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"caption": "Attackers took over more than 400 packages in the Arch User Repository (AUR) this week and rewrote their build scripts to install a credential stealer on any machine that built them.\n\nThe malware is a Rust binary built to harvest developer secrets. When it lands with root, it can also load an eBPF rootkit to hide itself. The AUR is Arch Linux's community package collection, and it is separate",
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"caption": "Bitcoin briefly breached $64,000 following U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a tentative peace deal between Washington and Tehran. Bitcoin Eyed $64K Amid Geopolitical Whiplash On June 12, bitcoin breached the $64,000 mark as enthusiasm was sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement that Washington and Tehran had reached a deal to end hostilities. Market […]",
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"caption": "Crypto ETF flows remained mixed on Thursday, June 11, as bitcoin ETFs posted a fifth straight day of outflows and ether funds recorded their third consecutive negative session. Still, the scale of redemptions narrowed, while HYPE ETFs stayed positive and solana funds slipped back into outflows. Bitcoin and Ether ETFs Stay Negative While HYPE Funds […]",
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"caption": "PRESS RELEASE. Automation has been a fixture of Web3 long before AI agents became a mainstream topic. Bots were already trading, farming incentives, monitoring markets, and competing for rewards across blockchain networks — often becoming some of the most active participants in the ecosystem. Yet despite their outsized influence, these actors were never really accounted […]",
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"caption": "Crypto casino Rainbet has become the first official sponsor of Kick’s Slots category, planting a rival brand’s flag on a platform founded and owned by Stake’s co-founders, and reversing the usual direction of gambling money on a streaming site. A rival casino buys real estate on Stake’s home turf Rainbet announced the sponsorship in a […]",
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"caption": "Summary\nLlamaRisk recommends the following PT E-Mode parameter changes based on the latest re-evaluation of the PT parameter methodology as the active Pendle PT reserves on the Aave V3 Ethereum and Plasma instances continue to converge toward maturity.\nAave V3 Ethereum:\n\nUpdate PT-srUSDe-25JUN2026 Stablecoins E-Mode (44): reduce LB from 4.3% to 4.1%.\nUpdate PT-srUSDe-25JUN2026 USDe E-Mode (45): increase LTV from 91.5% to 91.6%, increase LT from 93.5% to 93.6%, reduce LB from 1.8% to 1.3%.\n\nAave V3 Plasma:\n\nUpdate PT-USDe-18JUN2026 Stablecoins E-Mode (21): reduce LB from 2.3% to 2.2%.\nUpdate PT-USDe-18JUN2026 USDe E-Mode (22): increase LTV from 93.7% to 93.8%, increase LT from 95.7% to 95.8%, reduce LB from 1.3% to 1.2%.\nUpdate PT-sUSDE-18JUN2026 USDe E-Mode (24): reduce LB from 2.2% to 1.7%.\n\nPT E-Mode Parameter Updates (Ethereum Core)\nParameter updates for active PT E-Mode categories on Ethereum Core are computed using the PT parameter methodology, which carries over the same properties as were previously applied by the risk oracle, done manually to ensure full continuity. The methodology prices the maximum single-block discount rate move under observed market conditions and maps the resulting price-impact bound to LTV, LT, and LB values. Inputs include the current discount rate, the maximum discount rate, the Pendle AMM scalar root, and the market-implied yield. Per-step changes in LTV and LT are bounded by the Risk Steward allowed-change envelope, so where the methodology yields a larger move, the implementation reflects the capped value.\nPT-srUSDe-25JUN2026 (Ethereum Core)\nPT-srUSDe-25JUN2026 matures on June 25, 2026, with a current discount rate of 4.61% against a maximum of 16.66%. With approximately 15 days to maturity, the residual time value has continued to compress relative to the prior review window.\n\nSource: LlamaRisk, June 10, 2026\nTwo E-Mode categories reference this PT:\nStablecoins E-Mode (44) has the following current parameters: LTV 90.0%, LT 92.0%, LB 4.3%. The methodology yields LB 4.1% this round, with LTV and LT held unchanged. The methodology floor continues to hold the PT-srUSDe Stablecoins LB above the underlying sUSDe Stablecoins LB (4.0%), so the liquidation bonus steps to 4.1%.\nUSDe E-Mode (45) has the following current parameters: LTV 91.5%, LT 93.5%, LB 1.8%. The methodology yields LTV 91.6%, LT 93.6%, and LB 1.3% this round. The LTV and LT increases of +0.1pp each are bounded by the allowed-change envelope, and the LB reduction from 1.8% to 1.3% tightens the liquidation bonus in line with the decreasing price volatility as the discount rate decays toward maturity.\nPT E-Mode Parameter Updates (Plasma)\nParameter updates for active PT E-Mode categories on Plasma are computed using the same methodology as Ethereum Core. The two active maturities (PT-USDe-18JUN2026 and PT-sUSDE-18JUN2026) share the June 18, 2026 maturity date and each underpins a Stablecoin and a USDe E-Mode pair on the Plasma instance.\nPT-USDe-18JUN2026 (Plasma)\nPT-USDe-18JUN2026 matures on June 18, 2026, with a current discount rate of 2.95% against a maximum of 13.57%. With approximately 8 days to maturity, the price has converged close to par, with a model-implied discount of approximately 0.06%.\n\nSource: LlamaRisk, June 10, 2026\nTwo E-Mode categories reference this PT:\nStablecoins E-Mode (21) has the following current parameters: LTV 91.1%, LT 93.1%, LB 2.3%. The methodology yields LB 2.2% this round, with LTV and LT held unchanged. The LB reduction reflects the continued compression of the residual price risk as the maturity window closes.\nUSDe E-Mode (22) has the following current parameters: LTV 93.7%, LT 95.7%, LB 1.3%. The methodology yields LTV 93.8%, LT 95.8%, and LB 1.2%. The LTV and LT increases of +0.1pp each are gradual and bounded by the allowed-change envelope, alongside a reduction in LB from 1.3% to 1.2%.\nPT-sUSDE-18JUN2026 (Plasma)\nPT-sUSDE-18JUN2026 matures on June 18, 2026, with a current discount rate of 3.96% against a maximum of 14.46%. With approximately 8 days to maturity, the price has converged close to par, with a model-implied discount of approximately 0.08%.\n\nSource: LlamaRisk, June 10, 2026\nThis PT is referenced by one E-Mode requiring an update this round:\nUSDe E-Mode (24) has the following current parameters: LTV 92.1%, LT 94.1%, LB 2.2%. The methodology yields LB 1.7% this round, with LTV and LT held unchanged. The LB reduction reflects the continued compression of the residual price risk as the maturity window closes.\nSpecification\nPT E-Mode Parameter Changes\n\n\n\n\nInstance\nAsset\nE-Mode\nCurrent LTV\nRecommended LTV\nCurrent LT\nRecommended LT\nCurrent LB\nRecommended LB\n\n\n\n\nAave V3 Ethereum\nPT-srUSDe-25JUN2026\nStablecoins (44)\n90.0%\n-\n92.0%\n-\n4.3%\n4.1%\n\n\nAave V3 Ethereum\nPT-srUSDe-25JUN2026\nUSDe (45)\n91.5%\n91.6%\n93.5%\n93.6%\n1.8%\n1.3%\n\n\nAave V3 Plasma\nPT-USDe-18JUN2026\nStablecoins (21)\n91.1%\n-\n93.1%\n-\n2.3%\n2.2%\n\n\nAave V3 Plasma\nPT-USDe-18JUN2026\nUSDe (22)\n93.7%\n93.8%\n95.7%\n95.8%\n1.3%\n1.2%\n\n\nAave V3 Plasma\nPT-sUSDE-18JUN2026\nUSDe (24)\n92.1%\n-\n94.1%\n-\n2.2%\n1.7%\n\n\n\nNext Steps\nWe will move forward and implement these updates via the Risk Steward process.\nDisclosure\nThis review was independently prepared by LlamaRisk, a DeFi risk service provider funded in part by the Aave DAO. LlamaRisk is not directly affiliated with the protocol(s) reviewed in this assessment and did not receive any compensation from the protocol(s) or their affiliated entities for this work.\nThe information provided should not be construed as legal, financial, tax, or professional advice.\n 1 post - 1 participant\n Read full topic",
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"caption": "On-chain data shows trading volume in the crypto sector has slumped to the lowest level in two years, a sign that investors have turned their attention away from the market. Crypto Trading Volume Has Seen A Notable Decline In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the trading volume of crypto assets. The “trading volume” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of a given token that’s becoming involved in trading activity on the various centralized exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom Not Here Yet? This Indicator Remains In Transition Phase When the value of the metric rises, it means exchanges are observing increased activity surrounding the asset. Such a trend implies the token is attracting attention from traders. On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests investors may be losing interest in the market as they are participating in fewer trades on exchanges. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows how the trading volume of the different top-cap cryptos has changed over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the trading volume peaked for the combined crypto sector back in mid-2025. Since then, the indicator has followed a downward trajectory for the various coins. After the latest continuation of the downtrend, the crypto trading volume has declined to its lowest level since mid-2024. “Traders appear reluctant to aggressively buy or sell as macro uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and recent liquidations keep participants on the sidelines,” noted the analytics firm. While the trend may look bearish at first glance, the past pattern could suggest otherwise for the market. “Historically, some of crypto’s strongest recoveries have emerged from periods when interest, volume, and participation were at their lowest,” explained Santiment. Considering this, it now remains to be seen how the sector will develop in the near future. Related Reading: Dormant Cardano Whales Suddenly Come Alive: Is A Turning Point Near? While crypto volume may have waned, the same hasn’t been true for adoption. As highlighted by the analytics firm in another X post, the Total Amount of Holders, an indicator tracking the total number of non-empty addresses present on a given network, has been climbing for the different top assets in recent years. From the chart, it’s apparent that Ethereum is the crypto that has enjoyed the strongest adoption, with the Total Amount Of Holders sitting at 195 million. “While social media remains focused on $ETH’s underperformance, user adoption has continued moving in the opposite direction,” said Santiment. Bitcoin Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $62,700, up 1.8% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Crypto Volume Drops To 2-Year Low—Is A Relief Rally Next?",
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"caption": "A federal fraud case led to major crypto seizures after prosecutors said nearly $100 million moved through bank accounts and exchanges. Authorities seized some $7.1 million from digital wallets tied to the scheme, while prosecutors separately seek $24,707,031 in restitution. Crypto Seizures Show How Fraud Proceeds Moved Through Digital Markets Millions of dollars in cryptocurrency […]",
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"caption": "Dogecoin has entered a deeply depressed on-chain valuation zone, according to analysis from Aphractal AI, with DOGE trading far below its realized price and several holder-profitability metrics pointing to capitulation. The signal matters because it suggests the market has already absorbed substantial pain, even as price momentum and derivatives positioning remain fragile. The analysis places DOGE at $0.08475, with a market capitalization of $13.36 billion and a circulating supply of 154.58 billion coins. Its realized price, however, stands much higher at $0.12845, meaning Dogecoin is trading roughly 34% below the aggregate cost basis implied by on-chain activity. That gap is the core of the current setup. Dogecoin Is Trading At Deep Value Aphractal AI highlighted MVRV at 0.6730, showing that Dogecoin’s market value is about 32.7% below realized value. NUPL, another measure of aggregate unrealized profit and loss, sits at -0.4859 and is classified as “Capitulation.” “This is the clearest on-chain signal in DOGE right now: the average holder is underwater,” the analysis said. “Price remains $0.04370 below realized price, which places the asset in a depressed valuation regime. MVRV below 1 and negative NUPL together point to a market where holders are still carrying substantial unrealized losses, not one showing euphoric excess.” Related Reading: Here’s The Dogecoin Perfect Bottom And The Top Target; Analyst That does not mean DOGE has confirmed a bottom. The same report shows a long-term delta growth rate of -77.79%, which Aphractal AI interpreted as evidence of a severe slowdown in valuation expansion compared with previous periods. In its framing, Dogecoin remains in a “post-distribution / low-growth phase” rather than a renewed structural bull phase. Network activity gives a more mixed picture. Active addresses rose to 37,510, up 13.71% over 24 hours and 2.43% over seven days. Transaction count reached 23,665, up 3.88% on the day but still down 3.97% over the week. Adjusted on-chain volume was stronger, climbing to $185.55 million, up 69.69% day-over-day and 29.23% over seven days. The divergence is notable. Capital is moving faster than raw transaction count, suggesting larger transfers are driving the increase rather than a broad expansion in everyday network usage. In Aphractal AI’s words, Dogecoin is showing “better value flow than user-flow.” Exchange balances offer a modestly constructive signal. Dogecoin exchange reserves stand at 28.33 billion DOGE, worth about $2.42 billion. Reserves fell 0.20% over one day and 0.60% over seven days. The decline is not large enough to imply aggressive accumulation, but it does suggest exchange supply is drifting lower rather than building into immediate sell pressure. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) At $0.086–Two Scenarios Ahead, Including A New 32% Crash Still, the market structure remains weak. DOGE is down 4.59% over seven days, 21.99% over 30 days, 31.69% year-to-date and 58.01% over one year. It also trades 23.09% below its 200-day moving average. RSI is near oversold at 33.9982, while the daily MACD remains bearish. Derivatives positioning adds another caution flag. Open interest stands at $750.82 million, up 1.79% over 24 hours but down 5.18% over the week. The open interest-to-market cap ratio is 5.73%. Traders remain heavily long-biased, with a long/short ratio of 2.3167 and top trader sentiment at 2.4115. Yet whale-versus-retail delta is negative at -0.3004, indicating larger-player behavior is not confirming the same optimism seen in broader speculative positioning. Recent liquidations also show pressure on bulls. Over 24 hours, DOGE saw $2.30 million in liquidations, including $1.62 million in longs and $0.68 million in shorts. Long liquidations accounted for roughly 70.6% of the total, reinforcing that bullish positioning has been more exposed to the latest downside. The main recovery threshold is the realized price at $0.12845. A move back toward that level would signal that DOGE is beginning to repair the gap between spot price and holder cost basis. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.08516. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Dogecoin Just Hit A Rare Capitulation Signal: What It Means For DOGE",
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"caption": "Bloomberg Intelligence senior exchange-traded fund (ETF) analyst Eric Balchunas said on Thursday that Blackrock’s Ishares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF could be live on Nasdaq within a week after the firm filed a Form 8-A with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Balchunas Calls the Date “Blackrock filed an 8-A for the Bitcoin Premium Income […]",
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"caption": "XRP bulls are trying to turn a brutal selloff into something bigger than a relief bounce. An interesting setup shows a possible three-part impulse from the recent low around $1.05, but the entire setup still depends on whether buyers can force the price through the levels that broke during the crash. XRP’s Chart Is Trying To Build A Three-Part Impulse An interesting technical analysis of the XRP price is centered on a possible three-leg recovery structure, with the cryptocurrency’s latest low around $1.07 acting as the starting point. From there, the projected path shows an impulsive move into the $1.94 region, a pullback into the $1.46 zone, and then a much larger advance into the upper resistance band between $2.39 and $3.11. Related Reading: XRP Is Oversold On Every Time Frame, And This Could Be The Bullish Signal Everyone Is Waiting For The interesting chart, which was shared on X by RWA_Investor, shows a macro corrective sequence playing out from XRP’s highs above $3 since last year, a classic W-X-Y double zigzag that has consumed months of price history. The first leg, Wave W, completed a full ABC decline, bottoming at a major low labeled (C)/(W) on the chart in early February. A linking wave X then produced a counter-rally that pushed the XRP price above $1.50 in the middle of May with an internal structure of its own (X)-(A)-(B) sequence before rolling over. That rollover initiated the final Y leg, which has now pushed the XRP price down to the $1.12 range again at the time of writing. The Impulse Setup Back Above $3 Now that the (C)/(Y) wave is playing out at current lows around $1.12, the setup is an anticipated change from correction to a bullish impulse wave. Related Reading: The XRP Dream Has Changed: Why A Rally To $10 Could Happen Despite Disappointment The projected move is a three-wave ABC recovery that targets a destination box between $2.39 and $3.11. Wave A is expected to push toward the $2.12 level; however, this projection does not give XRP a free pass. There’s a support/resistance trendline around $1.46, which is going to be the first test, and there’s another possible rejection test around $2.12. Wave B would then retrace back to around $1.46, but this shakeout should not be mistaken for bearishness. Wave C, the final and strongest leg of the sequence, is going to be characterized by a move into a target zone anywhere between $2.70 and $3.10. A break above $3.10 would suggest that XRP has already found its macro bottom at $1.05. In that scenario, the three-part structure would begin to look like the beginning of a broader trend reversal into new all-time highs. If XRP fails below the upper band and loses momentum after the projected rebound, then it could eventually revisit the $0.75 to $1 range to complete a corrective macro wave 2. Interestingly, multiple analysts have identified the $0.87 to $0.92 region as a potential bottom target for XRP under a corrective macro wave. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "The 3-Part Impulse That Shows Where The XRP Price Is Headed Next",
