breakout, from $0.8454 to $1.01, signals renewed bullish momentum after a prolonged downtrend. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Gap Threatens Recovery, Why A Crash To $4,080 Is Possible ADA’s rally comes as traders spot a Golden Cross, when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day, which historically has triggered explosive moves. In late 2024, this same pattern fueled a 236% rally, taking ADA from $0.39 to $0.93 in just 27 days. Applying similar gains to today’s prices points to a potential $3 target, a projection that has sparked excitement across the crypto community. Technical Levels Point to Higher Targets for Cardano (ADA) The immediate challenge for ADA is the $1.17–$1.18 resistance zone, which aligns with previous trendline caps. A decisive close above this range could open the path toward $1.24–$1.43. Analysts also highlight $1.50 and $2.00 as key psychological checkpoints before any $3 attempt. Momentum indicators are reinforcing the bullish outlook. The RSI has crossed above 50, while the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signals that previously led to rallies exceeding 170%. Historical patterns suggest that even a moderate follow-through could lift ADA toward $2.06 in the coming months. Support remains firm near $0.84, a level where buyers have consistently stepped in. As long as ADA holds above this zone, analysts expect further upside pressure. ADA's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Could $3 Arrive Sooner Than Expected? Market sentiment is heating up, with some traders calling this ADA’s strongest setup in over a year. Crypto analyst Deezy predicts a $3 move in less than a month if momentum mirrors past Golden Cross rallies. Others, like Crypto Tigers, see potential beyond $3 should breakout volume remain strong. However, the road upward may not be without turbulence. Overbought conditions could trigger short-term pullbacks, especially around major resistance levels. Still, if Cardano maintains its breakout structure and rides the broader crypto market’s bullish wave, the $3 target may not be as far off as it once seemed. Related Reading: Brace For Impact: Bitcoin Price Could Crash To $110,000 Amid Signs Of Exhaustion For now, ADA’s decisive reclaim of $1 marks a psychological victory for the bulls, setting the stage for what could be its most explosive run in recent memory. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview",
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"caption": "Bitcoin’s performance in recent days has been nothing short of notable with an impressive rally. The leading cryptocurrency has managed to surge past $124,000 this week to register a new all-time high of $124,128 in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. Interestingly, technical analysis from a crypto analyst known pseudonymously as Stockmoney Lizards predicts that Bitcoin is now approaching a critical phase that will send its price over $300,000 by 2026. Bitcoin Reaches Pivotal Phase In Long-Term Trend Stockmoney Lizards shared a long-term Bitcoin macro chart that combines a price channel with a momentum oscillator in a post on the social media platform X. The analysis, which was done on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, shows that Bitcoin has been trading upwards within a rising parallel channel since 2012, with major cycle tops touching the channel’s upper resistance line. Related Reading: None Of These 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Top Indicators Have Been Triggered Recent price action has seen the Bitcoin price climbing toward the midline of the channel. According to the analyst, this is the most critical phase, and the current movement suggests it is about to repeat impulsive waves to the upside like both the 2018 and 2021 bull runs. Furthermore, the analyst pointed to a bounce on the oscillator at the bottom of the chart, much like it did in 2017 and 2020 before the rallies in the subsequent year. This oscillator, combined with recent technical factors, has led the analyst to forecast a potential base Bitcoin price target of $180,000 to $200,000 by early 2026, while leaving open the possibility of an even stronger rally. Path To A $300,000 Bull Case Although Stockmoney Lizards noted that Bitcoin has matured and its market behavior is no longer a perfect mirror of past cycles, the market still has room for a “my-neighbor-just-asked-me-about-Bitcoin” type of frenzy phase. This stage, which is going to be characterized by a surge in mainstream retail interest, will be the one to generate the needed parabolic price surge for the bigger bull case. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Hit A Small Roadblock To ATH As CME Gap Threatens Crash If such a scenario unfolds, the analyst projected that Bitcoin’s bull case could extend beyond $300,000 before the current macro cycle peaks. Interestingly, the chart projection shows a price target as high as $350,000. Bitcoin is already up by about 107% in the past year. Its rally in the past weeks is based on a few factors ranging from expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts to regulatory green lights for cryptocurrencies in retirement plans. A surge to $300,000 and $350,000 by 2026 would translate to another 145% and 188% increase, respectively, from the current price level. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $121,685, up by 1.8% in the past 24 hours. It has retraced by 1.9% from its new all-time high of $124,128 about seven hours ago. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "According to Fundstrat research, Ether could climb much higher before the end of 2025, with price targets ranging from $10,000 to as high as $15,000. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Reports show Ether jumped about 60% over the past 30 days and hit a four-year high near $4,770 in early trading, while other coverage put the token at $4,694 and noted a 78% surge over an eight-week stretch. Those moves have pushed Ether close to its all-time peak, and fund managers are taking notice. Fundstrat Targets And Rationale According to Fundstrat’s chief information officer Tom Lee and head of digital asset research Sean Farrell, institutional forces and new rules are key drivers. They point to stablecoin work and tokenized projects being built mostly on Ethereum, and they cite regulatory efforts such as the GENIUS Act and the SEC’s so-called Project Crypto as factors that could speed Wall Street’s move onto blockchain rails. Based on data, Ethereum holds a commanding 55% share of the $25 billion real-world asset tokenization sector, a stat that Fundstrat uses to argue for broader institutional adoption. Institutional Demand And Big Buyers Reports have disclosed large-scale corporate accumulation that several analysts say is taking supply off the market. BitMine Immersion Technologies has reportedly added about 1.2 million ETH since early July, leaving the company with roughly $5.5 billion worth of Ether on its books. Company stock (BMNR) has been volatile, with some coverage pointing to a 1,300% jump over a short period. Fundstrat and other observers say those kinds of corporate treasuries, combined with fresh ETF flows, could create a structural bid for ETH if the buying is sustained. Rachael Lucas, a crypto analyst at BTC Markets, described these positions as strategic and long-term, saying they remove “substantial liquidity” from trading pools. Market Momentum And Price Claims According to Fundstrat, Ether is outperforming Bitcoin this year. One set of figures put ETH’s year-to-date gain at 28% against Bitcoin’s 18%, while other reports more recently showed ETH up 41% YTD and Bitcoin up 30% YTD, with BTC trading near $121,000 in that snapshot. Based on reports, Fundstrat’s analysts view ETH as a major macro trade for the next 10 to 15 years if institutional and regulatory trends continue to push demand higher. Analysts caution that lofty targets will need sustained, large inflows to become reality. Watch for the pace and consistency of ETF flows, corporate treasury disclosures, and any regulatory moves around stablecoins and custody rules. Related Reading: Solana Strategy: Nasdaq Firm Taps Arthur Hayes For Advisory Role There’s also a practical concern: big, concentrated buys can tighten markets quickly but may also reverse if sentiment shifts or liquidity needs change. According to analysis and public comments from Fundstrat, the bullish case for Ether is clear and backed by specific numbers: $10,000 to $15,000 targets, corporate treasuries holding millions of ETH, and rapid recent gains. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "After bitcoin surpassed $124,000, some analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency may be entering a rapid growth phase, with potential price targets between $131,000 and $177,000. Record-Breaking Rally and Market Capitulation On Aug. 13, bitcoin (BTC) broke past the $124,000 mark to set a new all-time high and pushed the crypto economy’s total market capitalization to […]",
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"caption": "Dogecoin’s bullish momentum is putting short positions under pressure as the price eyes a crucial $0.27 retest. A successful breakout above this level could spark a powerful multi-stage rally, opening the door to higher targets and renewed market excitement. DOGE/USDT Clears $0.2533 Resistance With Conviction GemXBT, in a recent update on X, highlighted that DOGE/USDT is showing a bullish trend after breaking above the key resistance level at $0.2533 with strong upward momentum. This breakout signals renewed buying pressure, as the price pushes beyond a level that had capped recent advances. The move suggests bulls are gaining control and could be preparing for further upside if momentum holds. Related Reading: Dogecoin Eyes Breakout Above Key Trendline-Will Momentum Hold Or Fade? According to the update, the 5-day moving average (5MA) has crossed above both the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. Such crossovers often reinforce the continuation of an uptrend, especially when supported by other confirming indicators. Volume has also been increasing alongside the price rise. Higher trading activity at elevated price levels shows that demand is growing, adding credibility to the upward move. This combination of technical strength and volume support positions Dogecoin for potentially sustained gains. However, GemXBT also noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought levels, while the MACD is in positive divergence. These conditions suggest there is still room for more upside, but they also warrant caution for possible short-term pullbacks. Cup & Handle Emerges: A Textbook Bullish Signal For Dogecoin Examining the daily chart, RISK highlighted that Dogecoin is forming a classic cup-and-handle pattern, one of the most reliable bullish formations in technical analysis. Following a deep, rounded recovery from the June lows, the price is once again testing the $0.27 resistance zone, a level that has repeatedly capped previous rallies. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Flashed A Rare Weekly Bullish Signal — This Analyst Is Buying The handle portion of the pattern is taking shape with controlled pullbacks and reduced trading volume. This behavior typically signals that sellers are gradually running out of steam while buyers quietly build positions. Such consolidation often precedes a breakout, as the market transitions from profit-taking to renewed buying pressure. If DOGE manages to break and close above the $0.27 resistance zone, the technical structure suggests that momentum could accelerate sharply. In this case, bullish targets would likely extend toward $0.31, then $0.39, and potentially $0.50 or higher as confidence grows among traders. For now, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the series of higher lows on the chart stays intact. With the breakout scenario still firmly in play, Dogecoin is positioned for a strong upward move should buyers push it past the $0.27 key resistance barrier. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "Dogecoin Shorts In Trouble? This Retest Could Ignite Multi-Level Rally",
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"caption": "Dogecoin’s bullish momentum is putting short positions under pressure as the price eyes a crucial $0.27 retest. A successful breakout above this level could spark a powerful multi-stage rally, opening the door to higher targets and renewed market excitement. DOGE/USDT Clears $0.2533 Resistance With Conviction GemXBT, in a recent update on X, highlighted that DOGE/USDT is showing a bullish trend after breaking above the key resistance level at $0.2533 with strong upward momentum. This breakout signals renewed buying pressure, as the price pushes beyond a level that had capped recent advances. The move suggests bulls are gaining control and could be preparing for further upside if momentum holds. Related Reading: Dogecoin Eyes Breakout Above Key Trendline-Will Momentum Hold Or Fade? According to the update, the 5-day moving average (5MA) has crossed above both the 10-day and 20-day moving averages. Such crossovers often reinforce the continuation of an uptrend, especially when supported by other confirming indicators. Volume has also been increasing alongside the price rise. Higher trading activity at elevated price levels shows that demand is growing, adding credibility to the upward move. This combination of technical strength and volume support positions Dogecoin for potentially sustained gains. However, GemXBT also noted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought levels, while the MACD is in positive divergence. These conditions suggest there is still room for more upside, but they also warrant caution for possible short-term pullbacks. Cup & Handle Emerges: A Textbook Bullish Signal For Dogecoin Examining the daily chart, RISK highlighted that Dogecoin is forming a classic cup-and-handle pattern, one of the most reliable bullish formations in technical analysis. Following a deep, rounded recovery from the June lows, the price is once again testing the $0.27 resistance zone, a level that has repeatedly capped previous rallies. Related Reading: Dogecoin Just Flashed A Rare Weekly Bullish Signal — This Analyst Is Buying The handle portion of the pattern is taking shape with controlled pullbacks and reduced trading volume. This behavior typically signals that sellers are gradually running out of steam while buyers quietly build positions. Such consolidation often precedes a breakout, as the market transitions from profit-taking to renewed buying pressure. If DOGE manages to break and close above the $0.27 resistance zone, the technical structure suggests that momentum could accelerate sharply. In this case, bullish targets would likely extend toward $0.31, then $0.39, and potentially $0.50 or higher as confidence grows among traders. For now, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the series of higher lows on the chart stays intact. With the breakout scenario still firmly in play, Dogecoin is positioned for a strong upward move should buyers push it past the $0.27 key resistance barrier. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "The XRP price has broken out of a 7-year Double Bottom pattern, signaling what analysts predict could be the start of a major long-term rally. According to reports, a breakout and successful retest of this long-standing chart pattern could set the stage for a massive surge toward $36, ultimately repeating the bull rally seen during the 2014-2017 cycle. XRP Price Eyes $36 After Double Bottom Breakout Crypto analyst Gert van Lagen has drawn attention to a rare and potentially explosive technical event currently unfolding on the two-week XRP price chart. According to his analysis posted on X social media, XRP has successfully broken out of a massive 7-year Double Bottom formation—a pattern that typically signals long-term reversal from bearish to bullish market conditions. Related Reading: Analyst Says What Happened With Bitcoin Is About To Happen With XRP Based on the analyst’s chart, XRP had breached the neckline of this Double Bottom pattern after years of accumulation, following up its momentum with a textbook retest that confirmed the breakout. This retest, occurring at a critical price point, has historically acted as the final validation before a sustained rally. Lagen has also compared the current cycle with that of the 2014-2017 phase, indicating that XRP’s price action could be repeating similar strong bullish patterns that emerged during that period. The chart suggests that XRP is poised to clear its former all-time high of $3.84, potentially removing one of the most significant technical barriers in its history. With the resistance level now flipped into support, Lagen’s price projection points to an initial target of approximately $36. This level aligns with the 2.00 Fibonacci Extension of the Double Bottom pattern. Notably, the expert’s analysis implies that XRP’s current momentum is not just a short-term spike, but likely the early stages of a multi-month, possibly multi-year climb. If the structure follows past patterns and continues to play out as Lagen predicts, XRP could be on track to deliver one of its strongest bull runs since the 2017 rally. XRP Mirrors Ethereum’s 2017 Breakout Pattern In a separate bullish analysis, a crypto analyst identified as ‘Shibo’ on X compared XRP’s present market behavior to Ethereum’s historic breakout in 2017. His side-by-side chart shows an almost identical technical progression involving an extended consolidation phase forming a base, followed by a decisive breakout at a clearly defined resistance level. Related Reading: XRP $5 Target Remains Intact Despite Price Retrace, Here’s Where It’s Headed Next In Ethereum’s case, this move triggered an extraordinary rally from sub-$20 levels to more than $1,400 in under twelve months, marking one of the most explosive advances in crypto history. Shibo argues that XRP is now positioned in the same “breakout zone” that the ETH price occupied before its parabolic surge. Based on this chart historical pattern, the analyst has forecasted a rather ambitious price target for XRP. He believes that the cryptocurrency could see a massive surge to $589, representing an eye-watering increase of 18,084%. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "XRP Price At $36: 7-Year Bottom Breakout Could Trigger Repeat Of 2014-2017",