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"caption": "Crypto analyst Crypto Rover has pointed to a trendline that Bitcoin has never broken below in every market cycle. The leading crypto has now touched this trendline, providing optimism that it could bounce from that level as it did in previous bear cycles. Bitcoin Touches Trendline That Has Led To Parabolic Rallies In an X post, Crypto Rover revealed that Bitcoin has again touched the trendline it has never broken below in 9 years. Instead, BTC has seen parabolic rallies whenever it touches this trendline. In 2017, it rallied 1,300% after touching this trendline; in 2018, it rallied 1,900% after touching it; and in 2020, it rallied another 1,900% after touching it. Bitcoin saw another parabolic rally of 700% after touching this trendline in 2022. Related Reading: The Verdict Is In For Bitcoin: Majority Of Investors Say BTC Price Is Headed Lower, Here Are The Numbers Now, Bitcoin has once again touched this trendline, offering optimism that it could bounce from this region as it did in past cycles. However, in another X post, Crypto Rover suggested that BTC has not yet found a bottom and could still drop below $60,000 before it bottoms. This came as the analyst alluded to BTC’s realized price. He noted that the short-term holders’ (STH) realized price at $74,000 has been reached, but that the realized price of $53,600 and the long-term holders’ (LTH) realized price of $50,000 have not been reached. Crypto Rover added that every prior cycle bottom has traded below the realized price and that every major flush has kissed the LTH line. As such, BTC is still likely to see another move down before it bottoms. Bitcoin is also at risk of another decline with the U.S.-Iran war escalating again. The U.S. carried out strikes against military targets in Iran, which led to retaliatory attacks against U.S. military bases in the Gulf region. A Drop Below $50,000 Is Also A Possibility Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has indicated that Bitcoin could still drop below $50,000. This came as he pointed to the Investor Price, which he noted is currently $48,300. He said that this level is a key area he is watching for long-term accumulation. The analyst had described this metric as one of the most important BTC on-chain metrics. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Chart Shows What To Expect For The Next 3 Months After Major Decision Point Martinez explained that this metric measures the average acquisition price of all economically circulating Bitcoin, filtering out permanently lost coins to provide a more realistic market-wide cost basis. However, it is worth noting that the analyst had earlier said that there were signs that BTC was about to reach a market bottom. He pointed to the 1.0-0.8 MVRV bands, which align at $53,900 and $43,150. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $62,600, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "Bitcoin Has Never Broken This Line Before And Price Just Touched It Again",
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"caption": "Ethereum derivatives activity is flashing a fresh signal on Binance, where open interest measured in ETH terms has reached a new all-time high. The move comes as traders reassess Ethereum after a steep drawdown, even as macro and geopolitical uncertainty continue to suppress broader risk appetite. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said the market has become “increasingly difficult to interpret,” with investors and institutions operating against a backdrop of elevated uncertainty tied to tensions between the United States and Iran. That uncertainty is not happening in isolation. According to the analyst, deteriorating economic prospects have made large-scale capital deployment a riskier decision, naturally limiting the willingness of market participants to add exposure. Still, Ethereum futures are showing renewed signs of speculative demand. Binance Ethereum Open Interest Hits New High Darkfost said speculative activity has recently started to revive in derivatives, with Ethereum standing out. The analyst noted that ETH is currently trading roughly 67% below its previous all-time high and has moved into what he described as “an area of extreme oversold conditions” over the past few days. Related Reading: Three Wallets Withdraw $122M In Ethereum From FalconX And Kraken: Is Tom Lee Buying Again? That weakness appears to have drawn in traders looking to rebuild exposure after months of pressure. “Some traders have not overlooked this opportunity and have chosen to increase their exposure despite the risks,” Darkfost wrote. The result, according to the post, is a record level of Ethereum positioning on Binance. “As a result, Binance has just recorded a new all time high in Ethereum Open Interest (ETH value), with nearly 3.7 million ETH currently positioned in futures contracts on the platform,” the analyst said. The figure is notable because it measures positioning in ETH terms rather than only in dollar value. After a large price decline, dollar-denominated open interest can look subdued even when the number of ETH contracts being carried by traders is rising. In this case, the increase suggests that speculative exposure to Ethereum is growing despite the weaker spot price environment. Binance’s role in that activity has also expanded. Darkfost said the exchange’s share of total Ethereum open interest has risen above 44%, reinforcing its dominant position in the ETH derivatives market. Traders Shift After Months Of Seller Dominance The more important question is whether the record open interest reflects bottom-fishing, leveraged hedging, or a more durable change in market positioning. Darkfost’s post points to at least some improvement on the buy side. Related Reading: Ethereum OG Nails The Crash: Sells $188M, Buys Back Lower “Following Ethereum’s sharp devaluation, traders appear to be gradually returning to the buy side,” the analyst wrote. “On Binance, the weekly average Taker Buy/Sell Ratio has increased from 0.95 to 1.0, reflecting a rebalancing of flows after several months of seller dominance.” That move from 0.95 to 1.0 does not indicate aggressive upside chasing by itself. Rather, it suggests that flows have moved closer to balance after an extended period in which sellers had the upper hand. In futures markets, that shift can matter because open interest rising alongside improving taker flow often shows that traders are no longer only using derivatives to press downside momentum. The backdrop remains fragile, however. Higher open interest can amplify moves in either direction, especially when positioning builds during periods of macro stress. If the long side is indeed rebuilding, the market may become more sensitive to forced deleveraging if ETH fails to hold the levels attracting dip buyers. Darkfost framed the setup cautiously, noting that Ethereum sentiment has “deteriorated significantly in recent months.” Even so, the analyst said more investors now appear willing to take the risk of rebuilding exposure, “particularly on the long side,” after a prolonged stretch of dominant selling pressure across futures markets. At press time, ETH traded at $1,658. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Despite persistent market uncertainty and bearish sentiment across parts of the cryptocurrency sector, Ethereum is approaching a significant adoption milestone, with the number of non-empty wallets nearing 200 million. While price fluctuations often dominate investor attention, the steady growth in wallet activity suggests that participation in the ETH ecosystem continues to expand. How Ethereum’s Expanding User Network Signals Resilience Ethereum is rapidly approaching a major adoption milestone, with the network now approaching 200 million non-empty wallets despite high Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD). Santiment Intelligence on X pointed out that the ETH network continues to grow exponentially compared to other top market capitalizations, while facing some of the most negative sentiment in crypto. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Gets Crushed To $1,840 Amid Relentless Selling Pressure The network now boasts approximately 195 million non-empty wallets, significantly outpacing Bitcoin’s roughly 59 million. This represents a lead of more than 230%, a gap that has continued to grow across multiple market cycles. While social media narratives focus on ETH’s recent price underperformance, user adoption continues to move in the opposite direction. ETH now sits just 5 million wallets away from the 200 million milestone. Much of the growth is driven by ETH dominance in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), staking, and broader on-chain activity, where users are not just holding assets but actively participating in the network. Despite the recent crowd sentiment indicators falling into extreme fear territory, ETH’s rising wallet growth suggests that long-term adoption continues to accelerate beneath the surface. Why Ethereum’s Consolidation May Be A Sign Of Market Maturity Ethereum’s current market structure may be less a sign of weakness and more a reflection of a natural consolidation process. According to Materkel, ETH remains one of the fastest assets in history to reach a $500 million valuation, even if Anthropic might overtake it depending on when it goes public. Related Reading: The Mistake Investors Are Making About Ethereum That Could Cost Them Money; Analyst Rather than signalling weakness, this appears to be an extreme healthy consolidation that happens after an asset has experienced a meteoric rise. Materkel argues that a large portion of BitMine’s ETH is most likely coming from long-term holders who invested as early as the initial coin offering (ICO) or at sub-$100 levels. Over the past five years, with ETH trading between $1,000 and $5,000, many of these investors have had ample opportunity to realize substantial gains. Though some of these investors may have lost conviction, they are also sitting on outsized profits for more than 5 years. It’s only natural that they would sell a bit at some point. Historically, many of the world’s most successful assets have experienced lengthy consolidation phases after periods of explosive growth in the stock market. These consolidation periods often lasted 5, 10, or even 20 years, and are frequently accompanied by widespread skepticism before eventually giving way to powerful new expansion phases. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "SUI’s latest rejection at a crucial resistance area has handed control back to the bears, keeping the asset trapped in a persistent downtrend. As downside momentum continues to dominate, attention is shifting toward key support levels that could determine whether SUI is headed for further losses or nearing a potential bottom. SUI’s Fifth-Wave Decline Keeps Bears In Control More Crypto Online’s analysis highlights that SUI continues to face significant downside pressure, suggesting the market is likely still unfolding a fifth wave to the downside. While the higher timeframe structure remains open to interpretation, accommodating both bullish and bearish outcomes, the prevailing trend remains firmly toward lower prices. Related Reading: SUI Finds Strong Technical Support, Yet Broader Downtrend Fears Persist The leading scenario indicates that a critical support region lies between $0.65 and $0.49. This zone is identified as the potential foundation where a corrective wave B could conclude, setting the stage for a meaningful low. However, until the asset can stabilize within this range, the structural trend must be viewed as bearish. A more pessimistic white count risk scenario is also being monitored. This bearish alternative would gain significant traction should the market fail to hold the support cluster between $0.65 and $0.49. A breakdown below this level would mean that the current correction is likely to extend further. Ultimately, SUI is rapidly approaching this major support area, which serves as the primary zone to monitor for signs of stabilization. While this is the key area for potential buyers, any credible bullish case remains contingent on the market demonstrating a clear 5-wave advance after reaching these support levels. Rejection At Micro Resistance Signals More Downside Risk Following a rejection from the micro resistance zone between $0.747 and $0.855, crypto analyst MCO Global notes that the asset is likely to see at least one, and potentially two, additional lows. While the structural interpretation has been complicated by the distortion caused by the October flash crash, the analyst maintains that the overall downward direction remains clear. Related Reading: Crypto Giant Dethroned: Bitcoin Drops Out Of Top 10 Amid Market Shift Key support levels are currently established at $0.65 and $0.49. These areas will be critical for determining whether the asset can find a floor or if the current momentum will push it into deeper territory. As long as the price remains contained below the resistance zone, the market continues to operate within a persistent downtrend. The analyst emphasizes that a breakout above $0.855 is the primary requirement to shift the narrative. Achieving this would serve as the first technical signal that the intense downside pressure is finally beginning to ease. Until such a move occurs, SUI remains anchored in its current bearish structure. Featured image from YouTube, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "TLDR\nBA Labs, acting on behalf of the Core Council, proposes the following parameter changes to the LITE-PSM-USDC-A:\n\n\nIncrease LITE-PSM-USDC-A buf from 400M to 800M\n\n\nIncrease LITE-PSM-USDC-A gap from 400M to 800M\n\n\nContext\nFor a complete overview of the technical scope of the LITE-PSM-USDC-A, refer to this forum post:\n\nLitePSM (LITE-PSM-USDC-A)\t: Introduction and Overview\n\nThe migration from PSM-USDC-A to the LITE-PSM-USDC-A has been thoroughly monitored through different analyses, refer to the following forum posts:\n\nLitePSM Migration Period Analyses\n\nThe previous parameter changes can be found in the following forum posts:\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 1 (Test Period): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 2 (Major Migration): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 3 (Final Migration): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A has been live for ~23 months and has settled into the role of the dominant USDC ↔ DAI venue inside the Sky stablecoin system. The contract has processed 1,027,167 swap events since deployment, with current USDC reserves at 4.13 B against a buf of 400 M.\nThe last buf recalibration was performed on 2024-10-07 (phase 3), when reserves stood at ~1.98 B. Since then USDC reserves have more than doubled (+108%) while liquidity-buffer parameters have remained flat. Reserves first reached the ~4 B level in April 2025 and have hovered at or above it since, yet buf and gap have stayed at 400 M throughout making a recalibration overdue.\nThis post proposes a methodology to size buf and gap using on-chain history of swap sizes, daily flows, and reserve trajectory.\nOn buf and gap\nThe LitePSM holds two independent buckets, and the two swap directions draw on different ones:\n\nRefresh capacity\nA SellGem swap is served instantly from the pre-minted DAI bucket (buf). As that bucket depletes, the fill keeper mints fresh DAI to top it back up but minting is capped by the ilk’s debt ceiling (line), and the DC-IAM raises line by at most gap every ttl. With ttl = 12 h, the line can step up twice per day, so:\n\n\nRefresh capacity = 2 × gap per day: the rate at which the buffer can be replenished, i.e. the sustained daily SellGem throughput the PSM can support before it runs dry.\n\n\nSingle-day capacity = buf + 2 × gap: a single day, starting from a full buffer: the whole bucket plus that day’s two refills.\n\n\nAt the current buf = gap = 400 M, single-day capacity is 0.4 B + 0.8 B = 1.2 B; the heaviest observed SellGem day (1.75 B) exceeds it. At the proposed buf = gap = 800 M, single-day capacity rises to 0.8 B + 1.6 B = 2.4 B, clearing every day on record.\nEmpirical observations\nUSDC reserves trajectory\n\nThe buf/reserve ratio at the last intentional sizing decision (phase 3) was ~20 %. USDC reserve growth since then has eroded that ratio.\n\nSingle-swap distribution (SellGem)\nBecause only the SellGem direction is constrained by buf, the relevant tail is the largest SellGem swaps. Only 2 SellGem swaps in ~23 months have exceeded the current 400 M buf.\n\n\nDaily flow distribution\nLast-90-day distribution of daily one-way volumes:\n\n\nThe most stressful single SellGem day in the last 90 days drained ~1.75 B of DAI. With current gap = 400 M and ttl = 12 h, the line-refresh capacity is only 2 × gap = 800 M / day which is below even the P90 of recent daily SellGem volume, and far below the heaviest days.\nLargest single-day reserve drawdowns\nThe metric that gap must keep pace with is the largest single-day SellGem volume. The gross amount of pre-minted DAI withdrawn in a day, which fill must replenish:\n\n1.75 B (2026-05-18)\n1.60 B (2025-06-20)\n1.41 B (2025-10-21)\n1.41 B (2026-03-05)\n1.31 B (2026-01-13)\n\nAll five exceed the current 800 M / day refresh capacity (2 × gap at gap = 400 M). At the proposed gap = 800 M, refresh capacity rises to 1.6 B / day, and combined same-day serving capacity (buf + 2 × gap = 2.4 B) covers every day on record.\n\nMethodology\nWe anchor the new buf & gap to three independent sizing lenses and recommend the maximum, since each captures a different failure mode.\nThe different methodologies allow to keep continuity with prior governance reasoning (A), ensure the main UX promise of the LitePSM (gas-cheap pre-minted swaps) holds even on tail trades (B), and ensures the DC-IAM mechanism does not become the binding constraint on legitimate flow (C).\nMethod A - Reserve proportional\nReplicate the 20.2 % buf : reserve ratio that BA Labs implicitly endorsed at the phase-3 recalibration (the last time buf was set as a deliberate function of reserve, rather than left flat).\nbuf_A = 0.202 × target_reserve\nMethod B - Largest historical swap coverage\nSize buf so that the largest historically observed single swap, scaled into the new reserve regime, can be served from pre-minted USDS without on-the-fly minting. The largest SellGem on record (543 M) was 14.4 % of contemporaneous reserves.\nbuf_B = 0.144 × target_reserve\nMethod C - Daily flow throughput\nbuf and gap together must let the line refresh fast enough to absorb a heavy one-way day without throttling. With ttl = 12 h, daily refresh capacity = 2 × gap. We require this capacity to cover the recent distribution of max one-way daily volume (max(buy, sell) per day), scaled to the new reserve regime.\ngap_C ≥ (P_x_max_oneway × scale_factor) / 2\nwhere scale_factor = target_reserve / current_reserve. Using max-one-way rather than buy-only makes the test direction-agnostic: a heavy sell day stresses the system as much as a heavy buy day.\nResults\n\nRecommendation for 4 B reserve target\n\nProposed: buf = gap = 800 M, line = 10 B, ttl = 12 h\nRecommendation for 5 B reserve target\n\nProposed: buf = gap = 1B, line = 10 B, ttl = 12 h\nParameter Recommendation\nBA Labs, in our capacity as Core Council Risk Advisor, recommends the following parameter changes to the Core Facilitators and include them in the next Atlas edit, modifying A.3.3.2.7.1.1.2 - Lite Peg Stability Module Parameter Values:\n\nbuf: Set to 800,000,000\nDC-IAM gap: Set to 800,000,000\n\nAtlas Authorization\nThe recommendation must be approved by the Core Facilitator.\nCC: @Jansky @ldr\n 1 post - 1 participant\n Read full topic",