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"caption": "Bitcoin surged to a fresh all-time high of $124,500 just hours ago, but the celebration was short-lived as the price quickly retraced to the $121,500 level. The sudden pullback has split market opinion: some analysts interpret the drop as a sign of waning momentum, while others see it as a healthy pause before another breakout attempt. Related Reading: Ethereum 30-Day Netflow Average Deepens Negative: Buyers Dominate Market Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant reveals that BTC volatility — measured by the 30-day Price High & Low metric — has compressed to its lowest point in two years. This metric tracks the range between Bitcoin’s rolling 30-day high and low, and its current tight squeeze suggests a rare balance between supply and demand. Liquidity has been clustering above local highs near $120K and below recent lows around $113K, creating a coiled-spring effect in the price structure. Historically, such volatility compression phases often precede significant range expansions. The question now is whether Bitcoin will break upward, continuing its long-term bull trend, or slip into a deeper correction if selling pressure gains traction. With the market sitting near record highs and volatility at multi-year lows, traders are bracing for what could be the next decisive move in Bitcoin’s 2025 rally. Bitcoin Volatility Compression Signals Imminent Move According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s 30-day Price High & Low metric is showing one of its tightest readings in years. The range between BTC’s rolling 30-day high and low has narrowed significantly, while the bands themselves — representing the rolling maximum and minimum prices — have compressed tightly around the current price. This pattern is a textbook sign of volatility contraction. Adler explains that such compression typically reflects a balance between supply and demand and a period of low realized volatility. In this phase, liquidity tends to concentrate just above local highs, currently around $120,000, and just below local lows, near $113,000. This creates a situation where price movement is contained within a narrow band, with traders positioning themselves on both sides in anticipation of the next breakout. The coming days will be critical in determining Bitcoin’s short-term structure. If BTC can break above the $120K–$124K zone, it could trigger another leg higher in its uptrend. However, a breakdown below $113K would increase the risk of a deeper correction, potentially shifting market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Power Index Hits Neutral Zone After Months Of Bullish Readings – Details Price Analysis: Testing Critical Resistance Zone On the 8-hour chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $121,596, down slightly by 0.14% after hitting $122,609 earlier in the session. The move comes just a day after BTC briefly broke above the key $123,217 resistance level, approaching the $124,000 psychological barrier before pulling back. This zone remains the most significant obstacle for bulls, as it has capped upward moves multiple times. Price action shows BTC maintaining a bullish structure above its major moving averages — the 50 SMA ($116,948), 100 SMA ($117,653), and 200 SMA ($112,495). This alignment signals continued strength in the medium term, with the 50 SMA acting as immediate dynamic support. Related Reading: Alameda Research Unlocks $35M In Solana After 4 Years – Imminent Distribution? The repeated tests of the $123K area suggest that market liquidity is heavily concentrated here. A decisive breakout and sustained close above $124K would likely trigger momentum buying and open the door to new all-time highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim $123K could lead to renewed selling pressure, with initial support at $120K and deeper support near the $117K–$118K range. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Bitcoin fell sharply Thursday after the US Treasury made clear it will not add to a planned Bitcoin reserve through new purchases. Related Reading: Solana Strategy: Nasdaq Firm Taps Arthur Hayes For Advisory Role Prices had earlier rallied to an intraday high near $124,120, but traders saw gains reverse and the token backpedaled to around $118,550 later in the session. Markets were jittery, and parts of the crypto futures market saw forced liquidations during the sell-off. Treasury Rules Out New Buys According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business the government will not be buying additional Bitcoin for the reserve and that future additions will come from confiscated assets. “We’re not going to be buying that,” he said, and he added the Treasury would “stop selling” holdings it already controls. Bessent estimated the reserve’s current value at somewhere between $15 billion and $20 billion. The comments stand in relief to an earlier move by US President Donald Trump, who issued an executive order asking for budget-neutral plans to grow strategic Bitcoin holdings. JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Treasury Secretary Bessent says the US Government is “not going to be buying” Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/vL79P531CP — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) August 14, 2025 Market Reaction And Price Swings Based on reports, the sell-off erased a chunk of Thursday’s gains. One feed showed Bitcoin drop from about $121,050 to $117,201 within an hour, while other data points put the low near $118,460. Trading platforms recorded a wave of liquidations estimated at roughly $450 million around the same time. Traders said the sudden shift was driven by the clarity in policy — investors had been pricing a possible government buyback program into earlier optimism, and that expectation faded after Bessent’s remarks. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with Fox, “We are not going to be buying,” referring to crypto reserves, and will instead use seized assets. He has also stated that the value of Bitcoin reserves is about $15 billion to $20 billion, and that the… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) August 14, 2025 Macroeconomic Signals And Tariff Revenue Reports have also disclosed that Bessent linked some balance-sheet plans to rising tariff collections, saying July brought nearly $30 billion in tariff revenues. Bessent suggested annual tariff receipts could top a previous projection of $300 billion, a figure he said could help fund other asset strategies. The timing of his comments also came as US data showed the Producer Price Index rising 3.3% year-on-year and 0.9% month-on-month for July, numbers that add to the broader economic backdrop investors are watching. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Confiscated Assets Versus Direct Purchases The Treasury secretary’s note that confiscated assets will be used to grow the reserve shifts the funding model away from direct Treasury buys. For now, that means any further increase in the reserve would be gradual and dependent on law enforcement recoveries rather than market purchases. Market participants said that stance removes a clear, predictable buyer from the market, which can make price swings larger over short windows — exactly what traders saw on Thursday. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView",
"headline": "JUST IN – Bitcoin Dips Below $119K — Treasury Secretary’s ‘No Buys’ Reverberate Through Markets",
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"caption": "Bitcoin fell sharply Thursday after the US Treasury made clear it will not add to a planned Bitcoin reserve through new purchases. Related Reading: Solana Strategy: Nasdaq Firm Taps Arthur Hayes For Advisory Role Prices had earlier rallied to an intraday high near $124,120, but traders saw gains reverse and the token backpedaled to around $118,550 later in the session. Markets were jittery, and parts of the crypto futures market saw forced liquidations during the sell-off. Treasury Rules Out New Buys According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox Business the government will not be buying additional Bitcoin for the reserve and that future additions will come from confiscated assets. “We’re not going to be buying that,” he said, and he added the Treasury would “stop selling” holdings it already controls. Bessent estimated the reserve’s current value at somewhere between $15 billion and $20 billion. The comments stand in relief to an earlier move by US President Donald Trump, who issued an executive order asking for budget-neutral plans to grow strategic Bitcoin holdings. JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Treasury Secretary Bessent says the US Government is “not going to be buying” Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/vL79P531CP — Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) August 14, 2025 Market Reaction And Price Swings Based on reports, the sell-off erased a chunk of Thursday’s gains. One feed showed Bitcoin drop from about $121,050 to $117,201 within an hour, while other data points put the low near $118,460. Trading platforms recorded a wave of liquidations estimated at roughly $450 million around the same time. Traders said the sudden shift was driven by the clarity in policy — investors had been pricing a possible government buyback program into earlier optimism, and that expectation faded after Bessent’s remarks. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview with Fox, “We are not going to be buying,” referring to crypto reserves, and will instead use seized assets. He has also stated that the value of Bitcoin reserves is about $15 billion to $20 billion, and that the… — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) August 14, 2025 Macroeconomic Signals And Tariff Revenue Reports have also disclosed that Bessent linked some balance-sheet plans to rising tariff collections, saying July brought nearly $30 billion in tariff revenues. Bessent suggested annual tariff receipts could top a previous projection of $300 billion, a figure he said could help fund other asset strategies. The timing of his comments also came as US data showed the Producer Price Index rising 3.3% year-on-year and 0.9% month-on-month for July, numbers that add to the broader economic backdrop investors are watching. Related Reading: Dogecoin Draws New Attention As Open Interest Tops $3 Billion Confiscated Assets Versus Direct Purchases The Treasury secretary’s note that confiscated assets will be used to grow the reserve shifts the funding model away from direct Treasury buys. For now, that means any further increase in the reserve would be gradual and dependent on law enforcement recoveries rather than market purchases. Market participants said that stance removes a clear, predictable buyer from the market, which can make price swings larger over short windows — exactly what traders saw on Thursday. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView",
"headline": "JUST IN – Bitcoin Dips Below $119K — Treasury Secretary’s ‘No Buys’ Reverberate Through Markets",
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"caption": "On Thursday, during a Fox News interview, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent addressed the nation’s strategic bitcoin reserve (SBR), clarifying that the government has no plans to purchase bitcoin for it. PPI Surprise and Bessent’s Bitcoin Stance Causes Uncertainty Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market slipped 2.91%, nearly dipping below the $4 trillion […]",
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"caption": "Meme coins have spent most of their existence in the crypto market as retail-driven and hype-fueled, swinging from moonshot highs to brutal pullbacks in a matter of hours. But this year is beginning to look different. Institutional players are circling, looking for ways to package meme exposure in regulated, exchange-traded formats. That shift is significant. More liquidity can lead to larger price swings in either direction. However, it also strengthens the position of projects with strong narratives, engaged communities, or genuine utility to break out. And while mainstream finance still treats most meme coins as a joke, some of the biggest asset managers are now lining them up for ETFs. One of the clearest signs of that shift just came with the announcement of the Canary Capital Trump Coin ETF. If meme coin ETFs begin launching, the top meme coins – including TOKEN6900 ($T6900) – might be in a good position to benefit from the surge. Canary Capital Bets on $TRUMP On August 13, digital assets and fund manager Canary Capital registered the Canary Trump Coin ETF in Delaware, indicating plans to launch a spot ETF linked to the Solana-based meme coin. If filed and approved, it would join a small queue of US spot meme coin ETF applications that already include $DOGE, $BONK, and $PENGU. Most ETFs still focus on $BTC and $ETH, so targeting a smaller, high-volatility meme coin is an uncommon move. In March, Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg framed altcoin ETFs as a bet on undervalued digital assets that institutions do not yet price in, in an interview with CryptoSlate. Approval would not guarantee calmer markets, but it could widen liquidity, improve price discovery, and bring authorized participants into a niche that has lived on pure spot volumes. Meme coin ETFs could see the market explode due to the added liquidity and attention. With that in mind, here are three tokens worth keeping an eye on: 1. TOKEN6900 ($T6900) – Pure Meme Chaos TOKEN6900 ($T6900) takes the idea of a meme coin and strips it back to its most absurd core. There’s no roadmap, no utility, and no lofty promises. Just pure, weaponized internet humor. Priced at $0.00695, the presale recently reached the $2M mark, with early buyers earning 34% APY through staking. The project riffs on the success of SPX6900, but adds one extra token to the supply – making it “objectively superior” in meme logic. In a market where even ETFs are circling meme coins, $T6900 leans into the chaos instead of trying to justify itself with fake fundamentals. If meme coin ETFs spark a broader speculative frenzy, TOKEN6900’s unapologetic brand of nonsense might be exactly the kind of story that catches on. Check out the TOKEN6900 ($T6900) presale today. 2. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – Meme Coin Meets Telegram Trading Bot Snorter Token ($SNORT) blends meme culture with genuine trading functionality. Built as a multi-chain token for Solana and Ethereum, $SNORT powers a Telegram-native bot that’s designed for speed and precision in the meme coin markets. The presale has already raised over $3.1 million, with tokens priced at $0.1013 and offering an impressive 141% APY for stakers. The bot itself provides sub-second swaps, copy trading tools, rug and honeypot detection, and ultra-low fees of 0.85%. This appeals to traders seeking fast execution without a high cost. By blending utility with meme branding, Snorter connects two rapidly expanding areas in crypto. If meme coin ETFs help legitimize the meme sector, utility-backed projects like $SNORT could benefit from the credibility boost while retaining their retail appeal. Visit the Snorter Token ($SNORT) presale website. 3. Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) – Solana’s Meme King $PENGU is the official token of Pudgy Penguins, one of the most recognisable NFT brands in the world. With a market cap of roughly $2.3B, it has built an empire that stretches well beyond Web3 – securing partnerships with Lufthansa, NASCAR, Walmart, Formula 1, Suplay Inc., and even publishing giant Random House. If the $TRUMP ETF moves ahead, $PENGU’s likely will too. Institutions won’t ignore a project thats reach spans physical toys in Walmart, branding on F1 cars, and integration into airline loyalty programs – all of which funnel new audiences toward the token. That mix of cultural status and substantial partnerships gives $PENGU a foundation that few meme coins can claim. Combine that with ETF speculation, and you have a meme asset that could become an institutional talking point. Final Thoughts – Meme ETFs Could Reshape the Playing Field Canary Capital’s ETF filings for $TRUMP indicate that meme coins are moving into a more structured, regulated phase. For retail traders, that could open new opportunities – but also bring increased competition and scrutiny. Within this shifting landscape, $T6900 leans into pure chaos, $SNORT adds real utility into the mix, and $PENGU thrives on community and brand power. This article is not financial advice. Meme coins remain high-risk, so please do your own research before buying into any projects.",
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"caption": "Meme coins have spent most of their existence in the crypto market as retail-driven and hype-fueled, swinging from moonshot highs to brutal pullbacks in a matter of hours. But this year is beginning to look different. Institutional players are circling, looking for ways to package meme exposure in regulated, exchange-traded formats. That shift is significant. More liquidity can lead to larger price swings in either direction. However, it also strengthens the position of projects with strong narratives, engaged communities, or genuine utility to break out. And while mainstream finance still treats most meme coins as a joke, some of the biggest asset managers are now lining them up for ETFs. One of the clearest signs of that shift just came with the announcement of the Canary Capital Trump Coin ETF. If meme coin ETFs begin launching, the top meme coins – including TOKEN6900 ($T6900) – might be in a good position to benefit from the surge. Canary Capital Bets on $TRUMP On August 13, digital assets and fund manager Canary Capital registered the Canary Trump Coin ETF in Delaware, indicating plans to launch a spot ETF linked to the Solana-based meme coin. If filed and approved, it would join a small queue of US spot meme coin ETF applications that already include $DOGE, $BONK, and $PENGU. Most ETFs still focus on $BTC and $ETH, so targeting a smaller, high-volatility meme coin is an uncommon move. In March, Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg framed altcoin ETFs as a bet on undervalued digital assets that institutions do not yet price in, in an interview with CryptoSlate. Approval would not guarantee calmer markets, but it could widen liquidity, improve price discovery, and bring authorized participants into a niche that has lived on pure spot volumes. Meme coin ETFs could see the market explode due to the added liquidity and attention. With that in mind, here are three tokens worth keeping an eye on: 1. TOKEN6900 ($T6900) – Pure Meme Chaos TOKEN6900 ($T6900) takes the idea of a meme coin and strips it back to its most absurd core. There’s no roadmap, no utility, and no lofty promises. Just pure, weaponized internet humor. Priced at $0.00695, the presale recently reached the $2M mark, with early buyers earning 34% APY through staking. The project riffs on the success of SPX6900, but adds one extra token to the supply – making it “objectively superior” in meme logic. In a market where even ETFs are circling meme coins, $T6900 leans into the chaos instead of trying to justify itself with fake fundamentals. If meme coin ETFs spark a broader speculative frenzy, TOKEN6900’s unapologetic brand of nonsense might be exactly the kind of story that catches on. Check out the TOKEN6900 ($T6900) presale today. 2. Snorter Token ($SNORT) – Meme Coin Meets Telegram Trading Bot Snorter Token ($SNORT) blends meme culture with genuine trading functionality. Built as a multi-chain token for Solana and Ethereum, $SNORT powers a Telegram-native bot that’s designed for speed and precision in the meme coin markets. The presale has already raised over $3.1 million, with tokens priced at $0.1013 and offering an impressive 141% APY for stakers. The bot itself provides sub-second swaps, copy trading tools, rug and honeypot detection, and ultra-low fees of 0.85%. This appeals to traders seeking fast execution without a high cost. By blending utility with meme branding, Snorter connects two rapidly expanding areas in crypto. If meme coin ETFs help legitimize the meme sector, utility-backed projects like $SNORT could benefit from the credibility boost while retaining their retail appeal. Visit the Snorter Token ($SNORT) presale website. 3. Pudgy Penguins ($PENGU) – Solana’s Meme King $PENGU is the official token of Pudgy Penguins, one of the most recognisable NFT brands in the world. With a market cap of roughly $2.3B, it has built an empire that stretches well beyond Web3 – securing partnerships with Lufthansa, NASCAR, Walmart, Formula 1, Suplay Inc., and even publishing giant Random House. If the $TRUMP ETF moves ahead, $PENGU’s likely will too. Institutions won’t ignore a project thats reach spans physical toys in Walmart, branding on F1 cars, and integration into airline loyalty programs – all of which funnel new audiences toward the token. That mix of cultural status and substantial partnerships gives $PENGU a foundation that few meme coins can claim. Combine that with ETF speculation, and you have a meme asset that could become an institutional talking point. Final Thoughts – Meme ETFs Could Reshape the Playing Field Canary Capital’s ETF filings for $TRUMP indicate that meme coins are moving into a more structured, regulated phase. For retail traders, that could open new opportunities – but also bring increased competition and scrutiny. Within this shifting landscape, $T6900 leans into pure chaos, $SNORT adds real utility into the mix, and $PENGU thrives on community and brand power. This article is not financial advice. Meme coins remain high-risk, so please do your own research before buying into any projects.",