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"caption": "South Korean consumer electronics titan LG Electronics is developing a proprietary blockchain network aimed at transforming the digital advertising placement and sales industry. The Onchain Shift According to a report published by Fortune on June 11, 2026, the initiative leverages a shared, onchain database of advertising inventory and verified customer interaction records. Fortune’s Jack Kubinec… <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https://defiance.media/?post_type=wprss_feed_item&p=299375\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Iran Tensions Flare and Cool as Bitcoin Reclaims $63K and Keeps Bulls Engaged</span></a>",
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"caption": "The utility token for the Web3 music and dance platform Audiera surged over 60%, reaching an all-time high of $9.34 and driving its market capitalization to $2.68 billion. BEAT Token Hits All-Time High Amid Market Surge On June 11, the utility token for Web3 music and dance platform Audiera surged over 60% to a new […]",
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"caption": "What do EFF staffers Sarah Chen, Javier Morales, Caitlin Chin, Emma Rodriguez, and Mikko Kopponen have in common? \nFor one thing, they don’t exist. \nFor another, all have been quoted as EFF experts in articles published in the past two months on a site called News-USA Today, which describes itself as “an independent news publisher focused on clear, accurate, and useful journalism.” \nUh… \n(Please don’t confuse this site with USA Today, in which real EFF experts are accurately quoted on a regular basis.) \nNews-USA Today is hardly the only slagheap that’s hallucinating or fabricating EFF personnel and quotes; as we wrote last September, media companies large and small are using AI to generate news content because it’s cheaper than paying for journalists’ salaries, but that savings can come at the cost of the outlets’ reputations— assuming they care about reputation at all. \nBut this many fake EFF sources in two months? That’s making a play for the championship title of bogus news content. \nNews-USA Today’s site proclaims, “Our goal is simple: give readers the facts and the context they need to make informed decisions.” It then defines its mission:\n\n“Deliver timely, factual reporting grounded in verifiable sources and public documents.”\n“Make complex topics understandable without losing nuance or accuracy.”\n“Serve the public interest by surfacing stories that affect lives, institutions, and communities.”\n“Maintain a clear separation between news, analysis, opinion, and sponsored content.” \n\nAttempts to reach contacts listed on the site went unanswered. In fact, after we reached out to them, they published a story on June 9 with quotes from Electronic Frontier Foundation Executive Director Jared Cohen — who also doesn’t exist. \nAs we noted last year, EFF is all about having our words spread far and wide. Per our copyright policy, any and all original material on the EFF website may be freely distributed at will under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY), unless otherwise noted. \nHowever, we don't want disreputable sites making up words (or false identities!) for us, whether or not they’re using AI. False quotations that misstate our positions damage the trust that the public and reputable media outlets have in us. \nThe best thing a news consumer can do is invest a little time and energy to learn how to discern the real from the fake. It’s unfortunate that it's the public’s burden to put in this much effort, but while we're adjusting to new tools and a new normal, a little effort now can go a long way. \nAs we’ve noted before in the context of election misinformation, the nonprofit journalism organization ProPublica has published a handy guide about how to tell if what you’re reading is accurate or “fake news,” as has FactCheck.org.",
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"caption": "Ethereum derivatives activity is flashing a fresh signal on Binance, where open interest measured in ETH terms has reached a new all-time high. The move comes as traders reassess Ethereum after a steep drawdown, even as macro and geopolitical uncertainty continue to suppress broader risk appetite. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said the market has become “increasingly difficult to interpret,” with investors and institutions operating against a backdrop of elevated uncertainty tied to tensions between the United States and Iran. That uncertainty is not happening in isolation. According to the analyst, deteriorating economic prospects have made large-scale capital deployment a riskier decision, naturally limiting the willingness of market participants to add exposure. Still, Ethereum futures are showing renewed signs of speculative demand. Binance Ethereum Open Interest Hits New High Darkfost said speculative activity has recently started to revive in derivatives, with Ethereum standing out. The analyst noted that ETH is currently trading roughly 67% below its previous all-time high and has moved into what he described as “an area of extreme oversold conditions” over the past few days. Related Reading: Three Wallets Withdraw $122M In Ethereum From FalconX And Kraken: Is Tom Lee Buying Again? That weakness appears to have drawn in traders looking to rebuild exposure after months of pressure. “Some traders have not overlooked this opportunity and have chosen to increase their exposure despite the risks,” Darkfost wrote. The result, according to the post, is a record level of Ethereum positioning on Binance. “As a result, Binance has just recorded a new all time high in Ethereum Open Interest (ETH value), with nearly 3.7 million ETH currently positioned in futures contracts on the platform,” the analyst said. The figure is notable because it measures positioning in ETH terms rather than only in dollar value. After a large price decline, dollar-denominated open interest can look subdued even when the number of ETH contracts being carried by traders is rising. In this case, the increase suggests that speculative exposure to Ethereum is growing despite the weaker spot price environment. Binance’s role in that activity has also expanded. Darkfost said the exchange’s share of total Ethereum open interest has risen above 44%, reinforcing its dominant position in the ETH derivatives market. Traders Shift After Months Of Seller Dominance The more important question is whether the record open interest reflects bottom-fishing, leveraged hedging, or a more durable change in market positioning. Darkfost’s post points to at least some improvement on the buy side. Related Reading: Ethereum OG Nails The Crash: Sells $188M, Buys Back Lower “Following Ethereum’s sharp devaluation, traders appear to be gradually returning to the buy side,” the analyst wrote. “On Binance, the weekly average Taker Buy/Sell Ratio has increased from 0.95 to 1.0, reflecting a rebalancing of flows after several months of seller dominance.” That move from 0.95 to 1.0 does not indicate aggressive upside chasing by itself. Rather, it suggests that flows have moved closer to balance after an extended period in which sellers had the upper hand. In futures markets, that shift can matter because open interest rising alongside improving taker flow often shows that traders are no longer only using derivatives to press downside momentum. The backdrop remains fragile, however. Higher open interest can amplify moves in either direction, especially when positioning builds during periods of macro stress. If the long side is indeed rebuilding, the market may become more sensitive to forced deleveraging if ETH fails to hold the levels attracting dip buyers. Darkfost framed the setup cautiously, noting that Ethereum sentiment has “deteriorated significantly in recent months.” Even so, the analyst said more investors now appear willing to take the risk of rebuilding exposure, “particularly on the long side,” after a prolonged stretch of dominant selling pressure across futures markets. At press time, ETH traded at $1,658. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
"headline": "Ethereum Futures Just Hit A Binance Record: Are Traders Calling The Bottom?",
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"caption": "TLDR\nBA Labs, acting on behalf of the Core Council, proposes the following parameter changes to the LITE-PSM-USDC-A:\n\n\nIncrease LITE-PSM-USDC-A buf from 400M to 800M\n\n\nIncrease LITE-PSM-USDC-A gap from 400M to 800M\n\n\nContext\nFor a complete overview of the technical scope of the LITE-PSM-USDC-A, refer to this forum post:\n\nLitePSM (LITE-PSM-USDC-A)\t: Introduction and Overview\n\nThe migration from PSM-USDC-A to the LITE-PSM-USDC-A has been thoroughly monitored through different analyses, refer to the following forum posts:\n\nLitePSM Migration Period Analyses\n\nThe previous parameter changes can be found in the following forum posts:\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 1 (Test Period): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 2 (Major Migration): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A Phase 3 (Final Migration): Proposed Parameters\n\n\nLITE-PSM-USDC-A has been live for ~23 months and has settled into the role of the dominant USDC ↔ DAI venue inside the Sky stablecoin system. The contract has processed 1,027,167 swap events since deployment, with current USDC reserves at 4.13 B against a buf of 400 M.\nThe last buf recalibration was performed on 2024-10-07 (phase 3), when reserves stood at ~1.98 B. Since then USDC reserves have more than doubled (+108%) while liquidity-buffer parameters have remained flat. Reserves first reached the ~4 B level in April 2025 and have hovered at or above it since, yet buf and gap have stayed at 400 M throughout making a recalibration overdue.\nThis post proposes a methodology to size buf and gap using on-chain history of swap sizes, daily flows, and reserve trajectory.\nOn buf and gap\nThe LitePSM holds two independent buckets, and the two swap directions draw on different ones:\n\nRefresh capacity\nA SellGem swap is served instantly from the pre-minted DAI bucket (buf). As that bucket depletes, the fill keeper mints fresh DAI to top it back up but minting is capped by the ilk’s debt ceiling (line), and the DC-IAM raises line by at most gap every ttl. With ttl = 12 h, the line can step up twice per day, so:\n\n\nRefresh capacity = 2 × gap per day: the rate at which the buffer can be replenished, i.e. the sustained daily SellGem throughput the PSM can support before it runs dry.\n\n\nSingle-day capacity = buf + 2 × gap: a single day, starting from a full buffer: the whole bucket plus that day’s two refills.\n\n\nAt the current buf = gap = 400 M, single-day capacity is 0.4 B + 0.8 B = 1.2 B; the heaviest observed SellGem day (1.75 B) exceeds it. At the proposed buf = gap = 800 M, single-day capacity rises to 0.8 B + 1.6 B = 2.4 B, clearing every day on record.\nEmpirical observations\nUSDC reserves trajectory\n\nThe buf/reserve ratio at the last intentional sizing decision (phase 3) was ~20 %. USDC reserve growth since then has eroded that ratio.\n\nSingle-swap distribution (SellGem)\nBecause only the SellGem direction is constrained by buf, the relevant tail is the largest SellGem swaps. Only 2 SellGem swaps in ~23 months have exceeded the current 400 M buf.\n\n\nDaily flow distribution\nLast-90-day distribution of daily one-way volumes:\n\n\nThe most stressful single SellGem day in the last 90 days drained ~1.75 B of DAI. With current gap = 400 M and ttl = 12 h, the line-refresh capacity is only 2 × gap = 800 M / day which is below even the P90 of recent daily SellGem volume, and far below the heaviest days.\nLargest single-day reserve drawdowns\nThe metric that gap must keep pace with is the largest single-day SellGem volume. The gross amount of pre-minted DAI withdrawn in a day, which fill must replenish:\n\n1.75 B (2026-05-18)\n1.60 B (2025-06-20)\n1.41 B (2025-10-21)\n1.41 B (2026-03-05)\n1.31 B (2026-01-13)\n\nAll five exceed the current 800 M / day refresh capacity (2 × gap at gap = 400 M). At the proposed gap = 800 M, refresh capacity rises to 1.6 B / day, and combined same-day serving capacity (buf + 2 × gap = 2.4 B) covers every day on record.\n\nMethodology\nWe anchor the new buf & gap to three independent sizing lenses and recommend the maximum, since each captures a different failure mode.\nThe different methodologies allow to keep continuity with prior governance reasoning (A), ensure the main UX promise of the LitePSM (gas-cheap pre-minted swaps) holds even on tail trades (B), and ensures the DC-IAM mechanism does not become the binding constraint on legitimate flow (C).\nMethod A - Reserve proportional\nReplicate the 20.2 % buf : reserve ratio that BA Labs implicitly endorsed at the phase-3 recalibration (the last time buf was set as a deliberate function of reserve, rather than left flat).\nbuf_A = 0.202 × target_reserve\nMethod B - Largest historical swap coverage\nSize buf so that the largest historically observed single swap, scaled into the new reserve regime, can be served from pre-minted USDS without on-the-fly minting. The largest SellGem on record (543 M) was 14.4 % of contemporaneous reserves.\nbuf_B = 0.144 × target_reserve\nMethod C - Daily flow throughput\nbuf and gap together must let the line refresh fast enough to absorb a heavy one-way day without throttling. With ttl = 12 h, daily refresh capacity = 2 × gap. We require this capacity to cover the recent distribution of max one-way daily volume (max(buy, sell) per day), scaled to the new reserve regime.\ngap_C ≥ (P_x_max_oneway × scale_factor) / 2\nwhere scale_factor = target_reserve / current_reserve. Using max-one-way rather than buy-only makes the test direction-agnostic: a heavy sell day stresses the system as much as a heavy buy day.\nResults\n\nRecommendation for 4 B reserve target\n\nProposed: buf = gap = 800 M, line = 10 B, ttl = 12 h\nRecommendation for 5 B reserve target\n\nProposed: buf = gap = 1B, line = 10 B, ttl = 12 h\nParameter Recommendation\nBA Labs, in our capacity as Core Council Risk Advisor, recommends the following parameter changes to the Core Facilitators and include them in the next Atlas edit, modifying A.3.3.2.7.1.1.2 - Lite Peg Stability Module Parameter Values:\n\nbuf: Set to 800,000,000\nDC-IAM gap: Set to 800,000,000\n\nAtlas Authorization\nThe recommendation must be approved by the Core Facilitator.\nCC: @Jansky @ldr\n 1 post - 1 participant\n Read full topic",
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"caption": "The GeForce NOW summer sale kicked off today with limited-time savings of up to $70 off a 12-month membership, making now the perfect time to upgrade to get the best of the cloud and see just how far Ultimate gaming can go. PC gamers are driven by one thing: the love of the game. But […]",
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"caption": "Bitcoin’s investor sentiment is in ruins, but buried inside the wreckage, a technical signal that has appeared only at the most consequential turning points in Bitcoin’s history has just fired again. This technical argument, which is built around Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index, is because the indicator has fallen to its lowest daily reading in four years, a level last seen near the 2022 bottom before BTC began its climb from $15,500 to $70,000. Bitcoin’s RSI Is Back In A Rare Bottom Zone The Relative Strength Index is among the most used momentum indicators, measuring the speed and magnitude of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions. At its lowest point during the recent selloff over the weekend, the daily RSI fell to as low as 21.8, and the reading is still around the mid-20s at the time of writing. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Gives Timeframe For When The Bitcoin Price Will Hit $200,000 That places this reading among the lowest on record for the daily timeframe, and that is why a crypto analyst that goes by the name Crypto Tice on the social media platform believes the Bitcoin price action may be looking at something much bigger than a normal oversold bounce. As shown in the chart below, the red and orange zones line up with some of Bitcoin’s most painful periods, including the 2011 bottom, the 2015 bear-market low, the 2018-2019 correction, the 2022 collapse, and now the 2026 slow correction. In each case, the bottom appeared when the Bitcoin price had already endured a major decline, and that is the same setup happening right now. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoTice_ On X Why A 200% Target Is Possible For Bitcoin Bitcoin fell below $60,000 for the first time since 2024 and is currently down by about 50% from its October 2025 peak above $126,000. The leading cryptocurrency is now trading between $61,000 and $63,000. Interestingly, the main comparison of where Bitcoin goes from here is the 2022 bottom. Back then, Bitcoin’s RSI reached deeply oversold levels as the price collapsed to around $15,500, but the low eventually became the base for a rally to $70,000 in 2024. That move represented a gain of more than 350% from the cycle bottom, and it eventually rolled on to its all-time high in October 2025. Related Reading: Dogecoin Is One Step Away From The Same Pattern That Triggered 2021’s 29,000% Rally, What Next? If Bitcoin were to form a similar bottom around the current $60,000 zone, a 200% rally would place the price at a target of $180,000. A move matching the full 2022-to-2024 recovery would imply even higher levels above $200,000. The present market also has a different background from 2022. Bitcoin now has spot ETFs, deeper institutional involvement, and large corporate holders that are influencing sentiment. Speaking of ETFs, Spot Bitcoin ETFs have resumed their streak of outflows, which complicates any bottom prediction right now. The technical signal from the RSI is strong, but the Bitcoin price needs demand to turn the signal into a sustained rally. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Morgan Stanley’s head of digital asset strategy, Amy Oldenberg, said Bitcoin reaching $1 million is possible over time, while cautioning that a move of that scale would likely require either a long adoption cycle or a major dislocation in traditional markets. Speaking with Natalie Brunell on Coin Stories, Oldenberg framed the next phase of Bitcoin adoption less as a sudden “J curve” and more as a gradual institutional buildout, led by product access, adviser education, custody infrastructure and client demand. Her comments come as Morgan Stanley continues expanding its digital asset footprint through its spot ETF, wealth management and e*Trade presence. Morgan Stanley Exec Sees Bitcoin Grinding Higher Oldenberg avoided making a direct price target, but she did address the idea of Bitcoin eventually reaching seven figures. “I don’t see why we couldn’t,” she said, referring to a $1 million Bitcoin. “Of everything I’ve seen in my life I will believe anything that it’s possible.