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"caption": "Bitcoin hit a new all-time high (ATH) on August 13, providing a bullish outlook for the leading cryptocurrency. Ethereum has also recorded remarkable gains in the last seven days, bringing it close to its ATH. This development has occurred thanks to macro factors, which are boosting risk-on sentiment. Bitcoin Hits New ATH While Ethereum Records Massive Gains CoinMarketCap data shows that Bitcoin has reached a new ATH of $124,400, surpassing its previous ATH of around $123,091, which it hit just a month ago. Meanwhile, Ethereum is up almost 30% in the last seven days and is now just about 2% away from its ATH of $4,891. With the crypto market boasting this bullish momentum, ETH is expected to reach a new ATH sooner rather than later. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts ‘Near Term’ Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices, There’s Still Room To Run These rallies for Bitcoin and Ethereum have occurred on the back of positive macro developments such as the U.S. CPI data, which has boosted hopes of a September Fed rate cut. The July CPI inflation data came in at 2.7%, which showed that inflation in the country was steady. This reading was also lower than the expected 2.8%. Meanwhile, earlier on, the July job data had suggested that the U.S. labor market was weakening after nonfarm payrolls rose to 73,000, lower than the expected 147,000. Meanwhile, May and June figures were revised to 19,000 and 14,000 from 144,000 and 147,000, respectively. These developments have proven bullish for Bitcoin and Ethereum as the odds of a 25-basis-point (bps) September Fed rate cut have reached as high as 99%, according to CME FedWatch. These odds are now at 95% while there is a 4.2% chance of a 50 bps, which would be more bullish for these crypto assets if it happens. Rate cuts inject more liquidity into the market and boost investors’ appetite for risk-on assets like BTC and ETH. Higher Prices Still Likely For BTC Crypto analyst Ezy said that the Bitcoin price is in the ‘Sign of Strength’ phase, signaling that this is the beginning of a major bullish move after a period of accumulation by whales. The analyst added that the first target in this phase is typically the 1.618 Fibonacci, which is around $130,000. Related Reading: None Of These 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Top Indicators Have Been Triggered Meanwhile, the Ezy stated that the second target is at the 2.0 Fibonacci level, near $145,000, and the final target is around $166,000. His accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin can reach these targets between September and October, around when the monetary easing cycle is expected to begin. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $122,600, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin hit a new all-time high (ATH) on August 13, providing a bullish outlook for the leading cryptocurrency. Ethereum has also recorded remarkable gains in the last seven days, bringing it close to its ATH. This development has occurred thanks to macro factors, which are boosting risk-on sentiment. Bitcoin Hits New ATH While Ethereum Records Massive Gains CoinMarketCap data shows that Bitcoin has reached a new ATH of $124,400, surpassing its previous ATH of around $123,091, which it hit just a month ago. Meanwhile, Ethereum is up almost 30% in the last seven days and is now just about 2% away from its ATH of $4,891. With the crypto market boasting this bullish momentum, ETH is expected to reach a new ATH sooner rather than later. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts ‘Near Term’ Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices, There’s Still Room To Run These rallies for Bitcoin and Ethereum have occurred on the back of positive macro developments such as the U.S. CPI data, which has boosted hopes of a September Fed rate cut. The July CPI inflation data came in at 2.7%, which showed that inflation in the country was steady. This reading was also lower than the expected 2.8%. Meanwhile, earlier on, the July job data had suggested that the U.S. labor market was weakening after nonfarm payrolls rose to 73,000, lower than the expected 147,000. Meanwhile, May and June figures were revised to 19,000 and 14,000 from 144,000 and 147,000, respectively. These developments have proven bullish for Bitcoin and Ethereum as the odds of a 25-basis-point (bps) September Fed rate cut have reached as high as 99%, according to CME FedWatch. These odds are now at 95% while there is a 4.2% chance of a 50 bps, which would be more bullish for these crypto assets if it happens. Rate cuts inject more liquidity into the market and boost investors’ appetite for risk-on assets like BTC and ETH. Higher Prices Still Likely For BTC Crypto analyst Ezy said that the Bitcoin price is in the ‘Sign of Strength’ phase, signaling that this is the beginning of a major bullish move after a period of accumulation by whales. The analyst added that the first target in this phase is typically the 1.618 Fibonacci, which is around $130,000. Related Reading: None Of These 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Top Indicators Have Been Triggered Meanwhile, the Ezy stated that the second target is at the 2.0 Fibonacci level, near $145,000, and the final target is around $166,000. His accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin can reach these targets between September and October, around when the monetary easing cycle is expected to begin. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $122,600, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "For much of late 2024 and early 2025, many in the crypto world believed XRP could overtake Ethereum in market capitalization. The belief grew after XRP’s powerful rally late last year, which saw it outperform most major coins while Ethereum struggled to hold key price levels. At the time, market analysts were confident the gap between the two would soon close. Now, one of the most vocal supporters of the flippening, a popular analyst known as Charting Guy, has reversed his position and says it’s unlikely to happen anytime soon. Analyst Backtracks On XRP Flippening Ethereum Prediction Charting Guy pointed to the period between November 2024 and January 2025, when XRP surged nearly 600%, while ETH barely moved and even dropped to lows of $1,385 in April. During that time, XRP’s price strength and rapid market cap growth, increasing about seven times in just weeks, led many to believe it could become the top altcoin. Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works However, in a post this week, Charting Guy admitted, “that is no longer the case.” He explained that he re-entered Ethereum in April, near its lows, and since then, ETH has shown “immense strength.” As of today, Ethereum is trading just 10% below its all-time high of $4,891, reaching $4,784 earlier in the day. Its current price of $4,736 marks a 239% increase from its April low. The surge pushed Ethereum’s market cap to $572 billion, compared to XRP’s $193 billion. The gap between them, now more than $368 billion, has grown significantly since July 13, when it was under $200 billion. Charting Guy says Ethereum’s strong performance has made a flippening far less realistic, at least in the near term. Ethereum’s Strength Leaves XRP Playing Catch-Up In the past four weeks alone, ETH has jumped 52%, while XRP’s growth has largely stalled. Even if XRP were to rise 2.5 times from its current price of $3.22 to roughly $8, its market value would be around $477 billion, still far short of Ethereum’s current level. Related Reading: Raoul Pal Says He’s Been Long XRP For 4 Years After Calling It A “Moron” Trade Charting Guy also pointed out that for XRP to match Ethereum’s current market cap, it would need to reach $9.30, and that’s assuming ETH stops moving entirely while XRP rallies 3x. In his view, that scenario is “rather unlikely.” He warned against listening to “moon boys” who push unrealistic XRP price targets while ignoring Ethereum’s continued strength. Instead, he advises investors to hold both assets, arguing that being too focused on one coin leaves traders exposed if the market moves in a different direction. He stressed that Ethereum’s strong rally was overdue, as it had been playing catch-up to Bitcoin for most of the season. What once seemed like a real possibility now appears distant as Ethereum gains momentum. While XRP still has room to grow, it’s clear that Ethereum is not standing still, making the race between them more one-sided for now. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Ripple chief technology officer (CTO) David “JoelKatz” Schwartz used a late-Wednesday post on X to frame a surge of payments and stablecoin companies launching their own base-layer networks as validation of blockchain’s role in finance—and to restate how the XRP Ledger’s design differs from the new entrants. “We’ve been seeing more and more players in the payments and stablecoins space launch their own blockchains. To me, that’s a clear sign the market sees blockchain as core financial infrastructure — something we’ve believed in and have been building toward on the XRP Ledger for over 13 years,” he wrote, adding, “Launching a blockchain is hard. Building an ecosystem with developers, liquidity, trust, and real-world usage is even harder.” Competition For Ripple And The XRP Ledger? Schwartz situated XRPL’s posture in the long-running debate over network governance. “Some blockchains are built with permissioned validator sets controlled by one entity or a small group. This can provide control and compliance for specific, closed-network scenarios, but it limits reach, resilience, and the ability for anyone to contribute to securing and growing the network,” he wrote. Related Reading: XRP Ruling Sends Shockwaves Through The Financial System “As many of you know, the XRPL is public and permissionless at its core, with optional permissioned features for regulated use cases.” He argued that the ledger’s open base “makes it adaptable, interoperable, and well-positioned to serve as critical infrastructure for the world’s financial system — connecting assets, markets, and participants seamlessly across borders.” The remarks arrive as two US fintech heavyweights move into L1 territory. Circle this week unveiled Arc, an EVM-compatible Layer-1 it says is “purpose-built for stablecoin finance,” with dollar-denominated fees (USDC as native gas), opt-in privacy, a built-in RFQ-style FX engine, and “deterministic sub-second settlement finality” via the Malachite consensus engine. Circle says Arc will enter private testnet in the coming weeks, target public testnet in the fall, and a mainnet beta in 2026. Separately, Stripe is developing Tempo, a high-performance, payments-focused L1 being built in partnership with crypto VC firm Paradigm. Tempo is designed to run code compatible with Ethereum, is currently in stealth with a small team, and it remains unclear whether it will have a native token. Schwartz also highlighted specific XRPL design choices he sees as aligned with financial-grade settlement. “It’s encouraging to see some newer chains adopt design choices that have long been part of the XRPL’s architecture, like deterministic finality … It shows there’s growing alignment in the industry on the importance of predictable, reliable settlement for financial applications without expensive validation,” he wrote. He reiterated that XRPL fees are meant to stay “low and predictable, just fractions of a cent, without a separate gas token,” noting that “every transaction on the XRPL uses/burns XRP.” XRPL’s technical documentation specifies that each transaction destroys a small amount of XRP as an anti-spam fee, and describes consensus rules aimed at deterministic ordering and finality. Related Reading: XRP Double-Bottom Breakout Sets Sights On $34, Predicts Analyst Where Schwartz drew a line was on governance flexibility. He acknowledged that permissioned validator sets can make sense for “specific, closed-network scenarios,” but underscored XRPL’s approach: a public, permissionless core with opt-in controls for compliance needs. The ledger’s native features include Authorized Trust Lines, Deposit Authorization/Preauthorization, and issuer-level freeze tooling for issued assets—not for XRP itself—allowing regulated token issuers to gate or police flows without converting the entire network into a walled garden. XRPL’s own FAQ emphasizes that it is a decentralized, public blockchain where changes require supermajority validator approval. The strategic contrast with the new fintech chains is already visible. Arc explicitly centers USDC—making fees dollar-denominated and embedding Circle’s payments stack—whereas XRPL retains XRP for fees and settlement while supporting issued assets through trust-line mechanics. If Tempo proceeds as reported, Stripe would be pursuing an Ethereum-compatible L1 optimized for predictable payments performance, potentially mirroring Arc’s enterprise-centric pitch but with a broader merchant-services integration surface. Schwartz closed on a deliberately expansive note about the competitive set: “Looking forward to the next phase of XRPL innovations, bringing more programmability, compliance-grade capabilities, and deeper liquidity for institutional use,” he wrote—before welcoming rivals: “And to those just getting started… Welcome to the party! The crypto tent is only getting bigger.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Ripple chief technology officer (CTO) David “JoelKatz” Schwartz used a late-Wednesday post on X to frame a surge of payments and stablecoin companies launching their own base-layer networks as validation of blockchain’s role in finance—and to restate how the XRP Ledger’s design differs from the new entrants. “We’ve been seeing more and more players in the payments and stablecoins space launch their own blockchains. To me, that’s a clear sign the market sees blockchain as core financial infrastructure — something we’ve believed in and have been building toward on the XRP Ledger for over 13 years,” he wrote, adding, “Launching a blockchain is hard. Building an ecosystem with developers, liquidity, trust, and real-world usage is even harder.” Competition For Ripple And The XRP Ledger? Schwartz situated XRPL’s posture in the long-running debate over network governance. “Some blockchains are built with permissioned validator sets controlled by one entity or a small group. This can provide control and compliance for specific, closed-network scenarios, but it limits reach, resilience, and the ability for anyone to contribute to securing and growing the network,” he wrote. Related Reading: XRP Ruling Sends Shockwaves Through The Financial System “As many of you know, the XRPL is public and permissionless at its core, with optional permissioned features for regulated use cases.” He argued that the ledger’s open base “makes it adaptable, interoperable, and well-positioned to serve as critical infrastructure for the world’s financial system — connecting assets, markets, and participants seamlessly across borders.” The remarks arrive as two US fintech heavyweights move into L1 territory. Circle this week unveiled Arc, an EVM-compatible Layer-1 it says is “purpose-built for stablecoin finance,” with dollar-denominated fees (USDC as native gas), opt-in privacy, a built-in RFQ-style FX engine, and “deterministic sub-second settlement finality” via the Malachite consensus engine. Circle says Arc will enter private testnet in the coming weeks, target public testnet in the fall, and a mainnet beta in 2026. Separately, Stripe is developing Tempo, a high-performance, payments-focused L1 being built in partnership with crypto VC firm Paradigm. Tempo is designed to run code compatible with Ethereum, is currently in stealth with a small team, and it remains unclear whether it will have a native token. Schwartz also highlighted specific XRPL design choices he sees as aligned with financial-grade settlement. “It’s encouraging to see some newer chains adopt design choices that have long been part of the XRPL’s architecture, like deterministic finality … It shows there’s growing alignment in the industry on the importance of predictable, reliable settlement for financial applications without expensive validation,” he wrote. He reiterated that XRPL fees are meant to stay “low and predictable, just fractions of a cent, without a separate gas token,” noting that “every transaction on the XRPL uses/burns XRP.” XRPL’s technical documentation specifies that each transaction destroys a small amount of XRP as an anti-spam fee, and describes consensus rules aimed at deterministic ordering and finality. Related Reading: XRP Double-Bottom Breakout Sets Sights On $34, Predicts Analyst Where Schwartz drew a line was on governance flexibility. He acknowledged that permissioned validator sets can make sense for “specific, closed-network scenarios,” but underscored XRPL’s approach: a public, permissionless core with opt-in controls for compliance needs. The ledger’s native features include Authorized Trust Lines, Deposit Authorization/Preauthorization, and issuer-level freeze tooling for issued assets—not for XRP itself—allowing regulated token issuers to gate or police flows without converting the entire network into a walled garden. XRPL’s own FAQ emphasizes that it is a decentralized, public blockchain where changes require supermajority validator approval. The strategic contrast with the new fintech chains is already visible. Arc explicitly centers USDC—making fees dollar-denominated and embedding Circle’s payments stack—whereas XRPL retains XRP for fees and settlement while supporting issued assets through trust-line mechanics. If Tempo proceeds as reported, Stripe would be pursuing an Ethereum-compatible L1 optimized for predictable payments performance, potentially mirroring Arc’s enterprise-centric pitch but with a broader merchant-services integration surface. Schwartz closed on a deliberately expansive note about the competitive set: “Looking forward to the next phase of XRPL innovations, bringing more programmability, compliance-grade capabilities, and deeper liquidity for institutional use,” he wrote—before welcoming rivals: “And to those just getting started… Welcome to the party! The crypto tent is only getting bigger.” At press time, XRP traded at $3.23. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. The US could really use an affordable electric truck On Monday, Ford announced plans for an affordable electric truck with a 2027 delivery date and an expected price tag of about $30,000, thanks…",