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Signal Flashes As $12B Leaves The Network Still, she pushed back against the idea that such a move should be expected quickly or without broader consequences. “Anything that extreme needs to happen over time,” Oldenberg said. “Because if something happens that’s that extreme in my mind it means there was some other extreme event that happened.” That distinction shaped much of her broader outlook. Asked what Bitcoin adoption might look like five or ten years from now, Oldenberg said she expects continued growth through 2030, but not necessarily a vertical repricing. “I don’t think you’re going to see just some incredible J curve that like we hit 2027 and it just totally takes off. I think it’ll be very similar to what we’ve lived through already where you’ve just continued to see more entrants, they get educated, they figure it out, we move up, and we kind of grind higher here.” Her comments reflect the tension now defining institutional Bitcoin: more access, more credibility and more infrastructure, but still a market that has not fully decoupled from risk-asset behavior. Oldenberg noted that Bitcoin continues to confuse some clients because it is often pitched as a real asset or neutral reserve asset, yet has not always traded like gold during periods of macro stress. Adviser Education Remains A Bottleneck Morgan Stanley’s own model portfolio guidance remains measured. Oldenberg said the firm has recommended BTC allocations of 0% to 2% in some portfolios and 2% to 4% in more aggressive ones, depending on the client’s risk profile. But she said adviser adoption continues to lag client interest, largely because the product set and the asset itself still require education. The firm’s recently launched Bitcoin ETP, MSBT, had what Oldenberg described as the best first-day ETF debut in Morgan Stanley’s history. She said the product was designed to bring an institutional construct to the market, launching with a 14 basis point management fee and a custody setup involving Coinbase and BNY. The aim, she said, was to push more traditional financial infrastructure into Bitcoin products rather than simply replicate existing offerings. Related Reading: Bitcoin Back At Production Cost: Analyst Says Best Value Zone Starts Here Oldenberg also highlighted the distinction between owning Bitcoin directly and holding shares of a Bitcoin ETF, a point she said still requires education. “I love the people that tell me like I have exposure to Bitcoin so if something goes wrong, you know, I have Bitcoin,” she said. “I’m like no you don’t have Bitcoin. You have shares of a Bitcoin ETF that offer you price exposure to Bitcoin.” That distinction matters as Morgan Stanley begins offering more services around Bitcoin exposure. Oldenberg said clients who move Bitcoin exposure into an ETP on the wealth platform may be treated as wealth clients and, depending on the size of their holdings, can potentially access lending against the position. She cited a “release rate of 50%” on the Bitcoin ETF, meaning the firm can lend up to half the value of the product. Banks Still Need Better Regulatory Treatment Oldenberg said banks are not avoiding Bitcoin because of hostility toward the asset, but because capital treatment, regulatory obligations and balance sheet efficiency still determine how they allocate resources. For banks to hold Bitcoin directly or use it more broadly as collateral, she said the environment must become more supportive. She also warned that crypto assets are too often grouped together despite serving different purposes. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP, she said, should not be treated as interchangeable simply because they sit under the same “crypto” label. At press time, BTC traded at $62,825. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "The Ethereum price decline seems to have opened up the opportunity for fast accumulation among investors over the last week. This comes as data shows a significant amount of the cryptocurrency actually being moved out of the wallets of centralized exchanges. Historically, a move like this has pointed to investor buying rather than selling, suggesting that investors are taking advantage of the red month of June to actually fill up their bags. The Numbers Say Ethereum Investors Are Choosing To Buy Recent data from CryptoQuant, an on-chain data aggregator, shows that Ethereum investors are moving into accumulation mode for the month of June. This comes as the cryptocurrency started out the month with hundreds of thousands of ETH being moved out of centralized exchanges and presumably to private wallets. Related Reading: Dogecoin Will ‘Pump Hard’ After This Happens, Analyst Clocks Generational Entry The data shows that Ethereum had started out the month of June with 3.87 million ETH. However, just one week into the new month, there had been over 475,000 ETH withdrawn from centralized exchange wallets. This move was not only felt on one crypto exchange, but with notable declines coming in from major exchanges. The top losers included the likes of Binance, Bitfinex, OKX, and Gemini exchange, all recording major outflows during this time. This move also comes as the Ethereum price has declined below the $2,000 support, suggesting that investors are looking at these prices as low levels to get into the cryptocurrency. Buying ETH In A Red Month The month of June has historically been a red month for the Ethereum price, so the argument could be made that investors are using this opportunity to load up on the cryptocurrency. In its decade in the market, the ETH price has only closed June in the green a total of three times, data from the CryptoQuant website shows. Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Crash Ended Or Is This Just The Beginning? Analyst Answers All of the other years have seen the digital asset end the month of June with varying degrees of losses. This brought the average return for the month for Ethereum to -7.59%, second only to September’s average of -10.2%. The median returns come out to -8.64% for June and -12.7% for September. This means that June is the second-worst-performing month for the Ethereum price. Keeping in line with historical performance, the ETH price is already down by over 16% at the time of this writing, suggesting that it could lead to another red close for the digital asset. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "On-chain data reveals Cardano has observed increased transactions involving dormant coins recently, suggesting that the price decline has caused long-term holders to become active again. Cardano Has Seen Spikes In Age Consumed Recently As pointed out by on-chain analytics firm Santiment in an X post, large dormant Cardano wallets have lately been on the move. The indicator of relevance here is the “Age Consumed,” which measures the total number of tokens being moved on the blockchain multiplied by the amount of time since they last moved. Related Reading: Bitcoin Back At Production Cost: Analyst Says Best Value Zone Starts Here When the value of this metric is high, it means the network is observing the movement of a large number of old tokens. On the other hand, it being low suggests coins being involved in a transaction are the ones that were purchased relatively recently (or alternatively, if old tokens are being shifted, they don’t involve a significant count). Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Age Consumed for Cardano over the past month: As displayed in the above graph, the Cardano Age Consumed stayed at relatively low levels during May, but the price plunge in June has been accompanied by a few spikes in the indicator. Interestingly, the spikes only started halfway through the drawdown, meaning that they likely came as a reaction to the bearish action, rather than something that kicked off the decline itself. These spikes naturally imply that some long-term holders have decided to become active again. This could reflect panic selling from resolute hands, or it may correspond to activity of some other kind; the exact intent is hard to gauge from the Age Consumed metric alone. In the chart, Santiment has also attached the data of another indicator called the Mean Dollar Invested Age. This indicator calculates the age of the average dollar invested in the cryptocurrency. As is visible in the graph, the Mean Dollar Invested Age rose steadily through May, implying that the market cap of Cardano was consistently getting older. As the recent spikes in the Age Consumed have appeared, however, the metric’s trajectory has been disturbed. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC While there hasn’t been an outright reversal in course, the Mean Dollar Invested Age has still witnessed a slowdown in growth, indicating that the movement of dormant coins has been significant enough to have an impact. A particularly strong pause in the indicator came alongside June 9th’s Age Consumed spike, which was the largest one on the Cardano network since April. “Historically, clusters of Age Consumed spikes paired with a pause (or downturn) in Mean Dollar Invested Age have often appeared around key market turning points,” explained the analytics firm. ADA Price At the time of writing, Cardano is trading around $0.16, down more than 26% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "On-chain data shows the Bitcoin PnL Index is currently in a transition phase that has historically led into bottoms, but not immediately. Bitcoin PnL Index Has Been Going Down Recently In a new post on X, community analyst Maartunn has talked the latest trend in the Bitcoin PnL Index, which combines the data of a few key on-chain metrics into one to produce a single valuation indicator for BTC. Related Reading: Dormant Cardano Whales Suddenly Come Alive: Is A Turning Point Near? The metrics include the MVRV Ratio, NUPL, and LTH/STH SOPR. The former two deal with unrealized investor gains/losses while the last one is related to the gains/losses that holders are realizing through their transactions. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 365-day moving average (MA) of the Bitcoin PnL Index over the history of the cryptocurrency: As displayed in the above graph, the 365-day MA of the Bitcoin PnL Index has been following a consistent downtrend since Q4 2025, reflecting the bearish market shift. So far, the indicator hasn’t left the positive territory, which suggests that, at least from the perspective of the metric, the cryptocurrency hasn’t yet become “undervalued.” In the chart, it’s visible that historical bear market bottoms have generally occurred as the PnL Index has dropped into the red zone. Given this, it’s possible that a similar trend will play out in this cycle as well. Though, something to keep in mind is that the current cycle has already differed from the previous ones in the bull market phase. Past cycles observed a single main peak in the PnL Index coinciding with the market top. This cycle, however, witnessed the formation of two similarly sized peaks occurring alongside the Q1 and Q4 2025 tops. As such, it now remains to be seen how the indicator’s trajectory will look by the time this bear market has played out and whether it will be anything like that seen in the previous cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Back At Production Cost: Analyst Says Best Value Zone Starts Here In some other news, the recent bearish price action has meant that the Bitcoin short-term holder (STH) whales have fallen into a deep state of loss, as highlighted by the analyst in another X post. The STH whales refer to the BTC investors carrying at least 1,000 tokens in their wallet who bought into the cryptocurrency within the past 155 days. Below is a chart that shows how the net profit/loss held by these humongous investors is looking right now. “Short-Term Holder Whales are now sitting on -$16.4B in unrealized P&L, the deepest level of stress seen in this cycle,” noted Maartunn. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $61,700, down over 6% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "GitHub has announced what it said are \"breaking changes\" coming to npm version 12, one of which turns off install scripts by default to combat software supply chain threats.\n\nThe changes aim to combat attack techniques that abuse the \"npm install\" command to trigger the execution of malicious code using npm lifecycle hooks. \"Npm install\" is used to download and install all the necessary",
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"caption": "Ethereum price started a downside correction below $1,665. ETH must clear the $1,650 and $1,720 resistance levels to continue higher. Ethereum started a downside correction below the $1,650 zone. The price is trading below $1,650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1,640 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $1,720 zone. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price failed to stay above the $1,680 zone and extended its decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move below the $1,665 and $1,650 levels. The price even tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,505 swing low to the $1,720 swing high. However, the bulls were active near the $1,610 level. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1,640 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,610, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,650 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,665 level. The next major resistance is near the $1,680 level. A clear move above the $1,680 resistance might send the price toward the $1,720 resistance. An upside break above the $1,720 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,780 resistance zone or even $1,800 in the near term. Downside Continuation In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,650 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,610 level. The first major support sits near the $1,590 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,505 swing low to the $1,720 swing high. A clear move below the $1,590 support might push the price toward the $1,550 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,520 region. The main support could be $1,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,610 Major Resistance Level – $1,665",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is struggling below $62,000 as selling pressure and fear continue to define the market environment. The uncertainty is real — but top analyst Woominkyu has published an on-chain analysis that reveals what was actually happening during the most intense phase of the decline. And the picture it paints looks considerably different from the panic narrative that dominated market commentary at the time. Related Reading: XRP Leverage Flush Hits Bybit While Binance Holds The Line – Analyst Explains Rare Setup The on-chain data tells a story in two distinct acts. The first act was the trigger. On June 2 and 3, older dormant wallets moved massive supply to exchanges — the Inflow Coin Days Destroyed metric peaked at 2.16 million, reflecting coins that had been held for extended periods suddenly being moved toward the sell side simultaneously. That supply shock forced the price down from $71,000, creating the conditions for the breakdown that followed. The second act is where the data becomes most analytically significant. At the $60,000 to $61,000 bottom, the Exchange Whale Ratio surged to 61.6%. Confirming that the largest market participants completely dominated buy-side activity during the most fearful period of the decline. While retail participants were panicking and selling into weakness, whales were executing an aggressive and systematic accumulation campaign at the exact prices that fear had created. The divergence between what retail did and what smart money did at $60,000 is the signal Woominkyu’s analysis is built around. 11,422 BTC Swept Off Exchanges in 5 Days The supply drain that followed the whale accumulation completes the picture that Woominkyu’s analysis assembles. Over the five days following the $60,000 to $61,000 bottom, whales withdrew 11,422 BTC — approximately $700 million — off exchanges and into cold storage. The Exchange Netflow turned deeply negative as the coins absorbed during the panic phase were immediately moved away from the venues where they could be resold. Bitcoin price vs. Exchange Whale Ratio | Source: Woominkyu on CryptoQuant The behavioral sequence is precise and deliberate. Whales bought aggressively at the bottom using the panic selling that retail participants generated. Then they withdrew those coins from exchanges entirely — removing them from the immediately available sell-side supply and placing them in cold storage where they cannot re-enter the market quickly. The result is a liquid supply drain of significant scale. Over $700 million worth of Bitcoin that was briefly available on exchanges during the most fearful period of the decline has been swept into long-term custody in less than a week. The order book is thinner than it was before the drop. The supply that retail sold into the bottom is now held by participants who have demonstrated through their behavior that they have no intention of selling it back at current prices. Woominkyu’s verdict follows directly from the sequence. The wealth transfer from weak hands to strong hands is complete. The $60,000 to $61,000 range has been validated as a genuine institutional accumulation zone — defended at scale, absorbed systematically, and immediately removed from liquid circulation. That behavioral fingerprint establishes the floor from which the next leg higher becomes structurally possible. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes One Of Its Rarest Demand Signals In Six Years – Details Bitcoin Clings To February Support Bitcoin remains under significant pressure on the daily timeframe. The price is trading near $61,400 after suffering one of its sharpest declines of 2026. The chart shows a decisive breakdown below the critical $64,000–$66,000 support zone that had previously acted as a floor during the February-March consolidation. Once that area failed, sellers quickly pushed BTC into the lower end of its broader range, triggering a rapid move toward the psychologically important $60,000 level. Bitcoin trading below key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView The current structure is technically fragile. Bitcoin is trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with all three trending downward. This alignment confirms that bearish momentum remains dominant across short-, medium-, and long-term timeframes. Notably, the recent recovery attempt from the $60,000 area has been relatively weak. Producing only a modest bounce despite elevated trading volume during the selloff. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes One Of Its Rarest Demand Signals In Six Years – Details From a market structure perspective, the most important observation is that Bitcoin is now revisiting the same support zone that produced the February low. That area between roughly $60,000 and $62,000 has become the last major defense line preventing a deeper retracement. A sustained hold above this region could allow price to stabilize and potentially build a base. A decisive breakdown would leave little historical support until significantly lower levels. Increasing the risk of another volatility expansion phase. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is showing renewed signs of on-chain capitulation, according to Axel Adler Jr.’s latest Adler AM Bitcoin Morning Brief, as realized capitalization contracts and loss-taking sales dominate market activity. The setup matters because two independent measures: Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change and adjusted SOPR are now pointing to the same stress regime. In the June 10 brief, Adler said Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has declined by roughly $12 billion from its mid-May peak, falling from about $1.087 trillion to $1.075 trillion. The 30-day percentage change in Realized Cap has dropped to -1.1%, marking the first time since mid-March that capital outflows have reached that level. “Capital is leaving the Bitcoin network, and participant behavior confirms a capitulation regime – sales are being made at a loss,” Adler wrote. “This brief examines how close the current stress is to the March extremes and what needs to happen for the regime to change.” Bitcoin Realized Cap Outflows Accelerate Realized Cap measures the aggregate value of Bitcoin based on the price at which each coin last moved, making it a useful proxy for whether capital is entering or leaving the network. In Adler’s framework, the recent move is not just a mild deterioration. The pace of contraction has accelerated sharply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC As recently as June 1, the Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change stood at -0.15%. By June 8, it had fallen to -1.1%. Over the same period, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $82,000 to $63,000, a 23% decline. Adler compared the current setup with the March capitulation phase, when the same Realized Cap measure fell as low as -2.4%. That leaves room for further stress if outflows continue to deepen, though the current reading is already severe enough to place the market back into a pronounced negative regime. “The current pace of outflows is already comparable to the beginning of the March capitulation, when the indicator reached -2.4%,” the brief noted. “That means there is still room for further deterioration. The first positive signal would be stabilization in the 30D Change near zero, followed by a turn upward.” Loss-Taking Sales Confirm The Stress The second major signal comes from adjusted SOPR, or aSOPR, which tracks whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or a loss. A reading above 1 indicates profit-taking. A reading below 1 indicates loss realization. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s aSOPR SMA-30 broke below the critical 1.0 threshold on May 28 and has remained below it for 13 consecutive days. The current reading of 0.987 implies that, on average, each coin moved is being sold at a loss of about 1.3%. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Discount? Coinbase Exec Says Institutions And Govts Are Buying That makes the current decline more than a price correction in Adler’s reading. The structure of selling has shifted. Market participants are not merely distributing gains; they are realizing losses into weakness. “A prolonged period with aSOPR below 1 is a classic marker of weak hands being flushed out,” Adler wrote. “Until aSOPR turns upward and begins to retest 1.0, sellers remain in control.” The significance lies in the alignment between both indicators. Realized Cap shows the macro-level capital drain, while aSOPR explains the internal mechanics of that drain. In Adler’s words, “Both charts describe the same process from different angles. Realized Cap captures the macro picture – capital is leaving the network. aSOPR shows the internal mechanics of that move – the outflow is being driven not by profit-taking, but by forced selling at a loss.” Adler’s brief identifies a clear condition for a regime change: aSOPR needs to reverse upward and reclaim 1.0, while Realized Cap outflows need to stabilize and move back toward zero. Without those two signals, the market remains in what he describes as a capitulationary regime. The risk is that the current outflow cycle intensifies toward the March extreme near -2.4%. Such a move would imply a second wave of capitulation and could keep pressure on Bitcoin’s price. At press time, BTC traded at $61,828. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "The UAE-based investment group ASK Group and U.S. blockchain company Keeta have partnered to launch a public exchange where physical assets will be traded as fractional digital tokens. Gulf Commodities to Go Digital A United Arab Emirates investment group and Keeta, a U.S. blockchain company backed by tech billionaire Eric Schmidt, have launched a joint […]",
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"caption": "On June 11, 2026, Coinbase-backed Stand With Crypto UK mobilized 286,000 members to file formal complaints over blanket crypto transfer restrictions, intensifying regulatory pressure. (Read More)",
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"caption": "XRP price started a downside correction below the $1.150 zone. The price is now showing bearish signs and might decline further below $1.080. XRP price started a downside correction after it failed to stay above the $1.1550 zone. The price is now trading below $1.1350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.120 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.1350. XRP Price Turns Red XRP price struggled to stay above $1.1550 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.150 and $1.1420 levels. The price even traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.050 swing low to the $1.1862 high. However, the bulls are currently protecting the $1.10 support zone. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.120 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading below $1.1350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.120 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.1350 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.1420. A clear move above the $1.1420 resistance might send the price toward the $1.1550 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.1650 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.1840. Downside Continuation? If XRP fails to clear the $1.1350 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.10 level. The next major support is near the $1.080 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.050 swing low to the $1.1862 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.080 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.0650. The next major support sits near the $1.050 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.020. Any more losses might call for a test of $1.00. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.1000 and $1.080. Major Resistance Levels – $1.1200 and $1.1350.",
"headline": "XRP Price Troubles Aren’t Over Yet As Downside Risks Mount",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is showing renewed signs of on-chain capitulation, according to Axel Adler Jr.’s latest Adler AM Bitcoin Morning Brief, as realized capitalization contracts and loss-taking sales dominate market activity. The setup matters because two independent measures: Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change and adjusted SOPR are now pointing to the same stress regime. In the June 10 brief, Adler said Bitcoin’s Realized Cap has declined by roughly $12 billion from its mid-May peak, falling from about $1.087 trillion to $1.075 trillion. The 30-day percentage change in Realized Cap has dropped to -1.1%, marking the first time since mid-March that capital outflows have reached that level. “Capital is leaving the Bitcoin network, and participant behavior confirms a capitulation regime – sales are being made at a loss,” Adler wrote. “This brief examines how close the current stress is to the March extremes and what needs to happen for the regime to change.” Bitcoin Realized Cap Outflows Accelerate Realized Cap measures the aggregate value of Bitcoin based on the price at which each coin last moved, making it a useful proxy for whether capital is entering or leaving the network. In Adler’s framework, the recent move is not just a mild deterioration. The pace of contraction has accelerated sharply. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC As recently as June 1, the Realized Cap Net Position 30D Change stood at -0.15%. By June 8, it had fallen to -1.1%. Over the same period, Bitcoin’s price dropped from $82,000 to $63,000, a 23% decline. Adler compared the current setup with the March capitulation phase, when the same Realized Cap measure fell as low as -2.4%. That leaves room for further stress if outflows continue to deepen, though the current reading is already severe enough to place the market back into a pronounced negative regime. “The current pace of outflows is already comparable to the beginning of the March capitulation, when the indicator reached -2.4%,” the brief noted. “That means there is still room for further deterioration. The first positive signal would be stabilization in the 30D Change near zero, followed by a turn upward.” Loss-Taking Sales Confirm The Stress The second major signal comes from adjusted SOPR, or aSOPR, which tracks whether coins moved on-chain are being sold at a profit or a loss. A reading above 1 indicates profit-taking. A reading below 1 indicates loss realization. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s aSOPR SMA-30 broke below the critical 1.0 threshold on May 28 and has remained below it for 13 consecutive days. The current reading of 0.987 implies that, on average, each coin moved is being sold at a loss of about 1.3%. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Discount? Coinbase Exec Says Institutions And Govts Are Buying That makes the current decline more than a price correction in Adler’s reading. The structure of selling has shifted. Market participants are not merely distributing gains; they are realizing losses into weakness. “A prolonged period with aSOPR below 1 is a classic marker of weak hands being flushed out,” Adler wrote. “Until aSOPR turns upward and begins to retest 1.0, sellers remain in control.” The significance lies in the alignment between both indicators. Realized Cap shows the macro-level capital drain, while aSOPR explains the internal mechanics of that drain. In Adler’s words, “Both charts describe the same process from different angles. Realized Cap captures the macro picture – capital is leaving the network. aSOPR shows the internal mechanics of that move – the outflow is being driven not by profit-taking, but by forced selling at a loss.” Adler’s brief identifies a clear condition for a regime change: aSOPR needs to reverse upward and reclaim 1.0, while Realized Cap outflows need to stabilize and move back toward zero. Without those two signals, the market remains in what he describes as a capitulationary regime. The risk is that the current outflow cycle intensifies toward the March extreme near -2.4%. Such a move would imply a second wave of capitulation and could keep pressure on Bitcoin’s price. At press time, BTC traded at $61,828. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is struggling below $62,000 as selling pressure and fear continue to define the market environment. The uncertainty is real — but top analyst Woominkyu has published an on-chain analysis that reveals what was actually happening during the most intense phase of the decline. And the picture it paints looks considerably different from the panic narrative that dominated market commentary at the time. Related Reading: XRP Leverage Flush Hits Bybit While Binance Holds The Line – Analyst Explains Rare Setup The on-chain data tells a story in two distinct acts. The first act was the trigger. On June 2 and 3, older dormant wallets moved massive supply to exchanges — the Inflow Coin Days Destroyed metric peaked at 2.16 million, reflecting coins that had been held for extended periods suddenly being moved toward the sell side simultaneously. That supply shock forced the price down from $71,000, creating the conditions for the breakdown that followed. The second act is where the data becomes most analytically significant. At the $60,000 to $61,000 bottom, the Exchange Whale Ratio surged to 61.6%. Confirming that the largest market participants completely dominated buy-side activity during the most fearful period of the decline. While retail participants were panicking and selling into weakness, whales were executing an aggressive and systematic accumulation campaign at the exact prices that fear had created. The divergence between what retail did and what smart money did at $60,000 is the signal Woominkyu’s analysis is built around. 11,422 BTC Swept Off Exchanges in 5 Days The supply drain that followed the whale accumulation completes the picture that Woominkyu’s analysis assembles. Over the five days following the $60,000 to $61,000 bottom, whales withdrew 11,422 BTC — approximately $700 million — off exchanges and into cold storage. The Exchange Netflow turned deeply negative as the coins absorbed during the panic phase were immediately moved away from the venues where they could be resold. Bitcoin price vs. Exchange Whale Ratio | Source: Woominkyu on CryptoQuant The behavioral sequence is precise and deliberate. Whales bought aggressively at the bottom using the panic selling that retail participants generated. Then they withdrew those coins from exchanges entirely — removing them from the immediately available sell-side supply and placing them in cold storage where they cannot re-enter the market quickly. The result is a liquid supply drain of significant scale. Over $700 million worth of Bitcoin that was briefly available on exchanges during the most fearful period of the decline has been swept into long-term custody in less than a week. The order book is thinner than it was before the drop. The supply that retail sold into the bottom is now held by participants who have demonstrated through their behavior that they have no intention of selling it back at current prices. Woominkyu’s verdict follows directly from the sequence. The wealth transfer from weak hands to strong hands is complete. The $60,000 to $61,000 range has been validated as a genuine institutional accumulation zone — defended at scale, absorbed systematically, and immediately removed from liquid circulation. That behavioral fingerprint establishes the floor from which the next leg higher becomes structurally possible. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes One Of Its Rarest Demand Signals In Six Years – Details Bitcoin Clings To February Support Bitcoin remains under significant pressure on the daily timeframe. The price is trading near $61,400 after suffering one of its sharpest declines of 2026. The chart shows a decisive breakdown below the critical $64,000–$66,000 support zone that had previously acted as a floor during the February-March consolidation. Once that area failed, sellers quickly pushed BTC into the lower end of its broader range, triggering a rapid move toward the psychologically important $60,000 level. Bitcoin trading below key level | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView The current structure is technically fragile. Bitcoin is trading below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with all three trending downward. This alignment confirms that bearish momentum remains dominant across short-, medium-, and long-term timeframes. Notably, the recent recovery attempt from the $60,000 area has been relatively weak. Producing only a modest bounce despite elevated trading volume during the selloff. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes One Of Its Rarest Demand Signals In Six Years – Details From a market structure perspective, the most important observation is that Bitcoin is now revisiting the same support zone that produced the February low. That area between roughly $60,000 and $62,000 has become the last major defense line preventing a deeper retracement. A sustained hold above this region could allow price to stabilize and potentially build a base. A decisive breakdown would leave little historical support until significantly lower levels. Increasing the risk of another volatility expansion phase. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Ethereum price started a downside correction below $1,665. ETH must clear the $1,650 and $1,720 resistance levels to continue higher. Ethereum started a downside correction below the $1,650 zone. The price is trading below $1,650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1,640 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $1,720 zone. Ethereum Price Holds Support Ethereum price failed to stay above the $1,680 zone and extended its decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained pace for a move below the $1,665 and $1,650 levels. The price even tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,505 swing low to the $1,720 swing high. However, the bulls were active near the $1,610 level. Besides, there is a declining channel forming with resistance at $1,640 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,650 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $1,610, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $1,650 level. The first key resistance is near the $1,665 level. The next major resistance is near the $1,680 level. A clear move above the $1,680 resistance might send the price toward the $1,720 resistance. An upside break above the $1,720 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,780 resistance zone or even $1,800 in the near term. Downside Continuation In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,650 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,610 level. The first major support sits near the $1,590 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,505 swing low to the $1,720 swing high. A clear move below the $1,590 support might push the price toward the $1,550 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,520 region. The main support could be $1,500. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,610 Major Resistance Level – $1,665",