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"caption": "Cardano price started a fresh increase from the $0.80 zone. ADA is now rising and might attempt a clear move above the $1.00 zone. ADA price started a fresh increase from the $0.80 support zone. The price is trading above $0.950 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.9350 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $1.00 resistance zone. Cardano Price Eyes Steady Increase After a sharp decline, Cardano found support near the $0.7650 zone and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to surpass the $0.80 and $0.850 resistance levels. There was a clear move above the $0.850 and $0.950 resistance levels. Finally, the price traded close to the $1.00 level. A high was formed at $0.9880 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.7653 swing low to the $0.9880 high. Cardano price is now trading above $0.950 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.9350 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. Source: ADAUSD on TradingView.com On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.9880 zone. The first resistance is near $1.00. The next key resistance might be $1.020. If there is a close above the $1.020 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $1.120 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $1.150 in the near term. Another Pullback In ADA? If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $1.00 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.960 level. The next major support is near the $0.9350 level and the trend line. A downside break below the $0.9350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.9120. The next major support is near the $0.880 level where the bulls might emerge. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.960 and $0.9350. Major Resistance Levels – $0.9800 and $1.00.",
"headline": "Cardano (ADA) Rockets 15% Higher, Can Bulls Push Beyond $1.00?",
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"caption": "Cardano price started a fresh increase from the $0.80 zone. ADA is now rising and might attempt a clear move above the $1.00 zone. ADA price started a fresh increase from the $0.80 support zone. The price is trading above $0.950 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.9350 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $1.00 resistance zone. Cardano Price Eyes Steady Increase After a sharp decline, Cardano found support near the $0.7650 zone and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. ADA was able to surpass the $0.80 and $0.850 resistance levels. There was a clear move above the $0.850 and $0.950 resistance levels. Finally, the price traded close to the $1.00 level. A high was formed at $0.9880 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.7653 swing low to the $0.9880 high. Cardano price is now trading above $0.950 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.9350 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair. Source: ADAUSD on TradingView.com On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.9880 zone. The first resistance is near $1.00. The next key resistance might be $1.020. If there is a close above the $1.020 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $1.120 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $1.150 in the near term. Another Pullback In ADA? If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $1.00 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.960 level. The next major support is near the $0.9350 level and the trend line. A downside break below the $0.9350 level could open the doors for a test of $0.9120. The next major support is near the $0.880 level where the bulls might emerge. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.960 and $0.9350. Major Resistance Levels – $0.9800 and $1.00.",
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"caption": "After an incredible rally that has put Ethereum on the path to possible new all-time highs, the altcoin is now facing something that could hinder its newfound path. This comes down to a CME gap that had formed on its way up, and historically, CME gaps tend to be filled before there is a bullish continuation. In this case, the CME gap is sitting almost 15% below its current price, and could mean that ETH is in for a crash. The CME Gap Waiting At $4,080 A crypto analyst has pointed out that the Ethereum price could be facing heavy resistance after rallying to levels not seen since 2021. There is also the formation of a CME gap that threatens to drag the price back down before the bullish rally can continue. Related Reading: Analyst Says What Happened With Bitcoin Is About To Happen With XRP The first of these is the resistance that is currently forming at around the $4,868 zone. This is the previous all-time high levels, so naturally, bears are beginning to mount pressure at this point that could ultimately lead to a price rejection. There is also a potential reversal zone skirting around the $4,680 area as well. The CME Gap is sitting very low at the $4,185-$4,080, suggesting that the price could retrace to this level to close the gap. If this happens, then late long positions could be trapped as the correction plays out, before reversing toward its all-time high levels once more. Interestingly, the analyst also points out the fact that the Ethereum price seems to be playing out the Elliot Wave Theory. According to the analysis, Ethereum is actually playing out a microwave 5 in the meantime. What this suggests is that the current uptrend is only the start, and that the main Wave 5 is yet to begin. Related Reading: 4-Year Cycle Says Dogecoin Price Will Reach $1, Here’s Why Using the Elliot Wave Theory, Wave 5 is expected to be the final wave before the bear market. However, it is a major wave that has historically led to new all-time highs. If the bullish momentum does continue, then Ethereum could end up crossing the $5,000 level in quick succession. There is also the possibility of a deeper correction if bulls fail to maintain control above $4,000. The analyst points out that another CME gap is left to be filled as low as $3,417-$3,461. But if the price is able to cross toward $4,800, this would be invalidated. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Story teaser text: Cybersecurity leaders face mounting pressure to stop attacks before they start, and the best defense may come down to the settings you choose on day one. In this piece, Yuriy Tsibere explores how default policies like deny-by-default, MFA enforcement, and application Ringfencing ™ can eliminate entire categories of risk. From disabling Office macros to blocking outbound server",
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"caption": "Chris Burniske, the cofounder and partner at crypto venture firm Placeholder, laid out a time-boxed set of cycle targets for the market’s three bellwethers, arguing that the “crazier” price action gets through early autumn, the higher his conviction becomes that this cycle culminates in October. “Aiming for an October top in BTC, if I were to pick numbers, which we all know is a grade above guessing, I’d say BTC $142,690, ETH 6,900–8K, $SOL ~ $420. NFA, it’s a meme world we live in,” Burniske posted on X late on August 13. Predictions For Bitcoin, Ethereum And Solana The Placeholder co-founder expanded on the logic in follow-ups, saying he prefers the implied cross-asset relationships against Bitcoin at those levels. He suggested that if the run accelerates into August–September–October, his “conviction” in an October top rises; conversely, “if we pull back hard soon, and get more muted, then perhaps we can extend this bull for longer.” He also emphasized that once Bitcoin’s tide turns, lower-liquidity assets typically “drain out” faster—an admonition that aligns with past cycle behavior even if timing the inflection is, as he put it, “a grade above guessing.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works By construction, Burniske’s slate of targets bakes in a meaningful repricing of the crypto complex’s internal ratios. At a $142,690 Bitcoin, an Ethereum band of $6,900–$8,000 implies an ETH/BTC ratio in roughly the 0.048–0.056 range, while $420 Solana would imply an SOL/BTC ratio near 0.003. That positioning squares with his aside that he “likes the implied ETHBTC and SOLBTC ratios,” and with a broader market dynamic he and others point to: sustained capital rotation out of Bitcoin into higher-beta assets as the cycle matures. On that rotation, Burniske amplified a dashboard from analytics firm Glassnode—shared via Swissblock—showing that market-cap-weighted seven-day returns across top altcoins have breached the +1σ band three times since April. Statistically, that constitutes significant outperformance relative to Bitcoin and is consistent with capital flowing from BTC into ETH and the long-tail. “It’s not that crypto inflows are drying up. Capital is rotating into ETH and altcoins, draining from BTC and fueling a torrent into the altcoin market,” Swissblock summarized alongside Glassnode’s chart. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Burniske also floated a tongue-in-cheek “meme world” extension to his Bitcoin call a few hours later—“BTC looking juicy, maybe $169,420 is a better meme world”—underscoring both the self-aware tone of the thread and the reality that upside blow-offs, if they occur, rarely stop on tidy round numbers. The thread was not purely about price targets. It doubled as risk management guidance for a market that has already pushed to new all-time highs this year. “Selling some isn’t the same as selling it all, and it’s best to ‘sell some’ in bits and pieces on the way up,” Burniske wrote in a separate post he referenced again on Wednesday. “I see too many people who want to do it all in one go. Buy it all in one go, sell it all in one go, full port into one thing—those are gambling techniques, not investing techniques.” Context for the Solana leg of the call arrived a day earlier. On August 12, Burniske suggested SOL “could be gearing up for a monster monthly” if capital rotation gives it “time in the sun” after Ethereum’s push—an argument that maps to the altcoin outperformance signals above and to his preference for the ETH/BTC and SOL/BTC skews into an October denouement. None of this is novel as far as cycle anatomy goes—lead asset first, majors second, long-tail last. Whether the market prints Burniske’s “meme world” or settles for the initial $142,690/$6,900–8,000/$420 matrix, the thread’s two practical takeaways are unequivocal: autumn is the window he’s watching, and process discipline matters more than clairvoyance when the tape gets euphoric. At press time, BTC traded at $121,799. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Chris Burniske, the cofounder and partner at crypto venture firm Placeholder, laid out a time-boxed set of cycle targets for the market’s three bellwethers, arguing that the “crazier” price action gets through early autumn, the higher his conviction becomes that this cycle culminates in October. “Aiming for an October top in BTC, if I were to pick numbers, which we all know is a grade above guessing, I’d say BTC $142,690, ETH 6,900–8K, $SOL ~ $420. NFA, it’s a meme world we live in,” Burniske posted on X late on August 13. Predictions For Bitcoin, Ethereum And Solana The Placeholder co-founder expanded on the logic in follow-ups, saying he prefers the implied cross-asset relationships against Bitcoin at those levels. He suggested that if the run accelerates into August–September–October, his “conviction” in an October top rises; conversely, “if we pull back hard soon, and get more muted, then perhaps we can extend this bull for longer.” He also emphasized that once Bitcoin’s tide turns, lower-liquidity assets typically “drain out” faster—an admonition that aligns with past cycle behavior even if timing the inflection is, as he put it, “a grade above guessing.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works By construction, Burniske’s slate of targets bakes in a meaningful repricing of the crypto complex’s internal ratios. At a $142,690 Bitcoin, an Ethereum band of $6,900–$8,000 implies an ETH/BTC ratio in roughly the 0.048–0.056 range, while $420 Solana would imply an SOL/BTC ratio near 0.003. That positioning squares with his aside that he “likes the implied ETHBTC and SOLBTC ratios,” and with a broader market dynamic he and others point to: sustained capital rotation out of Bitcoin into higher-beta assets as the cycle matures. On that rotation, Burniske amplified a dashboard from analytics firm Glassnode—shared via Swissblock—showing that market-cap-weighted seven-day returns across top altcoins have breached the +1σ band three times since April. Statistically, that constitutes significant outperformance relative to Bitcoin and is consistent with capital flowing from BTC into ETH and the long-tail. “It’s not that crypto inflows are drying up. Capital is rotating into ETH and altcoins, draining from BTC and fueling a torrent into the altcoin market,” Swissblock summarized alongside Glassnode’s chart. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Burniske also floated a tongue-in-cheek “meme world” extension to his Bitcoin call a few hours later—“BTC looking juicy, maybe $169,420 is a better meme world”—underscoring both the self-aware tone of the thread and the reality that upside blow-offs, if they occur, rarely stop on tidy round numbers. The thread was not purely about price targets. It doubled as risk management guidance for a market that has already pushed to new all-time highs this year. “Selling some isn’t the same as selling it all, and it’s best to ‘sell some’ in bits and pieces on the way up,” Burniske wrote in a separate post he referenced again on Wednesday. “I see too many people who want to do it all in one go. Buy it all in one go, sell it all in one go, full port into one thing—those are gambling techniques, not investing techniques.” Context for the Solana leg of the call arrived a day earlier. On August 12, Burniske suggested SOL “could be gearing up for a monster monthly” if capital rotation gives it “time in the sun” after Ethereum’s push—an argument that maps to the altcoin outperformance signals above and to his preference for the ETH/BTC and SOL/BTC skews into an October denouement. None of this is novel as far as cycle anatomy goes—lead asset first, majors second, long-tail last. Whether the market prints Burniske’s “meme world” or settles for the initial $142,690/$6,900–8,000/$420 matrix, the thread’s two practical takeaways are unequivocal: autumn is the window he’s watching, and process discipline matters more than clairvoyance when the tape gets euphoric. At press time, BTC traded at $121,799. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Despite recovering above $120,000 again, Bitcoin has not been able to completely shake off the bearish pull. This has resulted in what looks like the beginning stages of a price pullback that could result in a notable crash. There are also fair value gaps (FVGs) that are yet to be fully filled, suggesting that the uptrend may see a pause before resuming. Bitcoin Momentum Pulling Toward Bearish As crypto analyst TehThomas explains in an analysis, the Bitcoin price action shows that it has moved toward a key rejection block. This rejection block was around the $122,000 level, explaining why the cryptocurrency saw a pushback from here. Related Reading: How Western Union’s Acquisition Of Intermex Is A Win For Ripple And XRP Given this, Thomas explains that this movement points to exhaustion in the market. This could suggest more sellers are beginning to take profit, and with buyers taking a step back, there is not enough demand to hold off the supply being poured into the market. If this continues, then there will be a shift into the bearish territory for this. Moreover, the fact that he rejection block aligned with the 4-Hour charts shows there is a strong confluence zone for sellers. This puts bears in charge at this level, and with the price closing within this confluence zone, it gives more strength to the reversal trend and could push for a further retracement. Buying Into The Fair Value Gap There is currently a fair value gap that is yet to be filled above $112,000. This makes this level the first target in the event of a price retracement. The likelihood of a retracement to this level is high because historically, fair value gaps tend to be filled first before there is a continuation of the bullish momentum. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, But There’s Good News Additionally, there is also the fact that the Bitcoin price moved “through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs.” This was the level that acted as the trap for late buyers and longs and triggered a wave of liquidations as the price moved downward again. If this bearish scenario does play out, then the analyst expects that the Bitcoin price will actually crash back as low as $110,000 to fill the gaps. However, a completion of this move would serve as the setup for the next upward wave toward the peaks. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Despite recovering above $120,000 again, Bitcoin has not been able to completely shake off the bearish pull. This has resulted in what looks like the beginning stages of a price pullback that could result in a notable crash. There are also fair value gaps (FVGs) that are yet to be fully filled, suggesting that the uptrend may see a pause before resuming. Bitcoin Momentum Pulling Toward Bearish As crypto analyst TehThomas explains in an analysis, the Bitcoin price action shows that it has moved toward a key rejection block. This rejection block was around the $122,000 level, explaining why the cryptocurrency saw a pushback from here. Related Reading: How Western Union’s Acquisition Of Intermex Is A Win For Ripple And XRP Given this, Thomas explains that this movement points to exhaustion in the market. This could suggest more sellers are beginning to take profit, and with buyers taking a step back, there is not enough demand to hold off the supply being poured into the market. If this continues, then there will be a shift into the bearish territory for this. Moreover, the fact that he rejection block aligned with the 4-Hour charts shows there is a strong confluence zone for sellers. This puts bears in charge at this level, and with the price closing within this confluence zone, it gives more strength to the reversal trend and could push for a further retracement. Buying Into The Fair Value Gap There is currently a fair value gap that is yet to be filled above $112,000. This makes this level the first target in the event of a price retracement. The likelihood of a retracement to this level is high because historically, fair value gaps tend to be filled first before there is a continuation of the bullish momentum. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, But There’s Good News Additionally, there is also the fact that the Bitcoin price moved “through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs.” This was the level that acted as the trap for late buyers and longs and triggered a wave of liquidations as the price moved downward again. If this bearish scenario does play out, then the analyst expects that the Bitcoin price will actually crash back as low as $110,000 to fill the gaps. However, a completion of this move would serve as the setup for the next upward wave toward the peaks. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com",
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