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"caption": "A crypto hacker who drained $26 million from Ethereum-based protocol Truebit in January had likely practiced the technique on smaller targets first, according to blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Rally Has A Problem: Demand Is Drying Up A Contract Left Exposed For Years The Truebit exploit was the largest of four incidents Chainalysis identified in a new report covering the past six months. Together, those attacks — targeting Truebit, Trusted Volumes, Aperture Finance, and Ekubo — account for roughly $37 million in losses, all traced back to contracts whose source code had never been publicly verified on blockchain explorers. The Truebit contract had been sitting on Ethereum since 2021. It was compiled using Solidity v0.5.3, a version released before automatic overflow protections became standard. An attacker found an integer overflow flaw inside its bonding curve mechanism and used it to mint large quantities of tokens at minimal cost before converting them to ETH. Why Closed Code Creates Open Risk Verified contracts get reviewed. Bug bounty hunters read them. Independent researchers flag problems before attackers do. Unverified contracts get none of that scrutiny, and many bug bounty programs specifically exclude them from coverage — meaning vulnerabilities can sit untouched for years while millions of dollars flow through the affected code. That gap is what Chainalysis says attackers are now exploiting. Each of the four compromised contracts lacked publicly available source code. Attackers worked instead from decompiled bytecode, converting raw on-chain code into readable output using tools like Dedaub, Heimdall, and Panoramix. Once decompiled, the code can be fed into AI systems capable of spotting reentrancy flaws, arithmetic errors, and access-control weaknesses at a scale no human reviewer could match. The $36.7 million figure is a fraction of total DeFi losses during the same period — Chainalysis puts the broader six-month theft total above $1 billion. But the firm argues the unverified contract problem could grow as automated analysis tools become cheaper and easier to use, allowing attackers to scan large numbers of dormant contracts and rank them by exploitability. The Vulnerabilities Varied, But The Pattern Did Not Across the four incidents, the specific bugs differed. Reports indicate weaknesses ranged from integer overflow and access-control failures to input-validation errors and identity verification flaws. Related Reading: A 400 Billion Shiba Inu Surprise: Whale Wallet Springs Back To Life What they shared was the same protection gap: no public source code, no external review, and no real-time monitoring in place to catch abnormal activity before the funds were gone. Chainalysis is recommending that protocols treat source-code verification as a baseline requirement for any contract holding user assets. The firm also says audits and bug bounty coverage should extend to implementation contracts sitting behind proxy structures — components that often go unreviewed even when the front-facing contract is verified. Featured image from CybersecAsia, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Tim Draper argued bitcoin faces less quantum risk than banks, comparing its security to Fort Knox. His comments shifted attention from blockchain vulnerabilities to legacy financial systems, as debate grows over quantum computing’s threat to modern cryptography. Tim Draper Revives Bitcoin Security Thesis as Quantum Fears Shift Toward Banks Venture capitalist and longtime bitcoin investor […]",
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"caption": "Ethereum is struggling below $1,700 as the market faces a combination of apathy and uncertainty that has made sustained directional movement difficult to produce in either direction. The price is grinding — not breaking down aggressively but equally failing to generate the momentum needed to reclaim higher levels — and data from Arkham Intelligence has identified a cluster of large institutional withdrawals that adds a structural layer to the current setup worth examining carefully. Related Reading: XRP Leverage Flush Hits Bybit While Binance Holds The Line – Analyst Explains Rare Setup Three whale addresses — two of them freshly created wallets with no prior transaction history — have withdrawn a combined $122.29 million in Ethereum from FalconX and Kraken. The scale of the withdrawal is significant. The venue combination is notable. FalconX is a regulated institutional prime brokerage serving some of the most sophisticated participants in digital asset markets, while Kraken is one of the most established and most scrutinized exchanges in the ecosystem. Ethereum Whale Transfers | Source: Arkham The creation of fresh wallets for withdrawals of this scale is the behavioral detail that carries the most analytical weight. Institutional participants creating new addresses specifically for large withdrawals typically do so to maintain operational security, separate treasury positions from trading activity, or establish dedicated holding infrastructure for assets intended for long-term custody rather than near-term trading. $122 million in Ethereum leaving institutional venues and moving into freshly created wallets during a period of market apathy does not describe participants preparing to sell. It describes participants who have made a decision about Ethereum at current prices — and have created the infrastructure to hold that decision for an extended period. Down 9 Million and Still Withdrawing The Arkham data adds a layer that transforms the withdrawal from a routine institutional movement into a statement about conviction under pressure. One of the addresses involved in the current withdrawal cluster previously purchased Ethereum and is currently sitting on an unrealized loss of approximately $9.1 million on that position. The market has moved against the trade — and the response is not to reduce exposure or exit at a smaller loss. The response is to withdraw more ETH from exchanges into custody. Ethereum Whale position | Source: Arkham Arkham has raised the question of whether the address is connected to Tom Lee — and the behavioral profile is consistent with what Bitmine has been executing publicly. The company has been systematically building toward a 5% Ethereum supply target, currently holding approximately $9.32 billion worth of ETH at 4.59% of circulating supply, with approximately $819.86 million in additional purchases still required to reach that threshold. A participant sitting on a $9.1 million unrealized loss who responds by withdrawing more ETH from institutional venues rather than cutting the position is expressing the same long-term thesis that Bitmine’s entire treasury strategy represents. The loss is present and acknowledged. The direction of the next action is unchanged. For Ethereum below $1,700 under market apathy, that behavioral pattern — institutional-scale participants absorbing unrealized losses and continuing to accumulate rather than capitulating — is the structural signal that the price chart is not yet reflecting but that the on-chain data is documenting in real time. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes One Of Its Rarest Demand Signals In Six Years – Details Ethereum Breaks Below February Support As Bears Extend Control Ethereum remains under heavy selling pressure after decisively breaking below the February support zone near $1,800-$1,900, a level that had previously served as the foundation for multiple recovery attempts throughout 2026. The breakdown has fundamentally altered the market structure, with ETH now trading near $1,620 after briefly plunging toward the $1,500 region. More importantly, the recent rebound has been weak and unable to reclaim any meaningful resistance, highlighting the absence of aggressive buyers despite growing institutional accumulation narratives. Ethereum testing critical demand | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView From a technical perspective, the chart shows a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the May peak around $2,400. The failure at that resistance zone marked the completion of a distribution range that ultimately resolved to the downside. Once ETH lost the $1,850 support area, selling accelerated sharply, producing a high-volume breakdown that pushed price well below all major moving averages. Related Reading: XRP Just Printed A Rare Binance Signal As Market Volatility Accelerates The 50-day and 100-day moving averages continue trending lower above the current price, while the 200-day moving average near $2,450 remains far out of reach. This alignment confirms that momentum remains firmly bearish across all major timeframes. The key level to watch is the recent low near $1,500. Bulls have managed to defend that area so far, but unless ETH can reclaim the former support zone around $1,850, the current bounce looks more like a relief rally inside a broader downtrend than the start of a sustainable recovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Luke Gromen says Bitcoin’s failure to break decisively higher may reflect more than weak spot demand, arguing that paper instruments can temporarily absorb buying pressure in the same way derivatives have shaped the gold market for years. Speaking with Nathalie Brunell in a June 6 interview, the macro analyst said he has not materially rebuilt the Bitcoin position he previously reduced. “I nibbled a little bit,” Gromen said, but added that he has “not really bought back in in any real way.” The reason, he suggested, is that Bitcoin’s recent price action may be signaling something important about liquidity, market structure and the political sensitivity of hard-asset signals. Paper Bitcoin And The $58K-$72K Frustration Zone Brunell asked Gromen about his prior remark that Bitcoin could remain stuck in what she described as a “$58K to $72K gang for a while,” and whether BTC and gold prices could be suppressed. Gromen clarified that the comment was partly “tongue-in-cheek,” but said there is a serious mechanism behind the idea. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A Discount? Coinbase Exec Says Institutions And Govts Are Buying “I think the way they would do it is the expansion of derivatives, the way they’ve done it with gold historically,” he said. “I think you can in the long run. I don’t think you can do it with Bitcoin, but to the extent that you can expand derivatives, in the short run they can matter.” Gromen’s argument is not that Bitcoin’s supply can be changed, but that demand can be diverted. A buyer that otherwise would need to purchase spot BTC can instead buy a call option or another synthetic instrument. That still expresses bullish exposure, but it does not necessarily remove coins from the market in the same way self-custodied spot accumulation would. “Somebody wants to own Bitcoin, but they’re not buying Bitcoin. They’re buying a call on Bitcoin,” Gromen said. “If you didn’t have those derivatives there, then if you want to own Bitcoin, you got to own Bitcoin. Now, you can buy a derivative on Bitcoin, and it starts to get sloppier, looser.” For Gromen, that distinction matters most over shorter windows. He argued that policymakers can manage optics “to a lot of things” in the near term, even if they cannot do so indefinitely. Luke Gromen on why Bitcoin might keep stalling around $58k-72K: big players can satisfy demand with paper bets instead of buying real #Bitcoin, which holds the price back. It’s worked on #gold for years, but he doesn’t think it lasts forever with Bitcoin… https://t.co/yPAuJA3dKI pic.twitter.com/CwZ2cGwwW6 — Natalie Brunell ⚡️ (@natbrunell) June 9, 2026 Bitcoin As A Liquidity Smoke Alarm The derivative-suppression thesis sits inside a broader macro framework. Gromen described Bitcoin as “one of, if not the last functioning smoke alarm of liquidity,” and said its recent weakness is “telling us not good things.” In his view, liquidity is being absorbed elsewhere, most visibly by AI-related equities and by energy and commodities after the Iran war. “AI is sucking all the oxygen out of the room, all the liquidity out of the room, and it’s all in one area,” Gromen said. “And I think that’s happening to Bitcoin as well. I think it’s a victim of that as well.” He argued that the equity rally is narrower than headline indices suggest, with AI-linked names carrying much of the move. That makes Bitcoin’s lag more relevant to him: if BTC is a liquidity-sensitive asset and it is not confirming the strength in stocks, the market may be less healthy than the index level implies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stablecoin Ratio Drops To Extreme Low—What It Means For BTC Gromen linked the issue to the US effort to run the economy hot, weaken the dollar and reshore production. Those forces, he said, should be positive for gold and Bitcoin in a freer market. But they also risk sending an uncomfortable message. “There are elements in the US that don’t want to see that because those things will be communicating to the world, hey, you’re just inflating,” he said. “Hey, you’re just inflating. And that creates some issues on the financing side with the Treasury market.” His base case is not a conventional crash, but a shift in the measuring stick. He expects equities to rise in dollar terms while falling when priced in gold and Bitcoin. In that scenario, hard assets outperform nominal claims, while 10-year Treasury yields remain broadly contained in the 4% to 4.5% area. That is why Gromen does not see any potential suppression of Bitcoin as permanent. Paper markets can delay a move. They can blur the signal. But in his framework, they cannot eliminate the underlying macro pressure. “In the short run, they can manage the optics,” he said. “In the long run, they can’t.” At press time, BTC traded at $60,966. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "According to a crypto analyst, Dogecoin (DOGE) has returned to a key trendline that has repeatedly marked major cycle bottoms in past market phases. The setup comes alongside low sentiment and weakness, conditions that previously aligned with strong price recoveries. The analyst noted that this lower line could now form a potential base for Dogecoin’s next upside move to the top. Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Perfect Price Bottom Market expert Cryptollica has announced that Dogecoin may have formed a cycle bottom after revisiting a long-term support trendline that has been building since 2021. The analyst noted that every previous market bottom since 2021 began at this same lower support line. Related Reading: Dogecoin Will ‘Pump Hard’ After This Happens, Analyst Clocks Generational Entry In his X post, Cryptollica pointed to psychological conditions that have historically aligned with this lower trendline. He noted that each time Dogecoin approaches this area, demand and interest in the meme coin plummets to low levels, with sentiment turning extremely negative and fearful. This area has also marked major reversal points for Dogecoin, allowing the cryptocurrency to begin a fresh recovery after a severe downtrend. Past movements from Cryptollica 2021 to 2024 price chart support this view. In 2021, Dogecoin touched this trendline around $0.095 before surging to new highs that marked its historical bull run. A year later, in 2022, the same trendline held at $0.045, again marking the bottom before a sharp rebound. The cryptocurrency also established a fresh bottom near $0.055 in 2024 before starting an uptrend that eventually pushed its price above $0.225. In the current market cycle, Dogecoin has revisited this lower trendline once again. The first time this happened was in early 2026 when its price crashed to roughly $0.085, and the second occurred just recently. Cryptollica has described this latest retest as the “perfect bottom” for Dogecoin, noting that the same structure and negative psychological conditions in 2021 are also present in the current cycle. With chart patterns and broader sentiment aligning almost perfectly, the analyst believes that a market reset may have already occurred or is nearing completion. If this view proves correct, he expects Dogecoin to enter a recovery phase soon, with potential upside targets near $1.6. Analyst Urges To Wait For Confirmation Before Calling Bottom In a separate analysis, market expert Erick Crypto revealed that Dogecoin has recently lost a major support zone. He said the key demand area near $0.085 failed to hold as market sellers took control, adding more pressure on the meme coin’s price. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Just Entered A Critical Level, But Analyst Says It’s Not Time To Buy The analyst added that the latest move raises questions about whether it was a liquidity sweep ahead of a potential recovery or the beginning of a deeper price correction. As Dogecoin continues its downtrend, Erick Crypto noted that its trading volume is still increasing, signaling strong market participation. He urged traders to closely watch price movements and wait for a clear confirmation before calling a final cycle bottom. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "Grayscale has weighed in on whether bitcoin is cheap after BTC’s recent decline below $60,000. The firm points investors to two key factors that could determine whether the market has found a bottom. Bitcoin Valuation Metrics Suggest BTC May Be Undervalued Bitcoin’s recent drop to a new cycle low below $60,000 has sparked a key […]",
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"caption": "Bitcoin fell to its lowest weekly close since the second half of 2024 last week, capping a stretch that has now stripped more than 8% of its value in seven days and pulled the broader crypto market to levels not seen since early in the year. Related Reading: Security Milestone: XRP Lending Protocol Completes Military-Grade Assessment A Pattern Worth Watching The weekly relative strength index is holding higher lows even as price prints lower ones — a divergence that last appeared in the lead-up to Bitcoin’s recovery from the 2022 bear market bottom. Whether that parallel plays out the same way remains to be seen, but it is the detail technical traders are watching most closely right now. On Monday, with Bitcoin trading below $62,000, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, a.k.a. CZ, posted two lines on X. Bitcoin won’t be dead for too long, he wrote, signing off with a reference to the Douglas Adams line — don’t panic, in large friendly letters. The message was short, deliberate, and timed to land when sentiment was at its weakest. Bitcoin won’t be “dead” for too long. Don’t panic, in large friendly letters. — CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) June 9, 2026 Support Holds, For Now Bitcoin has so far bounced from the $60,000 level each time it has been tested in recent days. The next band of resistance sits between $65,000 and $66,200, with a heavier ceiling between $67,000 and $77,000 above that. According to analysts, a break below $60,000, while not seen as the most likely outcome in the near term given the oversold signals still unwinding, would open the door to the $53,000–$55,000 range. The rest of the market has fared worse. Ethereum is down nearly 14% over the past seven days, last trading around $1,640. XRP has shed 6% to sit at $1.13. Solana has given up 14% to trade near $64. Related Reading: XRP Being Suppressed? Researcher Reveals Why The Token Isn’t Soaring CZ’s Moment To Speak Zhao has one of the largest followings in the industry, and his Monday post arrived at a moment when retail sentiment across crypto forums and social platforms was running heavily negative. The market cap of the entire crypto sector has dropped to levels last seen in early 2026. The $60,000 support level remains the line most traders are watching in the days ahead. It has held so far, but each test of it draws more attention to what comes next if it doesn’t. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView",
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"caption": "Onchain records show yet another Casascius physical bitcoin has been redeemed, this time from an address originally created on Nov. 1, 2011. The plot thickens, however, because the spend traces back to another dormant wallet tied to the sprawling New York Supreme Court case Noah Doe v. John Does 1–39,069, adding one more chapter to […]",
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"caption": "As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near its lowest levels since late 2024, a market observer suggests the flagship crypto may not have finished bottoming yet, with more downside potentially ahead. Related Reading: XRP Sees Intense Capitulation As Realized Profit-To-Loss Ratio Plunges BTC’s Historical Data Points To Longer Correction On Wednesday, analyst Rekt Capital compared Bitcoin’s current price action to its performance in previous cycles to determine how close the leading crypto’s market bottom may be. In a video analysis on X, the market watcher explained that BTC’s deviations from previous all-time highs (ATHs) could serve as key reference points for this assessment. Notably, Bitcoin bottomed 22% from the 2017 peak during the last cycle’s correction. Now, it is trading roughly 14% below the 2021 peak of $69,000, which could suggest the bottom may be approaching. However, the analyst affirmed that this metric alone “doesn’t represent the mosaic of data that we need to be paying attention to.” He stated that the length of previous bear markets is a crucial indicator to factor in, noting that, historically, Bitcoin bear markets tend to last at least one year, sometimes extending beyond that. For instance, the flagship crypto took approximately 365 days to complete its full corrective phase during the 2021-2022 bear market. The current pullback has lasted about 240 days so far, which would depart from historical behavior and make it significantly shorter than previous cycles if the bottom is already in or close. If the current cycle follows a similar timeline to previous ones, BTC could have at least 120 days left in its corrective phase, with the bottom likely occurring around October and the possibility of further extension if the cycle mirrors longer historical patterns. Bitcoin Bottom Another 20% Below? The analyst highlighted that while the duration of the bear market is important, the depth of its retracement is another crucial factor. Last cycle, Bitcoin dropped 77%, while it declined 84% during its 2018 bear market. Nonetheless, the pullback has only reached 53% so far this cycle, suggesting there may still be room for additional downside. Based on this, he emphasized the trend of shallower bear markets, with the correction’s depth progressively diminishing roughly 7%-10% each cycle. If this pattern repeats, Bitcoin could see a potential retracement near 70% this cycle, placing BTC’s bottom in the high $30,000 range. Meanwhile, if the shallowing trend accelerates toward a 10% reduction, the bottom could form near the low $40,000 region. Related Reading: Bitmine Makes Largest Ethereum Purchase Of 2026 As Tom Lee Dismisses Market Selloff These factors point to a critical period over the next four to five months, the analyst affirmed, in which another leg down of up to 20% remains possible. He noted that similar phases have historically included periods of consolidation followed by additional declines before the final bottom forms. Ultimately, Rekt Capital asserted that this period is crucial as it lays the foundation for the next bull cycle. “This bear market here (…) precedes an entire period of multi-year upside. And I think that’s why it’s important, as a result, to focus on the importance of this bear market bottoming out period over these next few months because we’ll then see a multi-year period of upside,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Bitcoin is testing a key demand zone after breaking down from a symmetrical triangle, putting the market at a critical turning point. While buyers may attempt to defend this support and trigger a rebound, a failure to hold could open the door to further downside in the near term. Bearish Triangle Breakdown Sends Bitcoin Toward Key Liquidity Zone Minga highlighted that the market has experienced a bearish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, and the price is trending toward the 50% wick fill region of the previous weekly candle, an area containing significant untested liquidity and a long limit order that was previously front-ran. While he expects this long position to be filled, the risk on this trade is minimal at 0.25%, effectively serving as a risk-free hedge against his existing short position. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trader Says Something Extremely Bad Is Coming Today, Here’s What Minga maintains a bullish bias for the remainder of the month, but he emphasizes that this outlook requires technical confirmation, specifically a bounce from the $60,700 level. Losing this key support likely invites further downside, bringing the $58,900 level into focus. Given that the daily trend is showing clear signs of exhaustion, Minga views the $60,700–$58,900 range as a high-probability zone for a potential recovery. However, the analyst cautions that exhaustion does not inherently guarantee a reversal. Market conditions can often result in a slow, grinding decline as the asset hunts for liquidity on both sides, leading to highly choppy price action. This behavior is historically common near major market turning points. Given that the market is potentially nearing a macro bottom, the possibility of a prolonged, choppy descent cannot be ignored. Should this scenario materialize and the current support zones fail to hold, Minga identifies the $54,500–$49,000 region as the next critical downside target. $60,800 Remains BTC’s Most Important Battleground According to analyst @wangtuai888, whose track record includes eight consecutive accurate trend predictions, the market is currently hovering at a decisive juncture. As long as the $60,800 support holds, the asset remains within an uptrend. However, should the price break and close a 1-hour solid candle below $60,800, which marks a critical Point of Control (POC) and a vacuum zone, the analyst anticipates a sharp, immediate decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Testing A Critical Support After Sharp Market-Wide Selloff If the $60,800 support holds, @wangtuai888 expects an initial rebound toward $62,400 to break the previous minor high and shift the local market structure. This would be followed by a pullback to the $61,800 POC, which the analyst identifies as a favorable entry point for long positions. The strategy then pivots toward a tactical shorting opportunity. The analyst intends to initiate a short position near the 63,000 level, noting that even if a stop-loss is triggered, the high reward-to-risk ratio makes this a worthwhile trade. Ultimately, the analyst emphasizes that this expected rebound should not be mistaken for a full market reversal. The broader direction remains firmly in a downtrend, and the ultimate price target for this bearish cycle is $55,500. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "For months now, Congress has been kicking the ball down the road—temporarily postponing the expiration of the mass surveillance authority Section 702 of FISA in hopes that some consensus could be reached. Now, with the deadline looming, the stakes have never been higher. Nearly every time the statute has come up for renewal, the people demanding privacy and civil liberties have had to compromise, but with current negotiations seemingly at an impasse, it’s time for surveillance maximalist lawmakers to come to the table. \nWe say to the Intelligence Community crowd: Section 702 should require a warrant before the Federal Bureau of Investigation can look at digital communications collected from Americans. If not, we should let the whole thing expire.\nThis is a serious proposition. The intelligence community can keep a useful national security surveillance tool if and only if they make FBI agents get a warrant signed by a judge before they sift through and read out private communications. A warrant requirement is not the only demand EFF has been making for changing Section 702, but it is the most important reform and it should happen before there is any more reauthorization of the policy. \nFor too long, the FBI has been able to piggyback on a major national security tool as an unconstitutional backdoor way of reading Americans’ communications. 702 collects communications going to, from, or between people in other countries—including when they are contacted by people in the United States. Mass surveillance is just that—mass. It’s lacking any of the individualized suspicion that our legal system is based on. \nTake action\nTELL congress: 702 Needs Reform\nSo, what’s been happening? \nOn one side are surveillance hawks and intelligence community-devotees who think the mass surveillance of Americans is an acceptable, even valuable, product of this authority. This bipartisan coalition of privacy deniers think that 702 should be extended without any change, and they seem to be willing to let the authority expire rather than compromise with the lawmakers and public that are demanding common-sense reforms. They’ve been given a number of chances to pass bills that would implement some key incremental reforms, but those opportunities have not moved the needle. \nOn the other side of the debate is a bipartisan coalition of people who understand that this authority can no longer operate as is. Section 702 is rife with problems, loopholes, and compliance issues that need fixing. The National Security Agency collects full conversations being conducted by and with overseas targets—including conversations by and with Americans in the U.S.—and stores them in massive databases. The NSA then allows other agencies, specifically the FBI, to access untold amounts of that information. In turn, the FBI takes a “finders keepers” approach to this data: they reason that since it's already collected under one law, it’s OK for them to see it. If the FBI wanted to get that data on their own, it would require them to get a warrant signed by a judge certifying that there is probable cause. Instead, under current practice, the FBI can query and even read the U.S. side of that communication without a warrant. What’s more, victims of this surveillance won’t know and have very few ways of finding out that their communications have been surveilled.\nComplicating this matter more is that the Trump administration has announced Bill Pulte as the new Director of National Intelligence, whose job it will be to oversee and direct U.S. intelligence agencies. This is particularly concerning because of Pulte’s history of using private information held by the government as a political weapon. In his FHFA role, he has accused several of the President’s political foes and targets—including New York State Attorney General Letitia James, U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., and Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook—of mortgage fraud based on private data held by his agency. Because of his looming appointment, many Democrats have vowed not to reauthorize Section 702 unless he is removed from the position. They shouldn’t stop there—they should use that leverage to demand a warrant requirement. The integrity of the people in charge of a program should not be the only thing that stands between Americans and violations of their civil liberties. \nWhat happens if 702 expires? \nAs the New York Times reports, “The law, however, has a built-in safety net for a temporary lapse that allows the surveillance program to endure until annual certifications issued by the nation’s intelligence court expire, though such a scenario could invite legal challenges. The court recertified the program in March, meaning the N.S.A. could continue to operate the program through March 2027 even if the statute were to expire.” \nIf Section 702 does stay expired past March 2027, the United States government will likely revert to using other programs and authorities to justify the surveillance of overseas national security targets, namely 12333, a shadowy executive order from the 1980s that gives the U.S. government nearly unlimited power to spy on people overseas. Even if this does come to pass, standing our ground on warrant requirements and allowing Section 702 to expire is important for several reasons. First, just because the government continues surveillance under a different authority does not mean it is legally justified in doing so—this was the lesson of the post 9/11 Presidential Surveillance Program, which was only retroactively immunized by Congress. Second, seeing how the government responds to the end of Section 702 might give us opportunities to push for transparency in other parts of information collection and better understand how the inner workings of the intelligence apparatus pivot and adapt as new legal authorities take precedence. \nWhere do we go from here? \nEvery few years, for almost two decades now, we’ve been fighting to reform Section 702 so that it will no longer enable the warrantless mass surveillance of Americans. A bipartisan coalition in Congress supports this goal, but the White House and Congressional leadership won’t listen. It’s past time we make at least one serious reform to a mass surveillance law that has been abused for decades. Tell your elected official: Put a warrant requirement in Section 702 or let it expire. \nTake action\nTELL congress: 702 Needs Reform",
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"caption": "Raydium (RAY), a decentralized exchange on the Solana (SOL) blockchain, said Wednesday that it had suffered a $1.34 million exploit tied to its retired automated market maker, or AMM, V3 program. Raydium Pools Drained The protocol said the attacker removed about 150,000 RAY, 5,600 SOL, and nearly 900,000 of Circle’s USDC stablecoin from Raydium pools involving RAY-SOL, USDC-RAY, and SRM-RAY. Raydium attributed the compromise to a weakness in how the older AMM V3 handled liquidity provider (LP) mints. The platform said the vulnerability “stemmed from insufficient validation of the LP mints, which in practice allowed the attacker to bypass intended proportion checks. Related Reading: Prediction Markets’ Wild West Days May Be Over: CFTC Drafts Its First Major Framework According to the description of the mechanism, because the legacy AMM V3 program did not properly verify the LP mint address, an attacker was able to create a new mint and use it as the LP token, letting it evade the checks that were supposed to control how assets could be accounted for in the Raydium pools. The exchange emphasized that the affected AMM V3 program was no longer available through Raydium’s interface, explaining that the legacy AMM V3 program was phased out in 2021 and was effectively unreachable via Raydium’s current user tools. Funds Traced Across Two Blockchains Details on the alleged laundering trail were provided by PeckShield, which described how the attacker’s funds were initially funded via KuCoin and then bridged from Solana to Ethereum (ETH). Related Reading: Treasury Stablecoin Proposal Draws Major Warning From Hyperliquid Policy Center–Here’s Why PeckShield said that 810 ETH had already been sent to Tornado Cash, and that 7 ETH had been moved to FixedFloat, framing both moves as part of an active effort to launder the Raydium funds. In Raydium’s own breakdown of the exploit, the firm reiterated that its current programs were unaffected by the incident, and said it is in the middle of security review work on all mainnet programs by Raydium core contributors. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "XRP has entered one of its most uncomfortable technical zones in months. The cryptocurrency has now broken below a support base that had held since February, but the selloff has not yet turned into a collapse below $1. Instead, the daily chart shows the XRP price landing on a much older descending channel support that has guided it lower since August 2025. That leaves the cryptocurrency in a difficult position that shows the breakdown is real, but so is the possibility that the latest liquidation has simply carried XRP into a deeper support line that still gives bulls a chance. XRP Breaks February Support, But Finds A Lower Channel Floor Technical analysis of the daily XRP chart shows a clear loss of the straight support range that had held the market together since February. For months, XRP moved mostly sideways between $1.25 and $1.55, with buyers repeatedly stepping in each time the price returned to the lower boundary. Related Reading: The XRP Dream Has Changed: Why A Rally To $10 Could Happen Despite Disappointment That structure finally gave way in early June, and XRP fell within the range with a daily candle that pushed the price into $1.10. This move was accompanied by various on-chain signals dropping to bear levels and the XRP profit/loss ratio falling to its lowest levels since 2024. However, an interesting part of the price action is where the selloff stopped. XRP seems to have found support on the lower line of a broader descending channel that has been active since August 2025. This larger channel has contained nearly every major XRP move for months, and the latest liquidation wick landed almost exactly where buyers needed it to land to keep that bigger structure alive. Bulls Still Have A Chance According to crypto analyst Guy on the Earth, XRP finding support at this descending channel could be something or it could be nothing. In order for this move to mean something, the first level that matters is $1.10. A loss of $1.10 would weaken the channel-support argument. Therefore, the XRP price needs to hold above $1.10. So far, bulls are doing well to that effect, with XRP currently trading at $1.12 and an intraday high of $1.17. Related Reading: XRP Is Oversold On Every Time Frame, And This Could Be The Bullish Signal Everyone Is Waiting For The next upside level to watch is $1.27. That price level is important because it was close to the lower boundary of the February to May range before the breakdown. Former support often becomes resistance once price loses it, and a return to $1.27 would therefore be the first real test of whether XRP is only bouncing from oversold conditions or beginning to repair the damage from the breakdown. Crypto analyst Guy on the Earth believes XRP could soon put traders in a difficult position with a quick move toward $1.96, suggesting that the next major rally may arrive with explosive force after months of persistent downside. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "XRP Forms Channel Support That Puts Market In Difficult Spot, But Bulls Still Have A Chance",
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"caption": "Over 200 crypto firms push U.S. Senate to pass the CLARITY Act, a crucial regulatory bill for digital assets, before the midterm elections this November. (Read More)",
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"caption": "The Bitcoin price could be on track to reach $200,000 within the next one to two years, according to crypto analyst @CryptoTice_. Backed by a long-term cycle chart, the analyst argues that Bitcoin is once again moving through a familiar historical pattern, placing the current phase in what he describes as a key accumulation zone ahead of a potential major rally. Bitcoin Price Path Points To 2027 Target The chart maps Bitcoin’s previous market cycles and outlines a potential path toward $200,000. Based on this projection, the target could be reached within 12 to 24 months from June 2026, placing it between mid-2027 and mid-2028, with 2027 appearing as the more probable timeframe. Related Reading: Analyst Charts Ethereum Long-Term Roadmap To $16,000 – There’s No Need To Panic To support this view, the analyst compares Bitcoin’s current setup with the cycle lows recorded in 2019 and 2022, both marked as “buy zones” that were followed by major rallies. The 2019 bottom preceded a climb to roughly $69,000, while the 2022 low eventually led to a surge toward $126,000. The analyst believes the latest correction fits the same pattern. After falling from around $126,000, Bitcoin rebounded near the $60,000 region, creating what he identifies as another accumulation zone. From there, the projection points to a recovery that ultimately pushes the Bitcoin price toward $200,000. The consistency of this structure forms the foundation of the forecast. In each cycle, Bitcoin experiences a sharp correction, spends time consolidating, and then enters a strong expansion phase. Although the percentage gains have become smaller with each cycle, the broader upward trend remains intact. Why The Crypto Analyst Sees A Rare Opportunity That historical pattern is also why @CryptoTice_ argues that the current market environment may offer a significant opportunity. According to the analyst, previous cycle bottoms were formed during periods of widespread uncertainty, before sentiment eventually shifted and prices moved higher. The chart reflects this view by projecting a gain of roughly 230% from the 2026 buy zone to the $200,000 target. While substantial, that increase is far below the explosive returns seen in Bitcoin’s earlier years, reflecting how the asset’s growth has gradually moderated as the market has matured and attracted greater institutional participation. Related Reading: Not $60,000: Analyst Reveals The Best Time To Actually Start Buying Bitcoin The forecast comes at a time when investors remain divided over Bitcoin’s next move. Some continue to focus on macroeconomic conditions, interest-rate expectations, and regulatory developments, while others see the recent pullback as another cycle correction that could eventually lead to new highs. For the crypto analyst, the most important factor is timing. His model suggests that the current phase may represent the final stage of accumulation before the next major advance begins. If Bitcoin continues to follow the structure shown in the chart, the path to $200,000 could unfold over the next 12 to 24 months, making 2027 a year worth watching closely. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com",
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"caption": "The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has unveiled its first regulatory framework for prediction markets, releasing what it described as a proposed approach to governing the industry under American law. The plan, issued by the agency on Wednesday, would establish standards for certain types of wagering while leaving markets tied to elections and politics largely outside the category of activities that would trigger more intensive scrutiny. Where The Line Is Drawn The new proposal sets out how the agency would start determining whether a contract should be prohibited. Under the draft, the CFTC said it preliminarily views both sporting wagers and wagers involving games of chance and pure luck as falling under “gaming.” At the same time, it suggests that wagering on sports outcomes is likely not broadly contrary to the public interest, while staking money on gambling or games of pure luck likely would be. The framework further argues that prediction markets based on sports scores, price spreads, win-loss outcomes, tournament advancement, and similar data may serve a “price discovery” function and provide meaningful information. Related Reading: XRP May Reach $10 By 2027—But Bearish Conditions Could Push It Below $1, Expert Says Where the proposal draws sharper boundaries is with specific categories of sports-related betting. The CFTC indicated that wagering on player injury, fighting, children’s sports, officiating, or wagering structured in a way that could encourage cheating was unlikely to meet the public interest standard. The draft also addresses election-related contracts, noting that election wagers are “contests, not gaming,” and therefore fall outside the “enumerated activities” that would allow the CFTC to apply its 90-day review process to event contracts. The agency’s proposal also focuses heavily on how it would evaluate whether a contract crosses too far into areas like terrorism, war, or assassinations—topics that, the draft notes, domestically regulated exchanges have largely avoided offering. 45-Day Comment Period For Prediction Markets In its announcement, the CFTC acknowledged that the rules released Wednesday are “thin,” and said additional rulemaking about prediction markets could be introduced in the future. After Wednesday’s release, the proposed rule will undergo a 45-day public comment period. CFTC Chair Mike Selig emphasized the commission’s intent as it prepares for further steps in the rulemaking process. He said in a statement that the CFTC would protect the integrity of its regulated markets while still allowing “responsible innovation. Selig added that the new prediction markets proposal provides a durable and transparent framework for identifying the contracts Congress directed the agency to scrutinize, while also letting legitimate markets continue. Related Reading: Treasury Stablecoin Proposal Draws Major Warning From Hyperliquid Policy Center–Here’s Why Beyond defining the types of wagering that may fall on different sides of the line, the proposal lays out a step-by-step process for prohibitions. The CFTC would first determine whether the contract is actually tied to an event happening. It would then evaluate whether the event fits within the categories defined in the Commodity Exchange Act, and finally conduct a public interest analysis to decide whether the prediction markets’ contract should be banned or allowed. Featured image created with OpenArt; chart from TradingView.com",
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"caption": "Enshittification isn't just a sweary word to describe the accelerating decay of the online platforms, apps, and services that we rely on. \nIt's a framework for understanding the structural incentives that make tech companies enemies of their own users over time—the surveillance business model, the erosion of privacy, the monopoly power that eliminates alternatives, the regulatory capture that prevents accountability. \nSUPPORT EFF\nGET LimITED EDITION MERCH + FIGHT ENSHITTIFICATION\nThese are some of EFF's core fights and have been for over 35 years. EFF sues. EFF advocates. EFF codes. And EFF wins. EFF is the most profound and powerful disenshittifying force on the planet Earth, and I’ve been proud to fight alongside them for nearly 25 of those years. \nOne of the lessons you learn in battles with very long timelines against very powerful actors is that these battles are deeply serious, and because of that they must also be fun. “Enshittification” took off as a shorthand in part because of the minor license to vulgarity it confers. It's slightly crass for a reason: getting people to engage with the abstract issues of tech policy can be hard at the best of times. No one knows this better than my colleagues at EFF, who consistently surprise me with their ability to make complex, technical concepts concrete, memorable, and sometimes even joyful. \nWords matter, but so do visuals. For the cover of the U.S. edition of my book, Enshittification, designer Devin Washburn of No Ideas studio created an iconic variation of the \"pile of poo\" emoji, with angry eyebrows and a grawlix-scrawled censor bar over its mouth. It instantly became the symbol of enshittification I’d been looking for. \n\nI liked it so much I ordered a couple hundred enamel pins and a couple thousand vinyl stickers and handed them out to people I met on my 33-city book tour. Even when giving them away, I was inundated with requests to buy more of them. \nI've since bought out Devin's rights to the image and released it under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license—free for anyone to use, remix, or build on, including commercially, with attribution. The high-resolution files are on Wikimedia Commons, Flickr, and the Internet Archive (including a PSD with an ink-density adjustment layer). It belongs to the commons now. \nBut I made sure EFF had first crack at the design for their “official merch,” and they've done right by it. There are two items available now in the EFF shop, and all proceeds go directly to EFF's work defending digital rights. I’ve spent years admiring EFF’s merch and consistent, creative visual identity, so it fills me with pride to see this more-than-a-mere-poop-emoji in their shop. \nA recognizable visual shorthand is a genuine organizing tool. When someone sees the enshittification emoji, they know what the conversation is about. When you wear the pin or slap the sticker on your laptop, you're signaling that you understand what's happening to the internet, and that you know we can do better. \nYou can get a $5 sticker:\n\n\nOr a $10 pin: \n\n \n Because the design is CC-licensed, you don't have to buy one. You can make your own merch, your own swag, your own illustrations. I made a lawn flag for my front garden.\n \n\nBut if you do want to buy a sticker or pin, you can do so while supporting the most profound and powerful disenshittifying force on the planet Earth—the Electronic Frontier Foundation.\nSUPPORT EFF\nGET LimITED EDITION MERCH + FIGHT ENSHITTIFICATION",
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"caption": "Summary\nLlamaRisk recommends the following parameter changes based on user behavior, on-chain liquidity, and position health observed in the latest review of Aave V3 reserves.\nAave V3 Polygon:\n\nReduce supply cap for WPOL from 105,000,000 to 101,000,000.\nReduce supply cap for USDC (native) from 100,000,000 to 50,000,000.\nReduce supply cap for USDT0 from 90,000,000 to 45,000,000.\nReduce supply cap for USDC.e (bridged) from 12,000,000 to 4,390,000.\nReduce supply cap for DAI from 11,800,000 to 3,890,000.\nReduce supply cap for MaticX from 30,000,000 to 9,330,000.\nReduce supply cap for WETH from 32,000 to 15,000.\nReduce supply cap for LINK from 615,000 to 220,000.\nReduce supply cap for AAVE from 60,000 to 25,300.\nReduce supply cap for wstETH from 11,500 to 6,000.\nReduce supply cap for WBTC from 1,400 to 1,000.\nReduce borrow cap for USDC (native) from 48,080,000 to 45,000,000.\nReduce borrow cap for USDT0 from 85,000,000 to 40,500,000.\nReduce borrow cap for USDC.e (bridged) from 8,319,000 to 3,950,000.\nReduce borrow cap for DAI from 7,287,000 to 3,500,000.\n\nAave V3 BNB:\n\nIncrease borrow cap for WBNB from 12,000 to 15,600.\n\nWBNB (Aave V3 BNB)\nWBNB has reached 96.8% borrow cap utilization (11,611 / 12,000) on the Aave V3 BNB instance.\nBorrow Distribution\n\nSource: LlamaRisk, June 10, 2026\nThe top WBNB borrowers have a median health factor of 1.6. WBNB debt is predominantly borrowed against USDT and WBTC collateral, which account for 71.1% and 20.2% of the total collateral backing these positions, respectively.\nRecommendation\nGiven borrow cap utilization at 96.8% and a borrower base with health factors clustered above the liquidation threshold at a median of 1.61, we recommend increasing the borrow cap from 12,000 to 15,600, landing at approximately 74% post-change borrow cap utilization.\nCap Reductions\nThe following supply cap reductions are proposed primarily due to the limited onchain liquidity available for collateral-enabled assets on Polygon and the continued decline in their circulating market supply. Eight of the eleven active reserves on Aave V3 Polygon have their supply caps reduced to approximately 1.20x current outstanding supply, restoring roughly 20% headroom and landing each at approximately 83% post-change supply cap utilization. The supply caps for USDC, USDT0, and wstETH are reduced by approximately half, a smaller reduction that leaves these three reserves at approximately 58% to 70% post-change supply cap utilization. Borrow caps on USDC, USDC.e, USDT0, and DAI are reduced in step so that each remains at or below 0.9x the new supply cap, with all four lowered caps staying above current outstanding borrow.\n\nSource: LlamaRisk, June 10, 2026\nSpecification\nCaps\n\n\n\n\nInstance\nAsset\nCurrent Supply Cap\nRecommended Supply Cap\nCurrent Borrow Cap\nRecommended Borrow Cap\n\n\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nWPOL\n105,000,000\n101,000,000\n—\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nUSDC\n100,000,000\n50,000,000\n48,080,000\n45,000,000\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nUSDT0\n90,000,000\n45,000,000\n85,000,000\n40,500,000\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nUSDC.e\n12,000,000\n4,390,000\n8,319,000\n3,950,000\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nDAI\n11,800,000\n3,890,000\n7,287,000\n3,500,000\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nMaticX\n30,000,000\n9,330,000\n—\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nWETH\n32,000\n15,000\n11,000\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nLINK\n615,000\n220,000\n—\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nAAVE\n60,000\n25,300\n—\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nwstETH\n11,500\n6,000\n—\n—\n\n\nAave V3 Polygon\nWBTC\n1,400\n1,000\n76\n—\n\n\nAave V3 BNB\nWBNB\n160,000\n—\n12,000\n15,600\n\n\n\nNext Steps\nWe will move forward and implement these updates via the Risk Steward process.\nDisclosure\nThis review was independently prepared by LlamaRisk, a DeFi risk service provider funded in part by the Aave DAO. LlamaRisk is not directly affiliated with the protocol(s) reviewed in this assessment and did not receive any compensation from the protocol(s) or their affiliated entities for this work.\nThe information provided should not be construed as legal, financial, tax, or professional advice.\n 1 post - 1 participant\n Read full topic",
"headline": "Risk Stewards: Supply and Borrow Cap Changes on Aave V3 / 2026.06.10",
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"caption": "Dogecoin is trading at $0.085 in early June 2026, which is about 88% below its all-time high but deep inside what one analyst believes is the most important technical setup the meme coin has seen since its pre-2021 launch sequence. The difference this time, however, is that the crypto market is no longer dealing with the same small meme coin from the last cycle but with a larger asset sitting in a different liquidity environment. Dogecoin Repeats Its Old Monthly Structure Technical analysis of Dogecoin’s price action on the monthly candlestick timeframe chart is showing evidence that the meme coin may be repeating the same long-cycle pattern that played out between 2014 and 2017 before the massive 2021 rally. The comparison, which was done by crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade, compares two major Dogecoin cycles, with both showing a long consolidation phase, a falling wedge, and then a breakout attempt. Related Reading: Bad News For Bitcoin: Historical Lows Show The Bottom Actually Lies Below $30,000 In the first cycle, Dogecoin spent years grinding through a wide downtrend wedge range between 2016 and early 2017 after its previous crash in 2014. After that, the price then entered the parabolic phase that eventually carried DOGE into its 2021 top. Dogecoin began 2021 trading at less than one cent, somewhere around $0.004. By reaching its all-time high in May 2021, Dogecoin saw an increase of over 18,000% in just five months. However, that completed structure produced a rally of about 29,000% from the 2015 low. The current structure, drawn from the 2021 peak into 2026, appears to be following the same sequence. Dogecoin first entered a broad post-bull-market decline after 2021 that ended in 2023, and is now trading inside another falling wedge compression on the monthly timeframe. The dotted projection on the chart predicts that a breakout from this structure could lead to a much larger expansion phase later in the cycle. Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @TATrader_Alan On X What A Completed Pattern Would Mean For Dogecoin The optimistic case in this technical analysis depends on how Dogecoin reacts with the falling wedge. If Dogecoin breaks out of the monthly falling wedge, then the comparison to 2021 will have more significance. Related Reading: Institutions Are Loading Up On XRP, But Liquidity Tells A Different Story The projection on the chart by Trader Tardigrade maps a potential move that starts with a rally above the current range, then a pullback, and later a far larger parabolic rally into the end of the decade. The projected arc ascends to the $3 to $5 range, a possible rejection back below $1, and then a rally to triple digits, which is consistent with what a 29,000% move from current price levels would produce. Repeating that kind of rally would require far deeper inflows than the previous cycle, but Dogecoin now has a stronger environment of utility and avenues for institutional inflows. For instance, House of Doge and MoonPay recently announced their partnership to enable DOGE payments across over 6,000 merchants, and possible Spot Dogecoin ETF inflows are another institutional facilitator. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com",
"headline": "Dogecoin Is One Step Away From The Same Pattern That Triggered 2021’s 29,000% Rally, What Next?",
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"caption": "Crypto ETF flows turned cautious again on Tuesday, June 9, as bitcoin ETFs posted a third straight day of outflows and ether funds slipped back into redemptions after Monday’s rebound. XRP and solana ETFs drew modest inflows, while HYPE products saw no trading activity. Bitcoin and Ether ETFs Lose $118M as XRP and Solana Draw […]",
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